Nazi invasion of Britain - 1950

In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.

Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.

1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?

2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?

3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?

4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?

5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?

6: What do the Americans do?

7: What do the Japanese do?

8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?

9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?

10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?
 
You really disliked Chris' one that much? :D

No comment as yet, maybe you should use the best of the ideas from that.

My prediction is that comment will definitely include the whole 'Nazi Germany needed constant conquest in order to expand' argument...
 
1: Europe is your buisness, the ROTW is ours. Lets team up against the evil commies, yey!

2: Kills off undesirables, expands its borders a long way east and a little bit elsewhere.

3: I'd imagine a beaten Britain in WW2 would take quite a fascist turn itself so no independance for the empire.Civil war in India.

4: The usual. 'Free' France- perhaps even with bits of Belgium added in. German areas to Germany. West and East Slavic areas to Germany. The balkans...well what they did. Italy gets Albania and Greece.

5: A Irish-American's wet dream.

6: *grumble grumble*

7: Can we have eastern Siberia plz?

8: Similar to WW2 but slower on the whole. And probally no nukes until the 50s.

9: As per usual.

10: Some sort of giant straw to drink the channel.


Some more serious then others.
 
How are the Germans going to destroy the Home Fleet? Their own version of Pearl Harbor like Chris, something involving submarines, or a combination of the two?
 
1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?
the Brits say they'll leave the Nazis alone and the Nazi say likeways

2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?
Kill every one who's not an Aryan Nazi

3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?
Build a Big ass Navy and Army and missles, and try and get the Empire to help them

4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?
western Europe and their puppets get to do their own thing the East is an SS run hell on earth

5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?
one big milliarty, the Brits fight hard to keep it all because they know they'll need it to fight the German

6: What do the Americans do?
tries not to at Europe

7: What do the Japanese do?
has the shit kicked out of it by USA

8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?
couldn't tell you

9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?
an Big ass Navy, and and sea wall that makes Normandy look like a sand box

10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?
 
In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.

Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.

OK.

1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?

At this stage, very mild. A "White Peace", more or less; Germany might perhaps demand the handing over of some part of the Royal Navy for returning the British POWs. Some minor indemnities may also come into the question.

2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?

Most likely, they still attack Soviet Russia, who will be worse off than IOTL. Roosevelt might still give them Lend-Lease, but the Nazis will be much better off not being blockaded. They might perhaps obtain much of the resources they lacked IOTL from Britain or its Commonwealth; the new British government would arguably be fairly pro-German.

3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?

Secure the colonies would be the easy answer. In any case, it's a good enough one.

4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?

Romania gets part of the Ukraine, Hungary gets Transylvania, Bulgaria gets Thrace, the later two both get parts of Yugoslavia, which is partitioned; if they're unlucky, Pavelic gets an Independent State of Croatia. Finland expands in Karelia. Germany integrates the territories it lost in WW1 plus Luxemburg and absorbs most of Poland, leaving the Poles themselves the small Generalgouvernement.

All this assumes that the USSR is defeated and that the Nazis reach their goal of conquering European Russia; not quite as hard to imagine in this scenario as in OTL, but still unlikely. However, that's the setting we want, so it succeeds. The East can be divided in several ways; the two primary alternatives appear to be the SS plan for the four Reichskommissariats (Ostland, Moskau, Ukraina and Kaukasus) and Rosenberg's plan of rewarding the national minorities by giving them nominally independent puppet states (Greater Lithuania, Greater Ukraine, Greater White Russia and so on) while directly annexing the Caucasus and the Crimean and leaving most of Russia semi-colonial "Slavlands".

5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?

Probably quite violently, with national resistance movements springing up all over. Palestine might be worse than IOTL, with the Jews equating the Brits with the Nazis, for example.

6: What do the Americans do?

If FDR stays President, Lend-Lease to Russia. Not much he can do otherwise with the war in Europe effectively over. Depending on Japan, they may or may not get into war with them; otherwise, they'll probably relapse into isolation. Without WW2, their economy will very likely suffer.

(And no, I don't take TBO and the B-36 plans seriously.)

7: What do the Japanese do?

I expect if the British make peace, the Dutch would have to as well. Then, the Japanese could likely pressure them into selling their oil and rubber to them, so the Pacific War won't be necessary here. Thus, if they're "smart", they might still be locked in China when the story starts.

Of course, they can also start making trouble for the Brits and get curb-stomped.

8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?

I'd say jets (Of course!), helicopters, MASH, Panzerfaust or analogues, assault rifles, quite likely some sort of primitive cruise missiles, at least for the Germans. Also better computers, coding machines, high-altitude bombers and fighters. Nerve gasses a possibility.

9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?

The classic way? Fleet in the Channel, forces concentrated in the South?

10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?

Depends. Why does Hitler (or whoever's in charge) want to attack them?
 
In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.

OK. If the UK is signing an armistice in June, this means that we don't get any Churchill. Lets go with the usual Halifax as Prime Minister.

Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.

I'll tell you what: this is going to be near impossible. Luckily nuclear weapons will make this an easier task than it appears on the surface, assuming you can get Germany to develop nuclear weapons by 1950...

1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?

England isn't going to make an armistice unless France gets treated relatively well, and England doesn't get punished in any significant way. Say that Germany leaves Belgium and Netherlands relatively unscathed (occupation in eastern Belgium with some minor border adjustments, promise to keep western Belgium demilitarized), annexes Luxembourg, and annexes Alsace-Lorraine (maybe some of Champagne, Briey-Longwy as well?), demands reparations, and occupies central France for a given period of time. England gets off scot-free, for the most part.

2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?

Fight a tedious war with the Soviets starting on time in 1941. The Soviets don't get any Lend Lease, and the Germans start on time, meaning Moscow, Leningrad, and Stalingrad fall. Stalin probably stays in power for a while, but eventually he will be booted once Russian manpower collapses, as it will after nearly a decade of war. The first German nuclear device (K-Bomb) is deployed on a city east of the Urals, and a vast army is occupying Russia as far as Siberia, where a whole bunch of Czechs and other untermenschen are being sent to populate a puppet, fascist Russian Republic.

No Jews left on the European continent, or at least very few. Poles exterminated or in slavery, rinse and repeat for Lithuanians, White Russians, etc.
3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?

Builds up the RN and RAF to commanding strength in the first half of the decade, until they dwarf the Kriegsmarine and Luftwaffe. Then Labor takes charge and institutes a crippling Five Year Rule...or at least stops arming.

4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?

France has to be treated fairly nicely for the British to sign an armistice, but when a ten-year occupation is supposed to end, they may just feel like not leaving. In effect, wherever the Nazis are will lose industry or have it co-opted into the Reich's economy, will lose population due to "loyalty enforcement", and will lose all of its Jews. Italy probably takes a very junior role by 1950, with Mussolini realizing it and disliking Hitler.
5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?

Well, India isn't going to be lost if Britain isn't in bad enough economic straits to capitulate to Ghandi...otherwise little to report, since no war with Japan.

6: What do the Americans do?

An end to the war in Europe before the Democratic convention butterflies a third term for FDR away, and Wendell Willkie pulls off the upset in 1940, and wins re-election in 1944. A Republican successor (Taft? Dewey?) wins in 1948. America is over the Great Depression, and an isolationist 1920s Part 2 breaks out. Strong Navy, meh air power, disbanded military (national guards only!).

More tomorrow.
 
In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.

Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.

1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?

Mutual recognition, trade on agreed terms that will remain static (in German interests), spheres of interest, exchange of POWs, no British refuge for exile groups of any nationality, and no anti-German propaganda


2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?

Invade the Soviet Union, expand the Axis to include vassals, decide what to do about the Jews (killing them all will be harder if no state of war exists as the rest of the world has some recourse to action)


3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?

Greater independence for the dominions, dominion status (and probably low level civil war) for India, maybe dominion status for Malaya, East Africa


4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?

A difficult one actually, since we have a mixture of vassals, potential vassals and occupations. Possibly outright annexation for the Netherlands, Belgium probably loses some territory, has ports occupied but Leopold probably heads up a government. France probably sees the OTL split for some time, with the North and West under military and economic control, but eventually enters the Axis. Denmark and Norway probably also enter the Axis, with N Norway again a military preserve. Central and Southern Europe as per OTL with the Italian Kingdom of Albania swallowing up most of Greece, but Germany retaining Salonika (Bulgaria gets back its lost Thracian territories plus the whole Dobruja from Romania). Turkey probably enters the Axis at some tiime


5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?

See 3...I think I misunderstood one of them !


6: What do the Americans do?

Depends largely on 7, though obviously their relations with Britain and with Nazi/Axis Europe are going to be important too. IBM probably leads businesses making sure that trade with Axis nations is never embargoed


7: What do the Japanese do?

Dutch E Indies will come to an agreement on oil in this timeline as they have no hope/point in holding out. With no Netherlands government in existence though it is a curious mix - probably the Dutch community will agree a retention of its priveleges but political control will pass to nationalists under Japanese auspices

Japan develops the CO-prosperity sphere into a more meaningful reality, with self government under Japanese auspices for Indo-China and Indonesia


8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?

Depends on budgets and military necessities. The question might be what uses are developed technologies put to. The Germans certainly would develop the helicopter as army support aircraft and lifting etc (this would have been in operation by 1943 OTL had not British aircraft bombed the factories so no reason why not here). Jet technologies would be there, but the Germans may stay wedded to the fighter-bomber concept. Submarines would be less advanced because the counter-measures they were fighting in OTL never occur. Radar would be interesting. German armour would benefit from the campaigns in Russia, and the self-propelled gun probably has less of a development as a result.


9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?

I would think the fleet needs to be based in the Humber, as much as possible. This takes it away from immediate aerial threat but not so far away it can't actually do anything. Thus there would be massive investment here, huge expansion of facilities etc. IMVHO of course

The chains of defence lines across Britain would be built up as a series of fallback redoubts. Coastal defences would probably be augmented with napalm and gas weapons.


10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?[/QUOTE]

These in part depend on where the invasion can come from. N France is more problematic if large areas are returned to civilian control. Even if key ports (Brest, Lorient etc) remain in German military hands these are not logical jumping off points. If the Netherlands have been annexed, and key Belgian ports remain in German hands then the Schelde is the obvious place to gather the invasion fleet

What the Hell you do with it is another matter...


Best Regards
Grey Wolf
 
You may have seen this but just in case: Anglo-German Peace Treaty in 1941

Short Version:
  • The British avoid war-related bankruptcy and develop nukes first.
  • No holocaust, instead the European Jews are deported to Palestine.
  • Eventually stalemate on the Eastern Front leads to a ceasefire.
  • The British Empire doesn't collapse.
  • The USA is less powerful (relative to OTL).
  • The nuclear armed British lead the 'containment' of Germany.
  • Nazis in Spaaaaaaaace!
  • Hitler's death leads to a civil war between the SS and the relatively moderate Nazis. The army backs the moderates, Speer becomes Führer and starts to liberalise (somewhat).
 
I can see a bit of the OTL evil Brits view of history creeping in here.

India wasn't 'lost'. Britain didn't 'capitulate to Ghandi'; there was heavy support within Britain itself for granting India independance if it so desired and was capable of ruling itself.

Britain keeping India will only happen with Britain taking a fascist bent, not as a way to help otherwise normal Britain fight Germany.
 
I can see a bit of the OTL evil Brits view of history creeping in here.

India wasn't 'lost'. Britain didn't 'capitulate to Ghandi'; there was heavy support within Britain itself for granting India independance if it so desired and was capable of ruling itself.

Er...I wasn't implying that Britain was evil. I was just using the verb "capitulate" to shorten what I would've ended up saying, "not granting independence in 1949 as they did in OTL."
 
Further Thoughts


If Germany HAS annexed the Netherlands, then the US has invaded and annexed the Dutch West Indies. Surinam is more confusing, and the US will probably support whatever nascent independence movement it can find there, no matter how currently insignificant, smoething akin to what they did in Panama when it was in their interests


In addition, I would imagine that Britain offered Germany some of its colonies back, since Chamberlain kept reckoning that this was a major point of German interest. If offered, I'd imagine the Germans would take - this probably gives them back just Cameroon and Togo, including French parts. I have no idea quite what the Nazis are going to make off loads of black African subjects !


If the Germans DO plan to invade the UK ni 1950, then they are going to work up to it. Of obvious importance is to do something about the fleet. I would imagine this does NOT have precedence until the USSR is basically out for the count, so we could be looking at say 1943 before the Kriegsmarine gets the chance to enact a new revised fleet construction plan.

They would, of course, have a nucleus of Bismarck, Tirpitz, Scharnhorst, Gneisenau, 2 pocket battleships and between 2 and 4 heavy cruisers (depending on what condition they resume ownership of the Seydlitz and Lutzow in), plus the Graf Zeppelin near completion - there would be no pint NOT completing her, Goering's objections or no.

The question would be what is the immediate priority of the German navy when freed to restart major fleet construction in c1943 ? This is a different question from what is the logical type of ship to build looking forward to a 1950 invasion of the UK. Partly this is because matters of prestige would take their palce at the top, and partly because immediate strategic needs would be different from longer-term projections

How are tensions with the US, for example ? Has the fate of ex-Netherlandish colonies driven more of a rift between the two ? It doesn't matter if this doesn't impact economic or diplomatic life, but if it affects strategic considerations it would be in there

To my mind Hitler is going to want some big whopping battleships out there to show the flag and act as vehicles of prestige. In wartime, they would do no harm either, since the war won't have proven the relative obscelescence of the battleship. What is he German naval construction industry capable of building simultaneously ? OTL 1939 seems to indicate rather a lot - they had 2 Graf Zeps, 2 Bismarcks, 3 Prinz Eugens, at least 1 and maybe 2 H class all building at one stage or another (ie frmo being laid down to being fitted out). However, starting at zero this is much less since ALL the new ships, obviously, will need to be built on the available slipways.

I would suggest that we get something like 2 modified H class battleships, 2 improved Graf Zepellin carriers, and 2 Prinz Eugen plus heavy cruisers as the 1944 programme.

Thus projecting forward now encounters two things
-1- that every couple of years (average) the laying down slips become available
-2- that every 3 years or so ships begin to enter service

For a 1950 date you would be looking at construction plans for 1944, 1946 and 1948, the latter quite possibly expanded by both development work at the docks, and by the decision in principle to go after Britain. I realise this is an immense simplification, but hey, thats statistics !

We could posit 2+2+2 for 1944, 3+3+3 for 1946 and 4+4+4 for 1948, with the latter also receiving building priority aiming to cut construction time.

The question would be whether the types of ships constructed changes over time. The 1944 plan is for reasons of prestige as much as anything. I would think the 1946 plan would look to strategic deployment - what battle groups or divisions can be formed out what is being built ? Do they go for merchant ship/liner conversions to light aircraft carriers and thus free up the bigger slips for other projects ?

Probably 1946 would see two more Improved H class to make a division of 4 such vessels. The KM may well go for light carriers, and thus perhaps we see a focus on greatly increasing the heavy cruiser contingent of the fleet to enable it to form independent cruiser squadrons as well. So, maybe 6 heavy cruisers get laid down in the 1946 cycle

By 1948 Germany is going to be looking at the 1950 invasion plan. I fail to believe it will be any sort of whim or spur of the moment, so the upper hierarchy is going to be looking towards the provisional date when it orders the last large lot of construction that has a chance of being completed in time

Priorities have now changed and the ships ordered will be expected to have a pivotal role in operations. Light ships, submarines and landing craft can all be constructed at smaller dockyards, on smaller slips etc of which the Reich has an abundance from Reval to Antwerp quite probably. It is the heavy ships which will need to be decided


Now, one thing we have not discussed is the personalities of Nazi Germany. Assuming that 1940 core remains intact is illogical. Raeder for one is surely going to retire but is Doenitz the likely successor ? In 1935 he was a Kapitan zur See, is he going to become Grand Admiral but ten years later without the long benefit of war ? If not, is there a fleet admiral available ? Perhaps Lutjens or an equivalent ?

Goering though may be key. Now he has not had the debacle of the Battle of Britain, the bombing of Germany or the failure at Stalingrad, but that may affect the position of the Luftwaffe more than that of him personally. One thing the Nazis loved was collecting loads of different positions for themselves, and I don't think it beyond the bounds of possibility that Goering whilst remaining nominal or honourary head of the Luftwaffe is shunted sideways to do something else - maybe a Five Year Plan to rebuild the East (he was after all head of these plans)

A war ended in 1940 also has repurcussions for other Luftwaffe commanders - Udet is unlikely to shoot himself, though he probably ends up honourably retired or shunted to something else, and Moelders seems unlikely to fly into a chimney.

Milch and Von Richtofen probably emerge as per OTL as this is a natural career path, but Galland is likely to have remained a Luftwaffe equivalent of a divisional commander, whilst Kesselring probably flies a desk somewhere now. Maybe his organisational skills are very useful in a behind the scenes way ?

By 1950 could we see a Milch and Von Richtofen run Luftwaffe ? Or perhaps I mean by 1948 ? Could this combination have the foresight to end the squabbles with the Kriegsmarine, and agree to the development of new generations of aircraft that have a land type and sea type, and with the latter under KM control on carriers under KM control ?

And if so, is the 1948 naval construction plan going to call for a concentration on large aircraft carriers ?

One thing to consider is the range of land-based aircraft. Will the Germans see a NEED for large carriers if their aircraft from Scandinavia, France, the Low Countries (and I assume they retain airbases in all places) can reach Britain and return ?

It might again be decided to go ahead with light carrier conversions for fleet escort duty, but to focus on fast heavy cruisers as the main dogs of war. The question of course becomes what happens if these run into battleships ? But trying to outbuild the UK in battleships is a mugs game, and a waste of strategic resources.

It might be worth asking whether by the late 1940s Germany has any kind of missile technology that could be launched from warships ? Alternatively it might be worth asking whether they simply build helicopter carriers/assault command ships ?

These latter seem more logical for the intended role, and could provide close in support. German helicopter technology is almost certain to be up to this, and if a good half dozen of these vessels are built it could provide the vital coverage for the landing sights


Best Regards
Grey Wolf
 
I don't see the USA simply invading Dutch territories. There might not be a Dutch government in the Netherlands, there still is one in London, and it's more or less allied to England, unless the armistice called for it's dismantlement.

I honestly don't see the USA attacking the Netherlands (or at least it's colonies) just to keep it's resources away from the Japanese. Now, some treaty or even alliance with the Netherlands, that's more likely, and it would result in roughly the same thing. We're talking about the 20th century here, not medieval europe.
 
I don't see the USA simply invading Dutch territories. There might not be a Dutch government in the Netherlands, there still is one in London, and it's more or less allied to England, unless the armistice called for it's dismantlement.

I honestly don't see the USA attacking the Netherlands (or at least it's colonies) just to keep it's resources away from the Japanese. Now, some treaty or even alliance with the Netherlands, that's more likely, and it would result in roughly the same thing. We're talking about the 20th century here, not medieval europe.

I would imagine the terms of the peace between Britain and Germany include a clause where Britain must not harbour any governments in exile, that sort of thing. The queen and ministers etc could of course go somewhere else, but where ?

In addition, the USA I think DID have plans to occupy islands if they were under threat from Nazi Germany. It wouldn't have to do TOO much to gain possession of Aruba, Curacao etc.

Of course, maybe the Dutch government in exile would go to Surinam, like the Portuguese fled to Brazil in Napoleon's time !

Best Regards
Grey Wolf
 
In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.
Everything depends on what kind of armistice is signed. Since the BEF was not crucial for defending Britain, Britain won't sign an armistice that is going to involve losing the fleet, money, troops, aircraft, bases behind their sea control zones, etc. Since this is before Churchill is in charge (or there isn't going to be an armistice) Italy is not yet involved in the war.
Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.
Is this the communist regime Stalin installed in Germany after the war?
1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?
Britain gets the former French, Dutch, Danish, and Belgian colonies. Officially they are in trust for when the French, Dutch, Danish, and French are independent of Germany. The Germans don't care because they are heading east.
2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?
Fights a war with a Soviet Union that knows that they are no longer preoccupied with fighting Britain and is not going to be taken by surprise.
3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?
Beefs up it's airforce, submarine force, antisubmarine force, and carrier force in preparation for wars with Germany and Japan. It pays for all this by taxing the exports of it's colonies.
4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?
Whoever fights with them against Russia gets whatever they want. The others get screwed.
5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?
India becomes independent in return for building up it's defence forces to stand off the Japanese. The nonGhandi independence forces, specifically the armed forces, are quite happy with this.
6: What do the Americans do?
Gets lots of gold from the European war, ending the depression.
7: What do the Japanese do?
Fight a war with Britain, America, or both. And lose like in OTL.
8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?
Jets, nukes, guided weapons, helicopters, radar, computers, antibiotics, solid and pressure fed rockets, but not turbomachinery rockets like the V2.
9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?
Static defences around the ports. Mobile defences around the airbases for airbase defence until after the enemy has committed himself. I assume the enemy starts out as Germany and becomes the Soviet Union after they win.
10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?
Use the Soviet submarine fleet to isolate Britain, and then invade after half of them have died of starvation.
 
In 1940 the BEF is captured in France and in late June Britain as well as France signs an armistice with Germany.
Ten years later the Germans decide to finish the job and invade the UK.
1: What are the terms of the Anglo-German Armistice?
2: What does Nazi Germany do in Europe during the 1940's?
3: What does Great Britain do elsewhere during the 1940's?
4: How do the Germans divide up Europe?
5: How does the British Empire develop during the 1940's?
6: What do the Americans do?
7: What do the Japanese do?
8: What technologies are developed during the 40's?
9: How are the British Forces deployed to defend the UK?
10: What are the invasion plans of the Germans?

1: UK retains all of its territorial possessions. Germany probably pulls out of Norway (no need to hold onto it without a UK at war with them). France remains Vichified, some kind of protectorate established over the low countries.

2: Attacks the Soviet Union; Drives the Red Army to the Urals but remains stuck in a massive, Vietnam style quagmire of, well, Russian Proportions.

3: The peace deal is a very, very, bitter pill for the UK. While building up their army would be the smart thing to do, you've got Halifax as PM and he's probably neglecting the state of the Army and Navy in spite of the Crisis. One can only hope this is not the case.

4: They are still working on it. Scandinavia and Western Europe is kept generally the same to keep the UK happy. Italy is a big winner in the Balkans but mostly it looks like OTL 1943 down there. The Russian People and the Poles continue to fight a desperate war for their own survival. The Concept of Racial War means that there are probably more Poles in the USA then in Europe at this point. The Red Army continues to fight; Its Industry is squarely in Siberia at this point and they continue to produce war material. Soviet Resistance is extreme and motivated by fear of an enemy that can and will kill everyone out of convenience.

5: The British Empire begins to have a meltdown. Palestine and India both face large movements against the Empire, which result in internal police actions. Furthermore, many hawks in the UK either emigrate to the USA (such as the Half-American Winston Churchill) or face national disgrace for the "1940 Incidents". There is Considerable hope that Hitler's successor, (Hitler planned to Retire in 1950) will honor Hitler's agreements with the UK.

6: The USA eventually goes to war with Japan in 1942 over a surprise attack against Pearl Harbor. The USA had previously cut off Oil to Japan, and the Dutch East Indies followed suit. In a parallel decision to OTL, attack was the only defense in the mind of the Japanese. By 1946, the USA has fully mobilized its resources and crushed Japan. A single nuclear weapon dropped on a major Japanese City compelled the Emperor to surrender. The USA is essentially acting on its own against Japan, but it creates friendly states in Vietnam (They aren't giving it back to Vichy!!), Korea (Syngman Rhee) and Japan itself. The USA is engaged in a ground war against Mao in China, but Chiang Kai-Shek's fortunes are rising and people like Vinegar Joe Stilwell have made real progress in straightening out the country. Chiang might be highly corrupt, but the USA's decade long efforts and the commitment of its own troops means that Chiang looks to be solid. The Communist Insurgency is little more than a Fringe Movement. The USA, now building a nuclear arsenal, looks at Nazi Germany with considerable Distaste.

7: Japan fights and loses to the USA. They are forced to renounce war as a means of policy, but by 1950 have begun a considerable economic recovery. Japan expected merciless treatment from the United States, but this didn't happen and, much like OTL, Japan is protected by US troops. By 1950, Japan is likely to be facing its second set of post-war elections.

8: The US has the nuclear Bomb, as a result of a massive government project to learn about it. The US war against Japan probably leads to the supremacy of the Carrier in Modern Fleet Design. The USA has short Range Missiles. As close allies and friends of the United States, China, Vietnam and Korea enjoy many of these weapons technologies, although probably not nuclear technology. The USA also develops Television and the first computers. The Emergence of Muscle Cars and Fast Food Restaurants are also imminent. Finally, The Assault Rifle was developed in 1946 in time for operation Downfall, a technology that has been tried in the Chinese War against Communist Insurgents. US weapons technology has a considerable testing ground in China.

The Soviets have some of this as well, as the USA clearly prefers a Soviet Victory over a Nazi Victory. But the USA isn't terribly happy about the Soviet Union, even though Stalin himself was deposed and replaced with a troika designed to save the Russian People from the Nazi Butchers (The new leadership is committed to the survival of its people and are fully willing to co-operate with the USA's vision for a postwar world, in the hope that there will be a post-war world.)
Finally, Germany has wasted much of its efforts on absurd and poorly considered weapons designs. While the Panzer IX 'Krokodil' is a well designed replacement for the aging Panther III design, mass production of the Maus, and its slightly saner replacement model the Maus II, has turned out to be a disaster for the Germans. The 105 Ton Maus II, though slightly smaller and stronger than its predecessor, is still too large and too vulnerable to stand up to a prolonged battle. The third machine of the German tank forces, the KaiserTiger, is a maturation of the Bulky and difficult Tiger designs, finally given an engine strong enough to keep up in a mobile capacity and carrying an incredible 150' mm Gun.

Germany is the only nation in the world to have Intermediate Ranged Missiles, the V-5, but they suffer from low accuracy. Germany's aircraft are perhaps second only to the USA's designs, as they suffer from some degree of fantastical designs, rather than experimental testing. This is more than enough to hold off the Soviet Union's designs. Germany might have Nukes in a few years, but their entire nuclear program was botched or sabotaged. In any case, the German A-bomb effort failed to generate any results. A second attempt has probably been started by the New German Fuhrer, and its probably one that will see results in perhaps two year's time.

9: The UK's would assume that diplomacy will see its continued survival. Despite the increasing power of the Kriegsmarine, Hitler did continue his charade of only partial control of Western Europe. The hope is that these states will refuse a German buildup against the UK forces. The Halifax government has naively allowed the country to return to a peacetime footing. That said, the Royal Navy remains a powerful combatant, with much of the Royal Navy ready to avert an invasion however possible. The Halifax government has not been completely blind to an attack, however. The UK has a considerable standing army and a larger body of militia they would press into service if needed. Finally, the UK has a reserve of Chemical Weapons that would probably used if desperately needed. The Real hope, however, is that the USA will honor its guarantees to defend the United Kingdom in the face of attack. While the US army has been trimmed to defend Japan and fight communist insurgents in China and defend a few positions, a large of number of Pacific War Veterans are in its ranks and the USA has 30 nuclear weapons in its arsenal. In any case, the USA would probably need months to move its troops to the UK--and the UK's choice is that the Royal Navy and the Royal Air Force would survive long enough against the German Forces against them (Remember that at least half of the German Army is needed against the still-dangerous Red Army in the Urals) for the USA to intervene and save the day.

10 Germany's invasion plans also consider time. Unlike the UK, Germany is fully aware that it can mass its forces in Calais without triggering a war. The war would involve a Naval Blitz, against a Royal Navy of superior strength and a Royal Air Force of somewhat weaker power. While the UK gambles that such an invasion would take months and therefore the USA will be able to land throughout the country, the Germans plan on the opposite gamble--that the invasion will be over in two months. That advanced U-Boat designs will kill much of the Royal Navy, and a massive paradrop attack against the UK will will shock and break the British enough to allow the main force to steam inland. The Germans committing a large numbers of soldiers to the attack, and have plans to support them with air transport. The Germans fear the interference of the USA into the conflict, and would assume keep them out of Europe entirely. The Germans would also attack Northern Ireland and make a Deal with the Irish in exchange for their neutrality. In any case, the USA will have to islandhop all the way from Iceland to the UK--a very difficult attack that Germany hopes will lead to a Transatlantic Stalemate.
 
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