Quote:
Originally Posted by Bahamut-255
Germaniac already calculated it at $120bn total expenditure for the Apollo programme. But don't forget that for Apollo, a lot of the neccesary tech had to be developed from scratch, whereas for Mars Direct, most of the tech already exists - some of it dating back to the 19th Century - which significantly reduces the development costs and time. And time is a major factor, since time = man-hours = money.
Muscular degeneration isn't as big an issue as you make it out to be. Some Russian Cosmonauts spent 18 Months onboard Mir in a 0G environment, and made strong recoveries within a fortnight. For Mars, using the Mars Direct profile, you can safely use the spent TMI stage as a counterweight to simulate the 0.38 Martian Surface Gravity to cut the degeneration and slash the rate of bone demineralisation, to perhaps nothing. You shouldn't spend more than 6 months in 0G this way.
Radiation is not a significant issue, a properly designed Hab will protect the crew from the once-per-year or so Solar Flares via a storm shelter, while the background radiation is a thin trickle of high volt and almost no watt particles and rays - which can be stunted even by the thin Martian Atmosphere. Total projected exposure is 40-60 Rem pa, nowhere near enough to cause immediate illness, and only enough to increase your likelyhood of developing fatal cancer from 20% to 21% - assuming you're a non-smoker.
ISRU Propellant Production will allow you to make you're return Lox/LCH4 propellant from the Martian Atmosphere and imported LH2 via gaslight era technology, an exothermic and therefore self sustaining process. This allows all the neccesary hardware to be flown with direct throw of the booster, so long as the Return Vehicle is sent first. And the booster and haul the required payload on its own - hence some justification for Ares V - which used only chemical propulsion. You don't need new propulsion technologies for a Mars Mission, though incorporating them when they become available will help matters a lot.
As for what to gain, how's this for starters, a brand new avenue for human growth and development. Remember how the World was changed forever by the colonisation of the USA? Its growth and development forced the rest of the world to adapt or die, it will be the same with Mars. Because we can't afford more of the last 40 years, where, human advancement has been stalling, and is likely going backwards. Without Mars, we're screwed. But good luck getting our politicians to face that, which has always been the sticking point. Politics, which keeps us stuck here on Terra Firma when we could have been exploring at least this solar system by now, with people, not probes.