Now i think we all know that the Portuguese royal family ran to Brazil after Napoleon took the kingdom's homeland. But if he were to win, and thus Portugal remains at best a french client state, could we see a Brazil wank?
With no Portugal to return to, the kingdom wouldn't be divided and Pedro I would have to make due in brazi and keep the ship steady.
Assuming Pedro I dies as otl from TB in 1834, pedro II takes hold as an energetic 30 something. I imagine it would probably be here we get an official declaration of independence from Brazil instead of the de facto independence they'd have enjoyed by now.
Even if Pedro gets couped, I don't think it would last. He wouldn't be tired from a decades long rule at the time and he was incredibly popular. So I think he would want to and could restore his rule with a more liberal constitutional monarchy.
And Pedro would then likely work towards abolishing slavery and establishing brazil as an industrial power, and with a country the size of the United States? I think he could.
Brazil may or may not take part in the scramble for Africa. Ultimately idk enough about Brazilian society to know, but as it's a successor to the Portuguese empire, I imagine they'd do so, taking the same basic stuff as Portugal otl did, plus perhaps carving into what would be German and Italian holdings.
What do you guys think?