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2004 Canadian election:
Paul Martin-Liberal: 181+13 42.04%
Stephen Harper-Conservative: 68-4 27.02%
Gilles Duceppe-BQ: 43+10 10.49%
Jack Layton-NDP: 15+1 14.89%

After years as PM with a majority and Kelowna Accord as one achievement, Martin retires and Ignatieff becomes leader. In the 2008 election, with a more moderate Tory leader, voter fatigue, and recession, a shock result happens.

2008 Canadian election:
Michael Ignatieff-Liberal: 131-50 34.42%
Peter MacKay-Conservative: 104+36 33.44%
Gilles Duceppe-BQ: 49+6 10.09%
Jack Layton-NDP: 23+7 16.68%

The minority lasts just over a year, and a December 2009 election occurs. Voters choose change, but unlike in many countries, don't give it much of a mandate at all.

2009 Canadian election:
Peter MacKay-Conservative:116+12 35.35%
Michael Ignatieff-Liberal: 115-16 31.91%
Gilles Duceppe-BQ: 50+1 10.29%
Jack Layton-NDP: 26+3 17.00%

That is all in elections so far. Is no Sponsorship Scandal at all a realistic PoD or would just a delay in revelation create these results just as well? Or maybe no ban on big donations or whatever happened would be better at producing a Liberal majority bin 2004? Is this plausible? What do you think?
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