Case Anton was a plan created in Nov/Dec 1940 to occupy all of Vichy France in the face of very limited resistance to the Torch landingsJust a question of detail, but one I hope you don't mind me asking: just how do German troops deploy to Toulon at this point in time? AFAIU in TTL, something like the OTL Vichy France remains unoccupied.
Thus, said deployment to Toulon would entail a major incursion into Vichy territory, in effect the extinction of Vichy as any kind of face-saving "independent" France, and hence the removal of any reason/excuse for the various elements of the French empire (and forces stationed therein) to continue to observe the armistice with the Axis.
Thanks for a great TL
PS thanks (very much) also for keeping the Lions "alive" - under the circs. can't really ask for more than two
PPS Also I trust we may presume that the KGVs are proceeding according to their original buildign schedule? This would mean KGV and PoW by end 1940, i.e. a fully-worked-up PoW by May 24 1941 ......
Here we are likely looking at a Panzer Division or a 'light' Divisions (German Motorised) only rushing for the Port likely with the collusion (reluctantly or not) of the Vichy Government who would be concerned that such activities of the fleet in Toulon and elsewhere would have dire consequences for France.
This is not (at this time) an occupation of Vichy France