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OTL Sicily was ruled by Muslims for a decent amount of time, and Muslims raided the mainland, and even set up a few very short-lived "Emirates" in mainland Italy.

But what is the most realistic PoD and when is the most realistic era to have a Muslim ruled Italian mainland (could be all of Italy or anything down to 15% of its landmass)? Would it be more likely in Omayyad, Abbasid, Fatimid or Ottoman times?
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