Monmouth Rebellion

The Monmouth Rebellion historically failed quite brilliantly, but after reading a book on it I find that there are several PODs that could take it in different directions. Which is why I come to you with a question.

In OTL during William of Orange's invasion much of Britain quickly quit James' side to join Orange's force. Now this resulted from the fact that after the Monmouth Rebellion James became increasingly tyrannical, but I wonder if such defection is possible iduring the Monmouth Rebellion. Since several of the OTL traitors during the Glorious Revolution betrayed James simply for the political reason of being on the good side of William and Mary since it looked like William and Mary would win, if Monmouth was able to score a major victory and take Bristol might there be major defections among James' forces?
 
Isn't the birth of the Old Pretender the issue? Y'know, how in 1685 people were willing to tolerate James because his properly Protestant daughter would eventually inherit, but in 1688 James had a Catholic heir.
 
Isn't the birth of the Old Pretender the issue? Y'know, how in 1685 people were willing to tolerate James because his properly Protestant daughter would eventually inherit, but in 1688 James had a Catholic heir.

While the birth of the Old Pretender did in fact inflame tensions, but tensions started to rise after the Monmouth Rebellion when the invigorated James II grew more and more bold.

In OTL the defections during he Glorious Revolution started as soon as William landed. Which is why I wonder if perhaps a major victory and the capture of a major city during the Monmouth Rebellion might cause similar defections among the English army
 
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