What do you think what would modern day balkan war look like, and I mean all of Balkans, who would be on whose side? (turkey is also in it)
No-one.what about Bulgariam Romania? Who would they join?
Good scenario
So Bosnia, Albania, Kosovo, Turkey on one side
Serbia, grece on the other
Croatia and Hungary, neutral towards Muslims but warry of Serbs?
what about Bulgariam Romania? Who would they join?
What effects in the world would it cause, and who would win/prevail in the end, and what would winners demand (if anything)
There won't be a real effect in the world - nobody is dumb enough to end up like the Dutch at Srebrenice again. Where there is a peacekeeping presence it will involve RoE that allow for preemptive engagement with the employ of armor, artillery, and air support.Otto von Bismarck said:The Balkans are not worth the bones of one single Pomeranian grenadier.
You guys do know that Croatia and Albania are NATO members?
At this stage a conventional war between armies is nigh immposible to wage as all the armed forces in the region are either to run down or their equipment is not working (including Croatia's, just yesterday it was reported that only 24% of our tank force is operational). What you would have is large forces of well armed militias duking it out for the first few months until the armies get new equipment. The conflict would be resemble more some Equatorial African civil war that the conflict of the '90.
You mean like Turkey and Greece? That certainly stoped them from waging war. And when the USA invoked article 5, again, all NATO states anwsered the call.
Sure we know they are, but doesn't change squat. I seriously doubt the Bundeswehr would be rolling into Belgrade if after annexing Kosovo Tirana gets bombed with Serbian MiGs, or if Sarajevo got shelled after Serbia stepped into Srbska Kraina after a few anti-Serb pogroms.
Which is another reason why a Balkan war can occur - its relative low-levelness making it an 'internal matter' for most of the world. If Croatia's military is in serious disrepair, they wouldn't take part in any large operations in Bosnia, giving Serbia greater incentive to take action - 'the Croats don't have stuff to use against us, etc. etc.'
Not saying such a war will happen toworrow or next year. But in 10? 20? Lots of stuff can happen, such as Serbia joining NATO and the EU while Albania, Bosnia, Kosovo don't, annulling any threat those organizations pose.
(...)Hungary doing the same in Vojvodina in case an Arkan-like character tries to pull off an Oluja there(...)
What does everyone have against the Vojvodina Hungarians?The Hungarians never caused any trouble and were IIRC a pretty loyal minority.
I heard of a few instances where the serbs sent the hungarian recruts with emty guns to the front but on the large scale you are right nothing serios dicrimination or pogrom hapened in Ujvidek. But i could swear to you that is just because Serbia had a border to Hungary witch made clear that if persecution happened to the hungarian minority then there will be war. The Romanians did the same. The Serbs couldnt afford this.