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An idle thought: Even if you get a permanent Norse settlement in Vinland, it might not matter that much. They have some ironworking, sure. Based on Newfoundland. And fishing. But horses? Iceland, IIRC, wasn't known for them. And the Puritan settlers of New England had a significantly better agricultural and technological tool kit.

Likewise, technological transfer, especially of things like iron-working, can take a fairly long time to diffuse.

So. A society of barely literate sorta-Christians based off of fisherman, who end up being wiped out by the Black Death.

A plausible scenario for Vinland?
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