Mexico wins Mexican American war

Bytor

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A stable government from 1821 onward and Santa Anna not being such a selfish prick. They need to have a stable, healthy and strong economy to enable them to have an army capable of withstanding the Americans. To do that you'll need to get the conservative and liberal factions that were the cause of Mexico's unrest cooperate and work together. With that, Santa Anna would never have a political toehold and would only remain a general. Though I've never been able to decide whether he was actually a good general - his use of forced draftees and convicts in his armies generally obscure any strategic or tactical talents he may have had, along with his o'erweening ego.
 
A stable government from 1821 onward and Santa Anna not being such a selfish prick. They need to have a stable, healthy and strong economy to enable them to have an army capable of withstanding the Americans. To do that you'll need to get the conservative and liberal factions that were the cause of Mexico's unrest cooperate and work together. With that, Santa Anna would never have a political toehold and would only remain a general. Though I've never been able to decide whether he was actually a good general - his use of forced draftees and convicts in his armies generally obscure any strategic or tactical talents he may have had, along with his o'erweening ego.

Than we don't have a recognizable Mexican-American War
 
Mexico winning the Mexican-American War requires a wealthier, peaceful Mexico, but those conditions are almost certainly going to butterfly away the actual war.
 
Mexico was in such a direct state that it was a somewhat safe, calculated risk for the US to start a war and win it. Anything that leads to a stronger, more stable Mexico probably dissuades the US from going to war in the first place.

But for the sake of this scenario, I say Mexico has to do whatever it can to make the fight for California as long and drawn out as possible, doing a better job of rallying the loyalists together. Mexico had a bit of success in this theater and Southern California was more loyalist than the Northern California was, where there were more Americans settling.

In this case, even a stalemate is a victory of sorts for Mexico.
 
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