Super55 said:Oh, probablyJust a little thing off here or there
Say, where do you see this one, a few centuries down the line?
The big question here is whether or not the Mongols will still invade, which should not be too far off by 1200 or so. Novgorod, being generally more centralized, and with greater degree of nationalism than most other Russian states of the time, would stand a better chance at either stopping the Mongols altogether, or mauling them badly enough to where it could simply buy them off. Ironically enough, Byzantium's loss of its Eastern territories to Turks could prove to be its salvation, as these would constitute the kind of buffer states that would delay the Mongols just long enough to where Byzantium (under much stronger leadership than in OTL, I presume) could hold them off, or, using their favorite tactic throughout the centuries, give them enough protection money to focus their attention elsewhere.
Also, did Eleanor of Aquitaine marry the English King after divorce with Louis IX (or the latter's death in the Second Crusade)? If so, the English could lay claim to the French crown much earlier, and will have much easier time taking over the French provinces, not in the least because of France's division.