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So if William McKinley isn't assassinated in 1901 and finishes his second term, what are the effects of this?

Specific questions:

  • How does this affect the Venezuelan Crisis in 1903 and the US acquisition of the Panama Canal?
  • Is TR running for president in 1904 plausible, or is '08 or '12 more likely?
  • Who is most likely to be on the Democratic/Republican tickets for 1904?
  • Will it make a difference in the Russo-Japanese war that the US won't be a mediator?
  • How will the economy be affected without the crackdown on trusts as seen in OTL?
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