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Which of these is the least unlikely

1) Somehow nominated and wins in 1968

2) Some really big scandal breaks about Nixon (assume the Agnew thing comes out in the appeal and Nixon may have ordered something really extreme against an opponent

3) Denided nomination in 72, mood for something more radical in the aftermath of Watergate

4) MUsikie nominated and loses 55/45 in 72.Ford does not pardon Nixon or make the stupid remark over Eastern Europe and wins agains Carter in 76

In the poor economiy of 1980 McGovern nominated and wins
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