The Bahamas have been sold to the Portuguese, to enable and fund the Medeteranian expedition, so they won't be facing Scottish rule just a period of plunder. Virginia is under English rule now the Scottish have left, though they must enforce Presbytarianism as a State Religion. OTL, after Swizerland Scotland burned the most witches per capita and it is in this period that such activities were at their most intense. Just like Sweden, Scotland is being devastated by global cooling and has responded with militarism driven by fanatical religion.
Kinda like Sweden, The Scottish Covanenters had eyes bigger than their stomachs, making the enforcement of Presbytarianism on all England the condition of their OTL Alliance with Parliament, thinking that the Parliamentarians wouldn't turn on them once the Royalists were dealt with (which of course they did). TTL, Sweden negotiated Scotland abandoning this alliance (given London had fallen) with domination over Ireland what King Charles of England gave the Scots as their price. That is, if they can take it, which he hopes they can't. He hopes he can consolidate England then go for Scotland while the Scottish are bogged down in Ireland. Sweden very much wants Scottish success here as the Scots are their only reliable ally (part of why they are so happy to destabilise England and humiliate Charles).
Massacheussets and Ireland are not a happy places to be, thats for damn sure. Especially if you are a woman.
Smallpox innoculation was truly practiced in parts of the Ottoman Empire, long before this TL starts. OTL It became common practice in Constantinople about half a century later than where we are now but it is certainly something that would have been talked about in Constantinople at this time
The myth of the medical breakthrough: Smallpox, vaccination, and Jenner reconsidered
A discussion of the particulars leading to the eradication of smallpox is pertinent to both investigators and the public as the clamor for more “breakthroughs” intensifies. The rational allocation of biomedical research funds is increasingly threatened by disease-advocacy groups and...
www.ijidonline.com
In the case of France, precisely as long as Sweden can threaten to make a separate peace with the Emperor. It should also be pointed out that Sweden now has access to The Sound Dues - significant revenue not theirs OTL, against which they can borrow.
The British Isles isn't going to be a Scandinavian vassal. OTL Scotland and Sweden were closely allied with 1 in 10 Scottish adult males fighting for Sweden in the 30 years war. England is currently paralysed by civil war but she won't be forever and there is no way France or The Dutch would let the British Isles be a scandinavian vassal even if the Swedes had the resources to achieve this (which they don't).
If the Scots succeed in Ireland before Charles succeeds in England, Scotland will continue to have close relations with Sweden and be in a much stronger position in the union than historically. However, this is very far from vassalage.
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. So much less complexity showing events in north America than finishing another Europe chapter (which is in the writing).