So, an alt-Draka which stays out of WWII? A truly titanic task triumphant. Although I had a couple iffy bits...
What happened to China and India?
Admittedly, this was a bit of an oversight on my part (I assumed China and India's populations were closer to a Billion than a Billion and a half), but I suppose it's plausible that the Green Revolution could be delayed, or that India or China could be smaller in terms of territory, or that some calamity befell the nation (something akin to the Sino-Soviet War going hot?). I'll think more about this, and possibly retcon that.
Even with high birth rates, achieving parity with the serfs by the end of the 1940s indicates that substantially
over half the population of a billion plus is white, and even with high birth rates, the notion that the Draka manage to achieve a white population exceeding the entire population of the OTL Anglosphere strikes me as out-Stirling SM himself...
A few things to consider.
First, I didn't make it super clear, but the Dutch Cape Colony was more densely settled compared to OTL, having a population around 750,000 or so when the British capture it. That gives a much bigger demographic base to work with than the OTL Cape Colony.
Second, there's a somewhat more lax definition of "White" here. Arabs, non-Drakan Europeans, Kurds, and Persians eventually attain a second-class citizenship.
Third, the Afrikaners IOTL did have a very high rate of growth, just about doubling every 20-25 years until the modern era before you factor in immigration. With very explicitly pro-natalist policies, its possible that rate might be increased a bit, or at the very least decay much slower than OTL. Today there are about ~500 million Whites in the Americas. In 1820 that figure was 12 million. In 1783, that was closer to 5 million. If the Draka Confederation receives a large share of European immigrants, it might just be possible to pull off. It's also worth noting is that Germany gets dismembered Morgenthau-style ITTL, prompting tens of millions to flee, so that's a huge injection of people right there)
I admit it's pushing the envelope with plausibility, but if everything went right, and taking into account all of that, I do think you could just barely pull it off.
The detail about the citizen population rising to parity with the serfs was a detail included by the commissioner, so I've done my best to come up with a justification for that.
Oh cool ! Is there a deviantart page for this ?
There is, click on the link at the bottom of the post with the map.
Since it's mentioned that the Draka immigration policy favored Christians over non-Christian whites, why would they destroy Jerusalem? Wouldn't that just alienate their White Christian population? Not to mention further alienate the British and other White Christian powers...
That detail was also included by the commissioner. My guess is that the Christian holy sites probably weren't explicitly targeted, but might have been accidentally destroyed in fierce fighting as so many other cities were. Either that, or Draka went after Mecca and Medina first, and that could have prompted a reprisal attack on Christian sites. With Christian sites in Jerusalem destroyed, Draka doesn't hold back on the rest of the city?
The concern about how Draka's Christian population would react is valid - but in terms of intentional opinion, Draka was just on the verge of Pariah status as is.