Malê Rising

Hopefully Germany's leaders and voters will see the future is one of collerbation, not dominance. Of course, there is the Posen problem to consider. It's probably quite Germanised by now, if not by force, by peer-pressure.

On the plus side, the Baltic ports in Russia are probably booming. I was in Riga a few weeks ago; it's very pretty, and will probably be more so without all the devestation.

And to add onto what others had said, this is much less a Prussian dominated German Empire then OTL; which was a Federation in name only.

Well, not exactly. The individual states had a lot of leeway in internal matters (that was, I suppose, partly a fig leaf to let Prussia do whatever the hell its elites wanted internally; but still, Bavaria and co. were fairly autonomous on that basis). Through this site I learned that some German states had even separate diplomatic corps... a very strange things by modern OTL standards.
That said, in most things that mattered, Prussia* pretty much ran the show.

* Actually, a fairly limited portion of Prussian elite that happened to be self-identified with "Prussianness", and that properly speaking was mostly not even from Prussia proper, but rather from Brandenburg.
 
Germany's political structure is, on the surface, similar to OTL: Reichstag elected by universal suffrage, Reichsrat chosen by the state governments (not legislatures, governments), and the states having a large amount of internal autonomy. Where it's different is that, as Falecius has said, it's less Prussian-dominated, and also that several of the states have undergone their own democratization processes. Baden and Bavaria liberalized during the war, Hannover during the 1910s and even Prussia has been forced to abolish the three-class system (although as of the 1920s, it still isn't 100 percent democratic). Many of the smaller states, which are disproportionately represented in the Reichsrat, are still stuck in the nineteenth century, so there's a built-in conservative bloc in the upper house, but at this point it's no longer an automatic majority.

Jews, Slavs and even Indians or Africans can integrate fairly easily as long as they speak German and aren't associated with any non-German nationalism. There's unofficial discrimination and sometimes differential treatment by local government, but minorities have found their way to the upper echelons of business and politics.

We last checked in on Germany here, and I'll probably include at least something this decade, maybe as an adjunct to one of the updates involving German Africa.

BTW, the next update will probably happen a later in the week than I'd anticipated.
 


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Anita van der Merwe, The Trekkers’ Land (Cape Town: New Holland, 2003)

… The Cape Universal Suffrage Act 1933 was the ultimate fruit of the Bobotie Indaba forty years before. [1] If the Boers had continued to stand alone, they would have been a small minority to whom a universal franchise represented a mortal threat. But with the Coloureds and the Cape Malays in the Afrikaner fold, they were part of a majority instead – and, what’s more, a majority to which incoming minorities assimilated. Immigrants from Europe and Asia, Xhosa newly come from the eastern Cape or the Transkei to find factory jobs, and labor migrants from other parts of the South African Union all learned Afrikaans and English for work, and in their dealings with small merchants, they were likely to use the former. Some European immigrants were already marrying into Boer families, some Indians into the Cape Malay population and some Africans with the Cape Coloureds, all of which drew them into Afrikaner culture. So universal suffrage seemed less a threat than a natural step, and the final legislative vote on January 30, 1933 passed with less than twenty dissenters.

The Orange Free State, to the surprise of many, would be the next domino to fall. It was a more provincial society than the Cape, but most of the Africans living there were Sotho, and the wartime Boer-Sotho alliance had only deepened since the Imperial Party fell. The Boers felt comfortable sharing power with the Sotho elites, who by now were military comrades and business partners, and weren’t very worried about the Tswana minority, which mainly kept to itself. The entry of the All-South Africa Reform Congress into an Afrikaner-led coalition after the 1933 Cape election also reassured them that power-sharing would not lead to them being submerged.

A series of conferences on the Free State’s future began in 1934, involving several of the South African states: the king of Basotholand and the governor and chiefly council of the Bechuanaland Protectorate took part in the negotiations for their respective peoples, and the Cape government acted as facilitators. The result was the Bloemfontein Pact of 1935: the Free State would enact universal suffrage and legal equality of all citizens, in exchange for which the Africans agreed to work through the established political parties rather than forming separate ones. Party lists would be divided evenly between Europeans and Africans, with Sotho and Tswana represented in proportion to their numbers. If the president were European, the speaker of the Volksraad would be African and vice versa, and each people would have its own civil courts and communal institutions. This was not an arrangement of separate governments, such as Matabeleland had, but it did reassure all parties that they would not be judged by the others’ standards, and tied them more closely to their counterparts in other member states.

Griqualand and the Transvaal would be the hardest nuts to crack. In the former, the Griquas had begun to merge into the larger Afrikaner people, but that increased rather than calmed their cultural anxiety. Unlike the Boers, they didn’t think of themselves as cultural leaders, and they already felt compromised by having to enfranchise European miners. They felt that any expansion beyond that would lead either to being overwhelmed by Africans or absorbed into an undifferentiated Cape Coloured community. Some Africans – and a few Europeans – had been brought into the Griqua community over the past two generations through intermarriage or adoption, but the door was closed to those who were unable to find a sponsor or unwilling to assimilate.

And in the South African Republic, the Boers were quickly becoming a minority even among whites, with more and more Portuguese settlers spilling over the Mozambique frontier and sometimes marrying into the Pedi and Swazi populations. They were a much smaller proportion of the population than their counterparts in the Orange Free State, they had not reached an accommodation with their African neighbors, and they were traditionally more conservative. This meant that, although Africans won more legal protections during the 1930s, the ruling establishment considered a universal franchise out of the question, and it was only the fact that the Congress was still a mostly-Xhosa and Sotho movement that prevented serious unrest from arising.

To an extent, the fate of Griqualand and the Transvaal melded into the debate over the future of the union as a whole. On one occasion, the opposition leader in the South African Republic Volksraad suggested that universal suffrage be implemented for federal purposes only, and that a directly elected lower house be added to the existing parliament in which each state determined how to choose its delegates. This proposal encountered resistance not only from the Congress and from politicians who feared that direct federal elections would lead to centralization, but from the protectorates and princely states. Of the non-settler member states, only Basotholand had democratized in any meaningful way, and although the British governors in the others had begun to experiment with advisory councils, neither they nor the African elites were eager to disrupt the status quo. It is one of the 1930s’ greater ironies that the Swazi, Zulu and Tswana democratic movements had stronger support in Cape Town and Pretoria than in their own capitals.

The debate over what type of union South Africa should be, how it should be governed and how the member states should relate to the whole was in full cry by 1940. Nearly everyone realized that the existing structure was a collection of interim measures and compromises, but no one agreed on how it needed to be changed, and the fact that three member states owed nominal allegiance to Germany or Portugal didn’t make matters any simpler. The failure to find agreement on a constitution would impede the efforts to reach a resolution in Griqualand and the South African Republic, and it would also hinder the formation of a unified policy toward Natal…

… The South Africa of the 1930s was in a state of cultural flux to match its political flux. It was British in its institutions, even where those institutions had Dutch or African names, and British culture still carried an air of sophistication and informed many customs of daily life in the cities. But in the countryside, and in the mixed neighborhoods of Cape Town, the generation-old political union between the Boers and the mixed-race Afrikaners was becoming more and more of a cultural union, and it was reaching out to dominate the nation’s literary and artistic life.

The emergence of Coloureds and Cape Malays into South African letters had begun in the nineteenth century, but it picked up steam in the 1920s as their emerging movement gained influence among the Afrikaans magazines and publishing houses. In many cases, shared history led them to write about the same things the Boers did, but with a subtly different perspective: the theme of Adam Willemse’s The Trek (1932) was dear to the Boers’ hearts, but the viewpoint alternated between white and Coloured members of the same extended family. Other themes, especially among the Malay authors, were entirely new, as with Ebrahim Shahid’s Orang Cayen (1937), a magical-realist story of seventeenth-century Muslim settlers steeped in both Javanese and Khoikhoi legend. Even some Xhosa migrants to Cape Town had begun to write in Afrikaans, telling stories of contemporary life and their own great trek from the countryside to the industrial cities. And at the same time, white Afrikaners began exploring many of the same subjects, a development seen not only in novels but in poetry and song.

A third European culture, that of Portugal, was also growing in influence. In 1920, there might have been five thousand Portuguese in the entire union, but there were 35,000 in 1930 and 90,000 in 1940. Most lived in the Transvaal along the Mozambican border, but more and more came as factory workers to the Cape cities’ “Lisbon Towns” or to Basotholand and the princely states as small merchants, and Mutapa’s accession to the union meant that a portion of the Portuguese empire was now on South African soil. Their impact was felt strongly in South African cuisine, with many Mozambican and mainland Portuguese recipes becoming favorites among the Afrikaners and the northeastern African peoples. The Luso-African musical styles that had begun in Angola and Mozambique spread rapidly to South Africa beginning in the late 1920s, with the Portuguese, like the Coloureds, taking their place as a bridge between Europe and Africa.

And the growth of an African urban population was accompanied by a corresponding artistic movement. The design of public and interior spaces, especially in mixed neighborhoods, adopted more of an African aesthetic, and the number of books published by African authors increased more than ten times between 1930 and 1940. The African authors were divided over whether to promote their own languages as literary media or to write in Afrikaans and English to reach a wider audience, with many doing both at various times. Their output ranged from folklore collections and codifications of national epics (the epics being particularly important to the Zulus and Sotho) to contemporary novels and poetry, and the latter, influenced by the Congress’ pan-African ideology, began to build an African consciousness distinct from ethnic identity. This would, in time, both rival Afrikaner identity and become part of it…

*******

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Samuel Dlamini, “Natal After the Fall,” African History Quarterly 33: 279-86 (Summer 1979)


… In August 1929, a group of ninety Americans landed in Durban, hoping to find in Natal the Old South that had given way to the civil rights struggle. They were very surprised to learn that Natal didn’t want them. They were too American and too poor: the Natalian ruling class didn’t want to dilute its British character, and it certainly didn’t want white immigrants who would become industrial workers or small shopkeepers. The would-be immigrants went on to their ship’s next destination, Perth, and from there disappeared into history.

The story of the “Jim Crow refugees” was hardly unique. Natal took only a limited number of European immigrants each year, and held them to strict financial and language criteria. The Natalian ideal was a British gentry ruling over an African servant population, and it saw any Europeans who fell below the upper middle-class level as damaging to white supremacy. [3] Americans with money to invest were barely tolerable, in small numbers; working-class Americans – or worse yet, working-class Poles or Spaniards – were not even that. The democratic Cape, which did welcome working-class whites along with Indians and Chinese, typically drew four to six times the number of European immigrants that Natal did; it was not until the last few years, when putting men in uniform was a more urgent need than maintaining a Little England character, that the Natalian government would relax the qualifications.

Of course, the fact that Natal didn’t want exiles from the Jim Crow South didn’t prevent it from imitating that regime. In some ways, it went even beyond the excesses of the southern United States: the Jim Crow states had to work within limits imposed by federal law, while Natal effectively had none. By the 1930s, when the Natalian system reached its nadir, Africans endured movement restrictions, exploitative labor, censorship and sheer terror that was, if not slavery, rivaled only by conditions in the old rubber colonies.

During and immediately after the Imperial period, many Africans had voted with their feet and fled to Basotholand, Zululand or Transkei. To stem the tide, Natal instituted a registration and pass system under which Africans were restricted to their home districts and checkpoints were posted at district boundaries. A labor tax forced Africans above the age of sixteen to work on public projects two months a year, and additional cash taxes forced them to work for the European farmers and businesses that were their only source of currency. Any crime – and nearly anything could qualify as one, according to the administrative courts that handled offenses by Africans – could result in deportation to a labor camp or leasing to a private employer for a term of years. Indians were treated only marginally better: they were not subject to annual forced labor and had access to elementary education, but they were also restricted to certain districts and jobs, and those who were seen as troublemakers faced drastic consequences.

The Africans did not submit to this regime willingly, and in the early years, there were strikes and uprisings. But there were few weapons in Natal, where (unlike the Transkei or Zululand) Africans had never been allowed to enlist in the army, and the narrowness of the coastal strip enabled the Natalian forces to quarantine rebellions districts and prevent uprisings from spreading. By the 1930s, those who had not been killed in battle or fallen victim to the brutal reprisals had fled into the bush, finding what refuge they could in the Drakensberg and getting sporadic help from their South African compatriots, while the remainder resigned themselves to their lot for the time being.

The Natalian regime did have the perverse benefit of slowing the spread of Congo fever: with movement restricted so severely, there were fewer opportunities to transmit the disease to new regions. But that was more than offset by the complete absence of educational and public health measures. In the rest of southern Africa, even Matabeleland, public health campaigns were starting to have an effect, and the number of known cases was holding steady or beginning to decline. In Natal, the fever was “treated” only by folk cures and magic, and it inspired the same apocalyptic visions that had swept Matabeleland the decade before.

It was these, ironically, that would bring matters to a head. Even the totalitarian regime imposed on Natal’s Africans could not entirely prevent communication, and an apocalyptic cult spread across the country that equated the state with the Congo fever itself. There would be an event, it was told, that would usher in a cure for both of the people’s afflictions. And with the death of King Albert in early 1941, the prophets in several districts believed that the event had come…
_______

[1] See post 1206.

[2] See post 4122.

[3] I am indebted to Viriato’s discussion of Rhodesian immigration policy here.
 
Gyaah... Natal is almost akin to Nazi Germany now, only instead of Jews and Kristallnacht we have Africans and controlled movement. :eek:

Wait... was there ever a Natal Kristallnacht done by the government? Considering the ideal of the "British gentry", I don't think so. Then again, this is Natal...
 
Gyaah... Natal is almost akin to Nazi Germany now, only instead of Jews and Kristallnacht we have Africans and controlled movement. :eek:

Wait... was there ever a Natal Kristallnacht done by the government? Considering the ideal of the "British gentry", I don't think so. Then again, this is Natal...

They seem more traditional quasi-Fascists (without the moral nihilism, so not actual Fascists) than full Nazis.
South Africa seems... complicated.
 

Sulemain

Banned
Another fantastic update, and Natal sounds pretty scary. Was the update with regard to the American would-be immigrants a shot across the bows of the Draka?
 
Wait... was there ever a Natal Kristallnacht done by the government? Considering the ideal of the "British gentry", I don't think so. Then again, this is Natal...
The Nazi Kristallnacht was one in a long line of measures aimed at separating Jews from German - prior to the Nazi regime, German Jews had been well-integrated into German society and many, perhaps most, saw themselves as Germans with Jewish religion or family background, not as a separate ethnicity. There was a reservoir of diffuse anti-semitism among the non-Jewish population, on which the Nazis built, but the Nazi view of the Jews as racially alien was held only by a small minority of Germans, and the Nazis had to separate the Jews from other Germans step-wise, turning them from normal fellow-citizens, some of whom just followed different customs, into despised aliens. That is why the Kristallnacht targeted Jewish houses of worship, businesses, and institutions, to turn them from people more or less "just like us" into aliens without a basis in society. I assume that in TTL Natal, there isn't much to target - most Africans won't have been middle class peers that needed to be marked out, separated, and alienated from their neighbours, but a disadvantaged underclass to begin with. So I can imagine actions aimed against political organisations, trade unions, etc., punitive raids against villages or neighbourhoods that are deemed to harbour "troublemakers", and clearances of land coveted by white settlers, but I doubt that there is a need for coordinated Kristallnacht actions aimed at removing Africans from a circle of society to which most never had a chance to belong to begin with.
 
You said there were three nations in the South African federation that were allegiant to Germany or Portugal. Rehoboth and Namaland are allegiant to Germany, Transvaal and Mutapa are allegiant to Portugal. Am I wrong on one of those?
 
Gyaah... Natal is almost akin to Nazi Germany now, only instead of Jews and Kristallnacht we have Africans and controlled movement. :eek:

They seem more traditional quasi-Fascists (without the moral nihilism, so not actual Fascists) than full Nazis.

The model is actually less Nazism or even garden-variety fascism than a distillation of the worst practices in the colonial playbook. I've been reading van Reybrouck's Congo lately, and Natal isn't even that far off what happened to some parts of Africa in OTL. Corvee labor was practiced in the Belgian Congo until the 1950s - during WW2 it was 120 days per year - and many of the Kimbanguists were deported to labor camps with a 20 percent death rate. Public hangings were common - more than 1000 of them between 1931 and 1953 - as the colonial authorities considered them an edifying spectacle. Forcing Africans to seek formal employment via a cash tax was done in many colonies and was a source of conflict both in OTL and TTL. The Natalian response to rebellion is based on the Kenya Emergency.

One of the things I've mentioned before when discussing TTL's colonial atrocities is that they seem far more atrocious when considered against the backdrop of TTL's generally fairer landscape, but in OTL they might hardly have been noticed at all. Plenty of things almost as bad passed under the radar in the Congo, the Central African Republic and Angola.

In any event, for the reasons wannis stated, there has been no Kristallnacht analogue in Natal. Racial lines were drawn much more sharply in Natal than in the Cape (both in TTL and OTL), and Durban has no equivalent of District Six or Sophiatown where an aspiring black or mixed-race middle class exists. There is in fact very little mixed-race population at all in Natal - the Dunnsland Coloureds are about it. The Africans were thus segregated already, and there was no need for a show of violence to push them out. Violence is, of course, directed against anyone who makes trouble or is seen as making trouble (or is seen as possibly making trouble in the future) but it's all done by the security forces, nothing like a Kristallnacht mob orgy.

Another fantastic update, and Natal sounds pretty scary. Was the update with regard to the American would-be immigrants a shot across the bows of the Draka?

No, it wasn't really, although in hindsight it might seem that way. The inspiration was, as stated in footnote 3, Viriato's discussion of Rhodesian immigration policy in OTL, which was also heavily weighted toward middle-class British immigrants (and against everyone else) out of concern that whites in working-class jobs would set a bad example. The Natalians seem likely to have the same landed-gentry outlook.

Viriato, BTW, is a great source for facts and figures on colonial Rhodesia and Portuguese Africa - I believe he researched the subject for a university paper at one time. If anyone knows him and can steer him over here, I'd be interested to know what he thinks of TTL's setup.

You said there were three nations in the South African federation that were allegiant to Germany or Portugal. Rehoboth and Namaland are allegiant to Germany, Transvaal and Mutapa are allegiant to Portugal. Am I wrong on one of those?

Only Mutapa is part of the Portuguese empire. Transvaal drifted into the Portuguese orbit for a while in order to fend off British demands, but drifted back when the South African Union formed. The Portuguese settlers spilling over from Mozambique are coming on their own rather than being sponsored by their government.

South Africa seems... complicated.

A union that includes parts of three empires with different levels of sovereignty, internal forms of government and cultural traditions will do that.

BTW, I hope that the events in South Africa weren't overshadowed by those in Natal. The Natalian descent into madness is all well and good, but we've got Portuguese in Cape Town, magical realism among the Cape Malays, Xhosa writing in Afrikaans, and a Lebanon-style national pact in the Orange freakin' Free State.

Oh, and one thing I didn't mention is that the Portuguese will bring their racial attitudes with them. Single Portuguese men will have no problem marrying into Coloured or African families, especially since some of them will live where there are few whites (the places with "Lisbon Towns" include Ulundi and Thaba Bosiu). They'll be a data point in the Cape's transition to an "everyone's Coloured, some are just more so than others" outlook.
 
Having South Africa end up so relatively even-handed on racial and cultural lines (minus Natal, pity they've retained OTL's nastier colonial tendencies since it's climatically-speaking probably my favorite part of the country :() is certainly a good thing in my book. Although, and this isn't directed at anybody but rather a micro-rant, it does bother me how it seems Anglo colonies can't ever seem to adopt any sort of personal decency towards non-whites without a pre-Industrial POD...given that Portugal was hardly a saint IOTL's Africa either. Just can't do much for it, I suppose, and again rather off topic.

Anyway, nice update Jon! Will we see the Pan-African concept move forward in a more productive manner, not to mention hopefully less sanguineous, in the future? Also, I do have to wonder if the way Africa's evolving ITTL is going to mean anything different for the Cape-Cairo railway relative to our POV, or if it will result in "conflicts of interest" of the not-so-nice variety?
 
JE, looks like a really good update. I'm still really enjoying the development of the pan-racial Afrikaner identity, and the new twist of Portuguese settlers involving themselves so heavily was a great twist to that. 90,000 seems like quite a lot though. Is the remaining Portuguese empire in Africa that unappealing or is there a similar level of movement there?

Also, I am rather distressed to realize that even if the racial situation is better than OTL, the democratization process is not accelerating to that same standard. That's going to be quite a mess for the princely states of SA in the future, even moreso than it was in India.

Having South Africa end up so relatively even-handed on racial and cultural lines (minus Natal, pity they've retained OTL's nastier colonial tendencies since it's climatically-speaking probably my favorite part of the country :() is certainly a good thing in my book. Although, and this isn't directed at anybody but rather a micro-rant, it does bother me how it seems Anglo colonies can't ever seem to adopt any sort of personal decency towards non-whites without a pre-Industrial POD...given that Portugal was hardly a saint IOTL's Africa either. Just can't do much for it, I suppose, and again rather off topic.

Anyway, nice update Jon! Will we see the Pan-African concept move forward in a more productive manner, not to mention hopefully less sanguineous, in the future? Also, I do have to wonder if the way Africa's evolving ITTL is going to mean anything different for the Cape-Cairo railway relative to our POV, or if it will result in "conflicts of interest" of the not-so-nice variety?
I certainly don't think that's it's an Anglo-only colony problem. ITTL, there's been a lot of developments ideologically that have helped to mitigate the problems, but hardly have they been eliminated.

It's easy to get lost in the Imperial Party's excesses and aftermath, but remember that Portugal did have extensive issues with their African Empire, which were essentially kneecapped by the Celestine-inspired Church action. Germany on the whole seems one of the most enlightened, but also continues to run one of the most exploitative colonies left in Central Africa, even if exposees have helped to soften the blow somewhat. The Dutch and the Spanish likely would have developed their empires towards more exploitative directions, but were too weak to effectively suppress local rebels in Indonesia or Morocco.

Only Britain had the power and influence, even after the disaster of the Imperial Party, to retain a significant level of authority and influence for its citizens and supporters. Even then, it lost the jewel of its Empire. South Africa's essentially the last major territory in the empire with a large and clearly institutionalized identity conflict between European colonials and the native Africans. It's not all that surprising that it'll be one of the last bastions of serious interracial conflict ITTL. Even moderate whites in the Cape and other places are likely to be uncomfortable with their loss of power relative to Africans(and Afrikaners) for the short term, and I think the update reflects that.
 
I suspect the South African flag will be radically different, possibly including the Springbok in some fashion.

Hmmm, I wonder if South Africa even has a flag, as distinct from the flags of the member states. After all, it backed into union, and it's still a somewhat haphazard collection of states with different levels of independence and even imperial allegiances. They'd probably want to have one, but reaching agreement would be anything but easy - maybe they'd just use a simple ensign like OTL South Africa did from 1910 to 1928.

If there is a union flag, the most likely alternatives would seem to be one that combines the symbols of all member states (which would be a God-awful mess), an arbitrary design, or a shared symbol. In OTL, the springbok was a white Afrikaner symbol, but with TTL's more inclusive meaning of "Afrikaner," it may be widely-enough shared to fall in the third category.

Will we see the Pan-African concept move forward in a more productive manner, not to mention hopefully less sanguineous, in the future?

Pan-Africanism, like pan-anything, is one of those ideas that's guaranteed to lead to both unity and blood. In South Africa, it will be a rallying point, but it can also be an excuse for dictatorship and repression of minorities.

Also, I do have to wonder if the way Africa's evolving ITTL is going to mean anything different for the Cape-Cairo railway relative to our POV, or if it will result in "conflicts of interest" of the not-so-nice variety?

The Cape-to-Cairo project never really got off the ground in TTL, because Egypt was never British. What Britain went for instead was Cape to Dar es Salaam, which actually did get built (Portugal gave an easement over its territory during the Great War in return for Britain's concession of an Angola-Mozambique corridor), but the impending breakup of the Zanzibari empire might lead to some of those conflicts of interest you mention.

I'm still really enjoying the development of the pan-racial Afrikaner identity, and the new twist of Portuguese settlers involving themselves so heavily was a great twist to that. 90,000 seems like quite a lot though. Is the remaining Portuguese empire in Africa that unappealing or is there a similar level of movement there?

Various Portuguese governments have been sponsoring emigration to Africa since soon after the Great War, so there are many more Portuguese there now than at this time in OTL. The ones who move on to South Africa are generally those who arrive in Mozambique, find out that land is at a premium, and decide to go where wages are higher.

Also, I am rather distressed to realize that even if the racial situation is better than OTL, the democratization process is not accelerating to that same standard. That's going to be quite a mess for the princely states of SA in the future, even moreso than it was in India.

Yes, at this point Basotholand is the exception rather than the rule - most are either near-absolute monarchies like OTL Swaziland, or oligarchies run by traditional chiefs (and remember that "traditional" often means "installed by a British governor in the nineteenth century"). Their status as formal British protectorates tends to favor the status quo, if only by requiring more people to sign off on any changes. And while the people in the protectorates tend to be conservative even by South African standards, the growth of African political consciousness won't leave them alone forever. Universal suffrage in the settler states won't be the end of political conflict in South Africa, oh no it won't.

Although, and this isn't directed at anybody but rather a micro-rant, it does bother me how it seems Anglo colonies can't ever seem to adopt any sort of personal decency towards non-whites without a pre-Industrial POD...

I wouldn't single out the British - in OTL, they were probably the best of a bad lot as far as non-settler colonies went. Settler colonies were another story, but as Algeria and Libya show, that was a problem across the board.

In TTL, as Jord839 points out, the Portuguese regime in Africa isn't that nice, and German Central Africa is a very different world from German Southern Africa. For that matter, the Zanzibaris haven't always treated their hinterland well. There have been plenty of conflicts that don't involve Anglos, and more are coming.

Even then, it lost the jewel of its Empire. South Africa's essentially the last major territory in the empire with a large and clearly institutionalized identity conflict between European colonials and the native Africans. It's not all that surprising that it'll be one of the last bastions of serious interracial conflict ITTL.

There are also the West Indies and Bermuda, but they too have residual racial conflict.
 
Yeah, like I said sort of a micro-rant, one that as pointed out isn't as bad as it looks relatively speaking, I suppose :p. But yeah, Pan-Africanism is one of those political movements that seem rather easy to reshape to one's needs, even if it means killing off large scores of folks that happen to disagree with toeing one's line, or if one happens to belong to the wrong group (like, say, the Cape Malays or Afrikaners). I just hope whoever sets the standard for such a movement is less Mugabe and more Mandela, for whatever that's worth.

And yeah, I forgot the Cairo end wouldn't work ITTL...to be fair, Mr. Edelstein, you sure do write a lot, and it's easy to lose one's place sorting through a whole time line :p. But your point about Zanzibar is well taken. Would the aftermath of the war in India possibly make waves in that particular bee's nest, perchance?
 
It's been building for a while, but I love the direction South Africa is going. It's such a lovely hodgepodge, with all the good and drawbacks of such a union. I like too how the Boers are expanding into a multiracial entity. Besides the Griqua, this seems pretty sharply the opposite of OTL as far as I understand the racial and ethnic politics/identity formation of OTL's Boers.

Natal though, that place sounds like a text book example of that phrase,"For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction."
 
Bloodly hell, Germany's rich!

Illorin is almost as wealthy as the UK?

Hold up... Johor is more economically richer than Japan!? The Japanese political fighting must be worse than I thought. :eek:

The post did say per capita, guys. Mind you, with such a big population, Germany's per capita GDP is very, very high.

Otherwise, I think the UK's population is rather higher than Illorin, and Japan's rather bigger than Johor. ;)

This is before the OTL massive population explosion in Asia and Africa (though with better agriculture and access to medicine, and a more developed economy, it may happen rather earlier ITTL. :eek:)
 
Well, after a conversation with a German teaching friend of mine, AE's post made me realize that he would have absolutely zero problem finding a job ITTL where Germany is ungodly rich and influential. :p

And on a slightly related note, it was decided that there's a Malagasy diaspora currently in Germany for work right now, correct? I'd really like to see somebody paint us a picture of that particular mixing.

Various Portuguese governments have been sponsoring emigration to Africa since soon after the Great War, so there are many more Portuguese there now than at this time in OTL. The ones who move on to South Africa are generally those who arrive in Mozambique, find out that land is at a premium, and decide to go where wages are higher.
Ah. Makes sense. I assume that they're also growing in other regions of the copper belt then?

If so, that's going to be yet another disruption to the social fabric in that area, and, worse, another vector for Congo Fever.

Yes, at this point Basotholand is the exception rather than the rule - most are either near-absolute monarchies like OTL Swaziland, or oligarchies run by traditional chiefs (and remember that "traditional" often means "installed by a British governor in the nineteenth century"). Their status as formal British protectorates tends to favor the status quo, if only by requiring more people to sign off on any changes. And while the people in the protectorates tend to be conservative even by South African standards, the growth of African political consciousness won't leave them alone forever. Universal suffrage in the settler states won't be the end of political conflict in South Africa, oh no it won't.
Yeesh. That's worse than I expected.

I wouldn't single out the British - in OTL, they were probably the best of a bad lot as far as non-settler colonies went. Settler colonies were another story, but as Algeria and Libya show, that was a problem across the board.

There are also the West Indies and Bermuda, but they too have residual racial conflict.
True, I forgot about them. That'll be its own situation and ball of tension. South Africa's just unique relative to OTL in the British Empire as its a settler colony where the natives are still very much around, which makes the issue stand out quite a bit.

Yeah, like I said sort of a micro-rant, one that as pointed out isn't as bad as it looks relatively speaking, I suppose :p. But yeah, Pan-Africanism is one of those political movements that seem rather easy to reshape to one's needs, even if it means killing off large scores of folks that happen to disagree with toeing one's line, or if one happens to belong to the wrong group (like, say, the Cape Malays or Afrikaners). I just hope whoever sets the standard for such a movement is less Mugabe and more Mandela, for whatever that's worth.
Eh, don't sweat it. This TL has developed a much stronger core focus on the part of Africa that Britain is involved with, and so it can seem like only Britain's screwing up at times.

And on the note of Pan-Africanism's possible problems, well, JE said that part of the difference ITTL Africa is that the people are taking a larger part in the fighting to form the identity of the states that rule them. Key word: fighting. Even ITTL, I seriously doubt decolonization's going to result in happy times throughout Africa. The rubber colonies, the chaos that could result from the Zanzibari collapse in the hinterland, issues in the Congo, etc. People will likely use pan-Africanism to justify the states they create in the intervening years. Sometimes, this will be a good thing. Others...
 
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