Malê Rising


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Mary Robinson, A Nation Once Again (Dublin: Collins, 1993)

… The 1910s in Ireland dawned in discontent. The country had prospered moderately during its first decade of self-government, but its tentative growth and the literary flowering of the middle to late 1900s was overshadowed by its dysfunctional government. The Unionists who ruled the autonomous province of Ulster refused to support any national government, and none of the major southern factions – the left, the Catholic Liberals, the ultramontanes and the bourgeois nationalists – could come close to a majority. The elections of 1905 and 1909 brought in a succession of short-lived and ineffective minority governments, creating a power vacuum that was increasingly filled by the governor-general. That official replaced governments and broke deadlocks in a way that answered mainly to the powers that be in London.

The onset of recession in 1910 affected Ireland almost immediately. Although it was now a kingdom rather than a province, its economy was still tied almost exclusively to Britain’s, and remittances from workers in the United Kingdom were a critical source of foreign exchange. As the depression began to bite, unemployment soared beyond even British levels, and Ireland lacked even the incomplete safety net that Britain had set up during the Asquith years. Many Irish families took the time-honored path of emigration, going to Canada and Australasia, to the United States, even to Brazil and the Southern Cone; the modern Irish communities of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Porto Alegre date from this time.

The emergence of the Imperial Party did nothing to improve the situation. The Ulster Unionists became a de facto branch of the party, bringing it to power there more than three years before it took control of Britain itself. Its rise was accompanied by a sharp increase in harassment of Catholics in Ulster. Life had been difficult for Catholics in the north and Unionists in the south for some time, and the 1900s had seen a slow but steady population exchange between the regions, but now the remaining northern Catholics faced violence sanctioned by the provincial government and often carried out by the police. Volunteers from the Catholic nationalist parties in the south went to join the fight, and by late 1912 it had become known as the “Donegal War,” although the fighting in Cavan, the only other Ulster county that still had a Catholic majority, was at least as fierce.

The Donegal War did have one arguably positive outcome: it convinced the squabbling southern parties of the need to form a united front against the Imperials. During the 1913 electoral campaign, the Irish Workers’ Party, the Catholic Liberals and the Irish National Party reached a formal alliance, and on election day, they won almost 70 percent of the parliamentary seats. Their program was the product of much compromise, and consisted largely of establishing social insurance and maintaining a liberal status quo, but for the first time since home rule, Ireland had an effective government with the will to act against civil disorder.

In October 1913, soon after the government was sworn in, detachments of the Irish army moved into Donegal and Cavan with orders to suppress armed groups and quell the endemic violence. One of the armed groups that resisted the army was, in the event, the Ulster police. As the scale of police involvement in the fighting became apparent – and as police units armed with military weapons engaged in pitched battles with the army – the government decided to move on Belfast and seize the police headquarters and logistical command. The Ulster representatives declared this a violation of provincial autonomy and walked out of parliament; days later, the provincial legislature declared that Ulster had seceded from Ireland and rejoined the United Kingdom.

These were the last days of the Liberal minority government in London, and the last thing it wanted was to reassume responsibility for Ireland, so despite pleas from the Unionists and from the Imperial delegation in the British parliament, it declined to recognize the secession. By January 1914, the Irish army had occupied Belfast and placed Ulster under martial law. But while the army had succeeded in subduing overt resistance, it was almost immediately faced with a wave of Unionist terrorism, much of it funded and armed by the Imperial Party’s leadership.

The Ulster conflict, and the failure of the Liberals and then the Liberal-Tory grand coalition to do anything about it, became an Imperial rallying point in the October 1914 British general election, and one of the first acts of the incoming Imperial government was to reverse the previous year’s decision and declare that Ulster was once again British. It demanded that the Irish army quit the northern province within a week or face invasion. The government in Dublin was bitterly divided, with many wanting to fight, but the majority realized that they couldn’t win a war against the British army. Ireland refused to relinquish its claim to Ulster, but by the end of November, Irish forces had withdrawn, followed soon after by mass expulsion of the remaining Catholic population.

The government barely survived this humiliation, and the disaster strengthened the hand of the party that hadn’t joined the electoral alliance: the ultramontanes. They turned the 1915 municipal elections into a national campaign, castigating the government for abandoning the Ulster Catholics and appealing to the crusading spirit of the Legion that many had sympathized with during the war. In the cities where they won control – not Dublin, but several western towns where refugees from Ulster were numerous – they began to create a microcosm of the Belgian-style state that they wanted to establish in all Ireland, and those towns would be their rallying point in the national and provincial elections of 1917…

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Anand Satyanand, Forward Australasia (Auckland: Kiwi, 2009)

… In its own mind, Australasia entered the twentieth century as the mistress of the South Pacific. It was no longer a collection of small colonies but a union of respectable size, augmented by the annexation of Fiji and New Caledonia. It had built a blue-water navy during the war and emerged with a fleet of transports and colliers that formed the foundation of a sizable merchant marine. It had commercial interests in the new Indochinese protectorates and the independent Pacific islands, and considered itself the natural cadet for the British Empire in the region.

But the new federation was not without growing pains. Although the differences between the Australasian states were as nothing compared to those of South Africa, the disparities in political tradition, economics and, most of all, demographics, loomed large all the same. The busy factories of Melbourne were not the outback of the bush balladeers; the yeomen of New Zealand, and their special arrangement with the Maori, were not the indentured-labor-worked sugar plantations of Queensland and Fiji. Popular politics, and the devolution to the states of responsibility for citizenship and voting rights, could only go so far in bridging these differences.

The “Indian Question” of the 1900s was a case in point. Wages in Australasia, both for industrial and agricultural workers, were among the highest in the world, and during the last two decades of the nineteenth century, unionized labor had won such unprecedented concessions as an eight-hour day. With federation, the unions feared that businessmen might undermine their gains by importing cheap Asian and Pacific Island labor, and the incorporation of Fiji and Queensland made these fears all the more acute. The laws of both states excluded Asians from citizenship, but Indians were a majority in Fiji and a sizable contingent of the Queensland labor force, and the prospect of them working in factories or on sheep ranches was enough to throw the trade unions into a panic.

As had happened in London and Chatham with the arrival of the Malê, a debate ensued between those who wanted to address the problem by unionizing the Asian and Melanesian laborers and setting statutory wage floors, and those who preferred to do so by keeping non-Europeans out. The latter won out in the emerging Australasian Labor Party, and between 1900 and 1907, a series of laws were passed banning Asians and Pacific Islanders from living outside the states where they were already settled, and in some cases requiring them to leave the country.

The New South Wales version of the law, enacted in 1904, would result in the landmark case of R v. Chaudhry. There were few Indians in New South Wales, but one of them, Mahendra Chaudhry, was a son of indentured laborers who had studied law in London and had become a gadfly to the government through his litigation of Aboriginal land cases and his representation of immigrants accused of being subversive. Within days after the law went into effect, the police arrested Chaudhry and ordered him held pending deportation to India. Hardly one to take such things lying down, he secured bail and challenged his exclusion in court, ultimately reaching the Privy Council in 1907. That body, citing the precedent of Jaja of Opobo [1], held that British subjects were permitted to live anywhere in the British Empire, and that while Australasia or its states were free to exclude immigrants from places like China or Samoa, they could not keep out Indians. Chaudhry was free to live and practice law in Sydney.

The ramifications of the decision went far beyond Indians: Vietnamese and Cambodians were also British subjects now, as were the natives of the former French Polynesia – the last of which had an Indian governor and an increasing reformist Islamic presence. Many feared that “every place would now be Queensland,” and pushed, often successfully, for laws restricting non-citizens to certain occupations and requiring them to register with the police. But others decided that, since it was inevitable that Asians would come to Australasia, those who had preferred to use unions and minimum wages to prevent them from undercutting white labor were right. By 1909, several agricultural and industrial unions had voted to admit Indians (although most still did not), and labor activists had taken the fight to the enemy by organizing plantation workers in Queensland and Fiji. It was during one of these campaigns that Chaudhry was arrested for disturbing public order – this time, with a criminal conviction, the authorities were able to make his deportation stick – but the labor movement in both states grew steadily, and Indians were seen as subversives who must be closely watched.

The situation was not helped by an overall apprehension about India, which, during the Partnership Raj, believed that it was Britain’s cadet in southeast Asia. Throughout the 1900s and early 1910s, a rivalry grew between Australasian and Indian merchants, with Indians in the colonial civil service often favoring their countrymen while the Australasians appealed to the British administrators. The Indian trade offices in Sydney and Brisbane often represented contract laborers in cases of alleged mistreatment, and state authorities often alleged (though they could never prove) that the sugar workers’ unions were funded by Indian nationalist groups...

… New Zealand and New Caledonia also challenged Australasian racial and labor policies. Both had indigenous citizens – the Maori had been represented in New Zealand’s parliament for two generations, and those Kanak chiefs who had French citizenship under the Latin Right retained their status under the terms of annexation – so, by their very existence, provided a standard against which treatment of Aboriginal Australians could be measured. And while the Maori rarely left their homeland, many Kanaks did, serving in the merchant marine and doing seasonal work in Queensland. Some used their protected status as citizens to organize the Melanesian workers much as the Australian unions had already begun to do with the Indians, and also made contact with the nascent Aboriginal movement. Many Aborigines dissatisfied with mission or reservation life followed them into the merchant marine, where they would have a persistent presence.

The white New Caledonians fit into Australasia much better. Their society had many points in common with Australian ranching culture, and during the 1900s, an increasing number of mainland Australians went to work and settle among them. By 1910, there were nearly as many English-speaking Australians as Caldoches in New Caledonia and marriages between the two were common, laying the foundation of the bilingual society that would develop in succeeding decades…

… Australasia greeted the rise of the Imperial Party with mixed emotions. Some, especially in the sugar states, welcomed the Imperials’ reassertion of British supremacy over the colonial populations, and others hoped that the party would pass legislation to overrule the Chaudhry decision and allow the expulsion of Indians and Southeast Asians. Queensland elected an Imperial government in 1913 and Fiji the following year, with both moving immediately to tighten restrictions on non-citizens and crack down on agricultural unions.

But the majority saw the Imperials as something bizarre and frightening. The party’s anti-union program didn’t sit well with Australasia’s long tradition of labor activism, its anti-feminism ran counter to the historic Australasian progressivism on women’s rights, and even the most conservative were aghast at its disregard for settled relationships and institutions. For many, the final straw was the growing trouble in Ireland: the Imperials’ recognition of the Ulster secession infuriated Australasia’s large Irish population, leading to protests in the major cities that verged on riots. In Sydney, Melbourne and Perth, Imperial sympathizers attacked the protesters, fighting pitched battles in the streets with Irish trade unionists, with the governments of all three states having to call up the militia to restore order.

The violence of 1915 solidified the Imperials’ reputation as troublemakers, and while they retained control of the Queensland legislature in the following year’s general election, they were voted out in Fiji and lost seats at the federal level compared to their 1913 performance. Relations between the federal government and Westminster became increasingly strained, and the outbreak of war in India would test whether the Australasians’ loyalty to Britain or their dislike of the Imperial ministry was stronger…

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Avril Campbell, Canada in the Twentieth Century (Queen’s Univ. Press, 1998)

… The Great War had left its scars on Canada, not only in the form of dead and wounded men but in the legacy of the Québec conscription riots. [2]. Conciliatory action on both sides had defused the situation at the time, and many French Canadians had served bravely in their own regiments, but the incident left a lingering perception among Anglo-Canadians that their francophone countrymen were unpatriotic and even treasonous, and bad feeling from the crisis led to a hardening of Québécois nationalism.

These feelings remained mostly latent through the 1900s, although they derailed the promising career of Wilfrid Laurier. The Liberal leader was personally popular and had widely been expected to become prime minister after the war, but his party unexpectedly lost the 1898 election due to anti-French sentiments in English Canada and Québécois resentment of his anti-clericalism and his opposition to the riots. He would lose the party leadership less than a year later, resigning from parliament to become a civil rights lawyer in Montréal, and his loss is often blamed for the Liberals’ failure to establish a firm foothold in Québec.

The 1900s were a time of prosperity, confidence and rapid growth, marked by industrial development and resumption of the immigration that had been interrupted by the war. By 1910, Canada had more than seven million people, and although it would lose its place as the most populous dominion the following year to the newly formed South African Union, it remained the richest and most developed. At the quadrennial Imperial Conferences, Canada was the strongest proponent of an increased role for the dominions in imperial governance. It led the charge for an imperial finance board as a condition of the 1912 debt relief package, in opposition to the Australasian delegation which wanted to provide the loan with no strings attached.

The British depression of 1910 had little immediate effect on Canada, whose largest trading partner was the United States: its economy would not go into recession until 1913 when the downturn became global. Like Australasia, which also went into recession late, Canada attracted tens of thousands of British immigrants, fleeing the worsening economic climate of the United Kingdom for places where there were still jobs.

It was this wave of immigration that would trigger the latent tensions between anglophone and francophone Canadians. More than 70,000 British immigrants settled in Montréal between 1911 and 1914, upsetting the provincial government’s attempt to secure the city’s French-speaking majority by annexing the suburbs. The Québécois legislature, dominated by ultramontane nationalists of the prewar, pre-Legion mold, responded by passing laws sharply restricting the use of English and redrawing the legislative map to favor francophone rural districts. The federal government pushed back, tabling a bill to take language policy out of provincial hands and establish English and French as co-official languages throughout the country.

It was during this period that Laurier, then in his seventies, re-emerged in national politics. He had represented many British and other anglophone workers and businessmen charged with violating the French-only laws, often winning acquittals and paying poor workers’ fines from his own pocket. The Anglophones and the liberals on the French-Canadian side saw him as a bulwark against oppressive provincial government and a voice of sanity in a time of rising passions, and in 1915, they returned him to parliament after a 16-year hiatus. His platform, and that of his new One Canada Party, centered on taking issues such as language and religion out of the political arena by establishing constitutional charters of rights at both the federal and provincial levels.

This quest would remain a quixotic one during Laurier’s lifetime, although the charter eventually written into the Canadian Constitution Act 1930 would conform almost exactly to his draft, but by the time of his election, the national political environment had shifted. Another wave of British immigration was in progress – this one consisting not of economic refugees from the depression but of political refugees from the Imperial government – and nearly all sectors of Canadian politics watched the Imperials’ progress with appalled horror. Although Imperial Leagues were formed in some cities and party supporters held marches demanding that the French-Canadians be punished, Canada was the one dominion where the party gained no significant following. The example provided by the Imperials’ exploitation of internal divisions convinced the moderate Anglo-Canadian and French-Canadian leadership to set their differences aside, and once again, Laurier was able to broker a climbdown, with the Québécois government agreeing to allow English in cities where anglophones formed at least a quarter of the population and the federal government withdrawing its attempt to make language policy a national matter.

This compromise, like the one during the war, would cause lingering resentment among hard-line Québécois nationalists, who retreated further into ultramontanism and planted the seeds of the conflicts of the 1920s through 60s, and among the more militant Anglo-Canadians. But language disputes would soon be moved off the front page by the deteriorating situation in India, and by the Canadian government’s attempts to forge a united response by the dominions…
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[1] See post 839.

[2] See post 1856.
 
Anand Satyanand, eh?

In any case, nice update... good to see Laurier's doing something; one question though, will Canada ever push to repatriate the Constitution?
 

Sulemain

Banned
Once again, Ireland has made the classic geo-political-historical mistake of being Ireland.. damm man, that country can't get a break.
 
I'm rather surprised that Ireland willingly withdrew from all of Ulster. I would think they'd try to continue to occupy Donegal and Cavan (maybe with some fig leaf of a plebiscite) and wait and see what the Imperials response would be.
 
Here's an idea; the British Empire has all sorts of important ties between its different members, and was getting along quite fine before the Imperials took power. What if the Empire just cut out Britain and made a go of a it on its own? A sort of Britain-less commonwealth tied together by a common language, close economic bonds, and the joint experience of fighting alongside each other in the war. I think it could work.
 
Here's an idea; the British Empire has all sorts of important ties between its different members, and was getting along quite fine before the Imperials took power. What if the Empire just cut out Britain and made a go of a it on its own? A sort of Britain-less commonwealth tied together by a common language, close economic bonds, and the joint experience of fighting alongside each other in the war. I think it could work.

We actually discussed this option about a dozen or so pages back, and the final verdict was really ambiguous, ultimately depending on how Jonathan would go for it.

I do hope though that some sort of Britain-less movement would be at least proposed in this timeline. :)
 

The Sandman

Banned
I'm rather surprised that Ireland willingly withdrew from all of Ulster. I would think they'd try to continue to occupy Donegal and Cavan (maybe with some fig leaf of a plebiscite) and wait and see what the Imperials response would be.

My guess?

They tried that. The Imperial response was to suddenly discover that a significant proportion of the Irish workers in Britain had visa issues and start deporting them. Amazingly enough, those issues were cleared up immediately after the Irish abandoned the last two counties.
 
Fascinating developments. Might the Irish antagonize the Imperials by inviting foreign investment from countries on the continent, maybe as support for Belgian-style parties by countries dominated by regimes following the same political ideology? That is, if the Irish even have the option to invite in foreign investment.

Australasia's relationships with the Dutch and the Japanese will start to matter a whole lot more as it drifts away from British control...
 
Of course Queensland keeps the Imperials. Great update.

Has the damage to British industry done anything to help industry in the Sahel regain some ground?
 
I'm wondering how long Ulster stays independent when the Indian war of independence goes into high gear
Will the conflicts in Canada be reminiscent of the troubles in Northern Ireland, or more like IRA terrorism in the rest of the country? I find it interesting that Canada's trying to keep all the dominions together while being against the Imperials. Any of those 'British' Asians bound for Canada instead due to that hesitance in Australasia?
The fact that Australasia now has Indians in Fiji, Melanesians in both Fiji and New Caledonia, and Maori in New Zealand, I do not see the Aborigines nor the Torres Strait Islanders remaining happy for too long. Makes sense that they would join the Merchant Marine as there's a long tradition of maritime trade between Paupa New Guinea, Northern Australia and Southern Indonesia pre-contact, and up till the 19th century IIRC. I see that dominions, imperial domains, princely states, kingdoms provinces and colonies of Britain will be drastically different after the dust settles. Any chance that a commonwealth style system will form?
 
To be perfectly honest, while I can see the Catholic Irish being displaced out of Ulster, I don't think that Protestants from the South would move into Ulster. The Anglo Irish didn't have much in common with the Ulster Scots. I think the order of preference would probably be (as IOTL) movement to the UK, remaining in Ireland quietly, or emigration elsewhere - with movement to Ulster at the bottom of the list.

That said, they would tend to be natural supporters of the Imperials, due to their being the historic ruling class of Ireland.
 
Great update. Hoping that the new union survives the strain the Imperials are putting it under.

Something will come out the other end - what kind of union it will be, and whether it will include all the original members, remains to be seen.

Anand Satyanand, eh?

Look at the other two authors' names also. They're distant ATL-cousins at best, or maybe entirely different people.

In any case, nice update... good to see Laurier's doing something; one question though, will Canada ever push to repatriate the Constitution?

I've got a bit of a soft spot for Laurier, and didn't want to see him entirely wasted; besides, I think his acts in TTL are the kind of thing he would do. He won't become Canada's greatest prime minister (don't ask me, ask Maclean's), but he'll be remembered as a visionary.

Repatriating the constitution is still a radical idea at this point, because most Canadians want to save the empire rather than end it, but it has entered the political discourse as a radical idea, and it might come to seem less radical with time.

Once again, Ireland has made the classic geo-political-historical mistake of being Ireland.. damm man, that country can't get a break.

So far from God, so close to Britain... but better times await, although it may take a good while to get to them.

I'm rather surprised that Ireland willingly withdrew from all of Ulster. I would think they'd try to continue to occupy Donegal and Cavan (maybe with some fig leaf of a plebiscite) and wait and see what the Imperials response would be.

As stated in the update, part of the government did want to fight, and they'd probably have done just that. The reason they got outvoted was the majority's fear that if it came to war, the Imperials wouldn't stop at just those two counties. Many of the Imperials were never keen on the whole home rule idea to begin with, and might have tried to reconquer all Ireland if given an excuse.

The decision to abandon Donegal and Cavan might be seen as one of the great what-ifs of TTL.

Here's an idea; the British Empire has all sorts of important ties between its different members, and was getting along quite fine before the Imperials took power. What if the Empire just cut out Britain and made a go of a it on its own?

We actually discussed this option about a dozen or so pages back, and the final verdict was really ambiguous, ultimately depending on how Jonathan would go for it.

I do hope though that some sort of Britain-less movement would be at least proposed in this timeline

No doubt the idea will be mooted, and the dominions may even work it out as a temporary measure. There would be a lot of logistical problems, though, and the internal differences and divergent interests among the dominions will make long-term arrangements difficult, not to mention that many people will have trouble conceiving of a British Empire without Britain as the center. I suspect they'll look more toward helping Britain recover its sanity.

Might the Irish antagonize the Imperials by inviting foreign investment from countries on the continent, maybe as support for Belgian-style parties by countries dominated by regimes following the same political ideology? That is, if the Irish even have the option to invite in foreign investment.

They're looking for other partners, all right - they can't recover as long as they're shackled to a depressed British economy, and they also want someone to guarantee their independence. No doubt German investors are getting VIP treatment at the moment - probably others as well.

Australasia's relationships with the Dutch and the Japanese will start to matter a whole lot more as it drifts away from British control...

With the United States too, and maybe eventually with an independent India. Australasia fears Indian independence, but also realizes that unlike Britain, it will have to live with India in the long term.

Of course Queensland keeps the Imperials.

Well, it would have to be Queensland, wouldn't it? Premier's name is Paul Hanson. :p

More seriously, Queensland has a substantial plantation sector (which AFAIK isn't duplicated anywhere else in Australia), had the bloodiest Aboriginal conflicts of anywhere, and has many Asian and Melanesian workers who it needs economically but wants to keep firmly in their place. It seems tailor-made for the Imperials.

Fiji has similar economics, which is why it went Imperial for a while. With so few whites there, though, everyone knows each other and politics are very clubby - all the parties can be trusted to put their foot down on the Indians, so once the Imperials picked up a troublemaking reputation, state politics swung away from them. (The indigenous Fijians are citizens of the federation, but they have a parallel government as they did under the OTL Fijian Affairs Act, and they're at least as anti-Indian as the whites are. In fact, the Fiji branch of the Imperial Party is unique in having indigenous members.)

Has the damage to British industry done anything to help industry in the Sahel regain some ground?

We'll see fairly soon. The executive summary is that the Imperials are as hostile to Sahelian industry as they are to Indian industry, but because the Niger Valley industries are concentrated in princely states, they have to work more indirectly, and the Niger states potentially have other options.

I'm wondering how long Ulster stays independent when the Indian war of independence goes into high gear

Well, that's the rub, isn't it? The Ulster Unionists have done well in the short term by joining the Imperial bandwagon, but once the Imperial Party falls, the Catholic refugees haven't given up on getting their farms back.

Will the conflicts in Canada be reminiscent of the troubles in Northern Ireland, or more like IRA terrorism in the rest of the country? I find it interesting that Canada's trying to keep all the dominions together while being against the Imperials. Any of those 'British' Asians bound for Canada instead due to that hesitance in Australasia?

I haven't yet decided how the Canadian conflicts will play out, especially since they'll mostly happen offstage, but at a guess, it will be something like the FLQ troubles of the 60s, augmented by Quebec having harder-line governments much of the time.

Some British emigrants went to Australasia too, but the political refugees do consider Canada safer.

The fact that Australasia now has Indians in Fiji, Melanesians in both Fiji and New Caledonia, and Maori in New Zealand, I do not see the Aborigines nor the Torres Strait Islanders remaining happy for too long.

Don't forget the Asian and Melanesian workers in Queensland, who are starting to become active. With citizenship and immigration policy devolved to the states in TTL, White Australia is much more of a patchwork - NSW, Vic, SA and WA are pretty white, but QLD isn't, and among other things, the Pacific Island agricultural workers weren't expelled after federation.

But no, the Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders won't be happy. For now, the main way out for the discontented is to join the merchant marine, but civil rights and land rights activism is already starting and will grow stronger.

I see that dominions, imperial domains, princely states, kingdoms provinces and colonies of Britain will be drastically different after the dust settles. Any chance that a commonwealth style system will form?

There's certainly a chance of that. There's a chance of nearly everything. :p I'll say, though, that this is the beginning of the end of the empire - the end of the end is still some time in the future.

To be perfectly honest, while I can see the Catholic Irish being displaced out of Ulster, I don't think that Protestants from the South would move into Ulster. The Anglo Irish didn't have much in common with the Ulster Scots. I think the order of preference would probably be (as IOTL) movement to the UK, remaining in Ireland quietly, or emigration elsewhere - with movement to Ulster at the bottom of the list.

Would it make a difference if there were incentives to move to Ulster - like, for instance, free land recently vacated by Catholic farmers? The UUs might not be culturally sympathetic to the Anglo-Irish, but they'd want them in Ulster to firm up their control, so they'd do everything they could to get the southern Protestants to come. Also, for many of the Anglo-Irish, remaining quietly in the south is no longer an option after the Donegal War.

That said, though, you're right that a majority probably would go to the UK or United States.

Anyway, a narrative next - the plan at the moment is Melbourne-Thaba Bosiu-Halifax, but that's subject to change without notice - then the colonies and domains to 1917, and then the empire from 1917-20.
 
Would it make a difference if there were incentives to move to Ulster - like, for instance, free land recently vacated by Catholic farmers? The UUs might not be culturally sympathetic to the Anglo-Irish, but they'd want them in Ulster to firm up their control, so they'd do everything they could to get the southern Protestants to come. Also, for many of the Anglo-Irish, remaining quietly in the south is no longer an option after the Donegal War.

That said, though, you're right that a majority probably would go to the UK or United States.

The problem I see is that the Anglo-Irish were the gentry of Ireland - the descendants of the old aristocracy for the most part. Although they had fallen upon hard times, and the Donnegal War probably made them even harder, I don't think many of them would find being reduced from professions such as law and medicine to smallholder tenant farmers. Even if they think the Ulster cause was just, I think they'd rather reign in hell than serve in heaven for the most part.

That said, I do think the large amount of depopulated land in Ireland is going to be attractive to the British. Obviously it might not be as attractive to unemployed urban factory workers, but I still see the Imperial party (both before and after taking power) working to transport tens of thousands of lower-class Scots and Northern English to empty lands in Donnegal and Cavan. These groups would much easier blend into the social fabric of Ulster.

It also makes me wonder to what degree - particularly now that an open row has broken out between Britain and Ireland - Imperial Britain will find ways to expell by hook or crook people of Irish descent. It seems an easy way to both placate their base and reduce unemployment at least in the short term.
 
Hi,Jonathan.I was thinking about the future of this TL,specifically about games:will there be something similar to Warhammer 40.000 ?

Thanks and Merry Christmas.
 
Thaba Bosiu, August 1916

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“They’re coming for us, your Majesty,” said Thekiso the peddler.

“Are you sure?” asked Chief Masupha sharply. “From all I hear, the Xhosa regiments are still in Matabeleland.”

The merchant bristled, but Lerotholi II, King of the Basotho, held up a hand. “Listen to him. He’s just come from Mthatha. I don’t recall that you’ve been there lately.”

“Thank you, your Majesty. I was in Mthatha, yes. Three of the regiments have returned from the north, and they’re getting ready to go out again rather than settling into the garrison. There are wagons of ammunition coming in, and at Disebo’s shebeen, the soldiers who knew she was a Mosotho told her to wear mourning.”

“They always taunt us…” Masupha began, but Khabane, the prime minister, cut him off midsentence. “Thekiso isn’t the first one to bring this news. The others who’ve been in Mthatha say the same thing, and we’ve been hearing things from Ulundi as well. The impis are gathering, and they’re guarding the roads west. And the Natal gendarmes – they never went to Matabeleland, and they’re mobilizing too.”

“So it’s happening then,” said Lerotholi, and he was suddenly at a loss. He’d spent the past two years disobeying the Imperial governor as quietly as possible, doing his best to ignore the man’s decrees and keep the British officers out without crossing the line into open rebellion, but he seemed to have run out of time. The Ndebele had been driven into the mountains, and now there were regiments to spare to take care of the nuisance the Sotho had become.

“Yes, it’s happening,” Khabane repeated, his voice harsh. “So what will we do about it, your Majesty, now that you know?” Unspoken, but hanging in the air, was the prime minister’s favorite saying, the one he’d learned from the man who’d made him a captain during the great war: knowledge without action is arrogance.

“I guess we fight,” the king answered after a couple of seconds’ pause. He was ashamed of those seconds, and of the words “I guess,” which were words Moshoeshoe the Great would never have spoken. He knew well that he was no Moshoeshoe, and he’d been almost grateful when Khabane and the other veterans had demanded that he share power with a parliament, but now the Basotho needed a leader. He hadn’t been that leader when the soldiers and villagers had run off the Imperial tax collectors and labor recruiters, and now, with his country threatened by invasion, the royal stool was suddenly a hard seat indeed.

He knew what war meant in Basotholand. The Sotho had fought wars before, and they’d won them: they’d abandoned the plains, driven the herds up into the mountains, and fought the enemy off with ambushes and raids. That wasn’t so easy now. Lerotholi strained his eyes, as if by doing so he could see beyond the walls of the palace compound. There were many thatched mokhoro there, but also buildings of stone: the parliament, churches, mosques, farmers’ banks, courthouses, schools. Maybe that didn’t matter in Thaba Bosiu, which was protected from assault by a hundred and twenty meters of sheer cliffs, but there were other towns in Basotholand, and all of them had things that couldn’t be moved…

“You guess?” Khabane asked, fastening like a bulldog on his king’s shame and doubt. “Do we have a choice, your Majesty?”

Yes. Yes, we have a choice. The Sotho could surrender. It could let the Imperials tax them near to starvation and draft villagers for forced labor, as they’d done to the Tswana and the Swazi, as they’d done in Natal and on the plains of Matabeleland. But that choice was worse than war. He’d heard of the apocalyptic prophecies that were spreading through the north, as they’d done in the Congo twenty years before: Mormons preaching that the Nephites had surpassed themselves in wickedness, and Pentecostal prophets crying out that the day of God’s vengeance was at hand. No, the Sotho wouldn’t submit; they would be like the Ndebele instead, who carried on the fight from their hills.

“We do have a choice,” Lerotholi said at last, with a firmness he hadn’t known he possessed. He saw the surprise of those around him, Masupha no less than Khabane. “But that choice is made. We will fight.”

And as if to punctuate the sentence, a courier ran through the compound gate at that very moment. “There are men outside! Two hundred cavalry with the Vrystaat banner, and three wagons with them! The gates to the city are closed!”

“Already?” Masupha asked. His voice sounded like he’d been punched in the gut. For a split second, Lerotholi felt the same way. But then he remembered that two hundred horsemen was far from an invasion. The Boers had thrown many more commandos than that at Thaba Bosiu sixty years past but had failed to take it; two hundred stood little better chance now, charging up the steep approaches and into the teeth of the Maxim guns at the gate. The men from the Free State must be there for some other reason, though he could hardly fathom what that might be.

“Thekiso!” he said, and the peddler looked up suddenly. “You speak Afrikaans well. Go to the gate and talk to their commander. Find out what they think they’re doing.”

Thekiso took off at a run, and Khabane looked at his king sharply: his Afrikaans was, if anything, better than the merchant’s. I know, Khabane, Lerotholi didn’t say, but Thekiso will tell us what is so, not what suits his political party.

But in the event, it didn’t matter. When the peddler returned a few minutes later, it was to say that the Boer commander wanted to speak to the king. There was no question of letting two hundred armed men into the town, so that meant Lerotholi had to go to the gate, and where the king went, the prime minister could not be left behind.

It was a quarter-mile, no more, to the place where the narrow approach emerged from the bluffs. This early, the city was still quiet: there were smells of baking bread and roasting beef in the air, the sound of workers preparing their tools, the distant rumble of one of the capital’s few motor wagons. It all seemed inordinately peaceful for a day when war might be at the city’s very door.

Lerotholi mounted the stairs to stand atop the gate, looking down at the two hundred men below. They were in civilian clothes but were all obviously veterans, and it was just as obvious who commanded them. “Dirk Coetzee,” Thekiso whispered and pointed him out, but the king had identified him within seconds of looking down from the palisade.

“Coetzee!” he shouted in none-too-good Afrikaans. “Care to tell me what the hell you’re doing outside my city?”

The Boer chief replied in equally bad Sesotho. “Coming to join you, what else?”

King or not, Lerotholi couldn’t suppress a grunt of surprise, although he took comfort in the fact that Khabane could do no better. “And what,” he asked a second later, as evenly as he could, “possessed you to do that?”

“You were good mates in the big war, but that’s not the reason. It’s plain as day that we’re next in the braai after you, isn’t it? I mean, what the Impies say is that we’re their white brothers, but what they do is try to put us in our place just like they want you in yours.”

“The impis – oh, the Imperials.” The nickname brought a sudden bark of laughter to Lerotholi’s lips. “Was this Smuts’ idea?”

“Na, Jannie’s got a good heart, but he’s too much of a gentleman. He’s trying to convince us and the Transvaal to stay in – he still thinks he can handle this by the rules.” Now it was Coetzee’s turn to laugh. “We’re staying in, all right, but we’ve got our own way to handle things.”

“You’re telling me that your government is joining a kaffir insurrection?” Khabane, a step behind Lerotholi on the catwalk, was skeptical. “Do that and you won’t be next – you’ll be in the fire right along with us.”

“Who said anything about governments? We’re rogues, don’t you know – outlaws, abandoned of all faith and morals.” Coetzee’s voice was cheerful, but the Sotho king suspected his words weren’t far from the truth. “If you look in the wagons, though, you’ll find that the guns and ammunition are fresh from the Bloemfontein armory.”

Masupha was listening open-mouthed. “Can we trust them?”

“We won’t,” Khabane answered. “Come on up, then,” he called. “We’ll lay a feast down for you. But we’ll take custody of your weapons at the gate, and give them back when you go on duty. And we’ll drive those wagons up ourselves, once you’re in.”

There was some murmuring down below, but Coetzee didn’t seem dismayed. “Wouldn’t have expected anything different,” he said. “Hope you’ve got something to drink up there, cause it’s been a thirsty ride.”

A few minutes later, a hastily-mustered company of soldiers was standing guard at the gate and a motor troop had gone down to secure the wagons while the Boers advanced ten by ten. “I never thought the first Boer soldiers to set foot on Thaba Bosiu would come as friends,” Masupha murmured.

“I don’t think anyone did,” Lerotholi answered. But the doubt that had sat in his stomach an hour before was suddenly less. He’d known that this would be a new kind of fight for the Sotho, but it would also be a new thing not to fight alone.

“Thekiso!” he called. “Go back to the palace and tell them to slaughter a calf for our old enemies. And get Coetzee his drink – I think I’ll need one too.”
 

Sulemain

Banned
That was a touching update, I enjoyed that. The Boers and the Basotho aren't going to let the johnny come lately Imperials tell them what to do.
 
Well, the developments in Ireland are suitably disappointing. I was half-hoping the ultramontanes were broken and replaced by Celestine's Legionnaire's. They'd still be illiberal as hell, but at least some good could come of them. Not to mention that the Donegal War has essentially created a situation of full-fledged ethnic cleansing in the North. That's going to play right into Imperial hands as well.

I'd also agree with previous posters about the Anglo-Irish in the South. From what little I know, they're not likely to go to Ulster for those empty lands. Although they might go to Britain and become some of its upper class supporters if given no other choice.

Also, this is the kind of situation I was imagining the Imperials would cause in the dominions, if maybe not to the same extent. Canada will be torn between French and English identities for much longer and in worse ways now, Australasia is at once tempted and disgusted by the Imperial movement, and the many different levels and ideas of sovereignty in the South African union is creating quite a mess. I'd say that the Imperial era is not just going to be defined as the beginning of the end of the Empire, but of a key moment in the development of a national identity in all the dominions, which might not lead to positive results.

Although Boers and Sotho fighting together does sound like it will be the seeds of a good movie, at least.:p
 
Ah, that was great! :D

It was also quite nice to see the Dominions turn against the Imperials. Though the scale of revulsion wasn't what I had predicted, it was done very plausibly, and I have no critiques there. Well done. Though it does seem that that Quebec will end up Canada's Ireland, and will probably end up independent by the 1970s...
 
Hi,Jonathan.I was thinking about the future of this TL,specifically about games:will there be something similar to Warhammer 40.000 ?

Thanks and Merry Christmas.

Miniature wargaming as a hobby dates back at least to H. G. Wells, who wrote a couple of books about it ("Little Wars" and "Floor Games"). So I wouldn't be surprised if some sort of wargames exist in TTL, particularly given the existence of things like the German kriegspiel. I don't know if anything will emulate 40K's particular brand of grimdark space fantasy, though, especially since Jonathan has hinted that the fantasy genre will be quite different here...
 
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