Given recent improvements in the intelligence and police service in Malaya/Singapore, the first question has to be just how secret is this clandestine landing by a Japanese submarine. The British have a number of problems, if thanks to better intelligence they know about the landing ahead of time, or if they discover that it has taken place subsequently to its occurrence. While the attitude of a simple police man is to go gang buster, and raid the fish factory, preferably with the submarine alongside, and thus catch everyone in the act. However such an act would have enormous consequences, especially politically, and could go a long way towards provoking the Japanese action that people are trying to avoid, a conflict between the British and Japanese. Which in addition to provoking a major diplomatic incident, would also expose just how much the British have penetrated the Japanese intelligence apparatus in country. Something that a good intelligence agency would rather not have the Japanese know, far better to just watch for now, and later at a more appropriate time, wrap up the entire network. This is a very tricky game to play, and would require some very skilled players on the British side, not forgetting that the Governor and Signor Military commanders have to be kept in the loop. In an ideal world, the intelligence agencies having received permission from the government, would send in a team from either the SAS or the SBS, to covertly plant limpet mines on the submarine with a 24 hour delay fuse. And then a few weeks later, sit fire to the fish factory, and delay the arrival of the fire brigade. What are the Japanese going to do when their submarine fails to return to base, unless they have some proof that it was sunk by the British. Announcing that they have lost a submarine, that was sailing in British waters, would only result in the British asking why was it there, and what was it doing. As for the fire in the fish factory, as it will be a British official doing the investigation as to the cause of the fire, his report that it was an accident, is what will go down in the book. Unfortunately as nether the SAS or SBS exist at this time, there is no chance of there being any fire or limpet mines.
However if the British do know about both the submarine and the factory, or are through the better developed network of local assets, are receiving hints to what has occurred. It will only serve to confirm that the Japanese are preparing to invade Malaysia, which up until now was suspected. Thus strengthening the demands from the administration in Malaya for the allocation of more resources to the colony. While for the Japanese this is a very risky move, a covert landing by submarine in what is at present a nation that you are at peace with. Is in and over its self an act of war, and gives the British the ability to start the war at a time of their choosing. Or the British could cut off all diplomatic relations with Japan, and intern all Japanese citizens in Malaya, and elsewhere in the British Empire. I believe that the British even if they don’t know about this incident, will be getting enough information from their assets, of similar actions, that they will now know beyond a doubt that a Japanese invasion is going to happen. And this will ensure that those in the know at the top levels of the administration, become even more focused on their preparations, as the reality of the situation sinks in. While there will be some who want to take action against the Japanese secret organisation right now. There will also be of both the military, intelligence and administration who advocate a wait and watch process, so that they have more time to gather information and prepare. What you want to do if possible, is conduct your round up, when it’s too late for the Japanese to attempt to build a new organisation. And in such a way that it takes time for the Japanese to realise that their organisation has been blown. Therefore, 24 hours before the round up, you cut off the cable service to Japan, China and Thailand, along with restrictions on the mail and the Japanese consulate. You slap a D Notice on the local media, radio and print, forbidding any reporting on what’s happening. That way by the time that the Japanese know what has happened, it’s basically too late for them to change their plans.
RR.