Louis I of Spain

With a Spanish monarch more focused on American affairs...the odds of a greater war with Portugal would increase ... whose expansion from its original colony to the current Brazilian regions of the southern Brazil and to the River of la Plata. The mentioned regions were then peripheral Spanish territories but without the resources to adequately monitor them and colonize them by the colonial authorities because the disinterest from the metropolis.

This expansion was only going to be stopped by a policy from Madrid to greater political, military support and resource materials to the colonial authorities in the region to initiate and maintain the colonization of the region west the Uruguay River. But this would mean a war with Portugal to expel him from the region and a treaty establishing definitively that situation.

But a major conflict with Portugal and its more than likely defeat, would not remain indifferent to his English ally ... if serious enough by itself to initiate an Anglo-Spanish War, may not by itself ... but surely have other points of friction between the two powers, which added to the above probably eventually would lead to another war.

Except it were to take another case of an inversion alliance but in this case between Spain and England... which would be very doubtful no other events in Europe to justify it.
 
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in South America, there was only one thorn, and that was the settlement of colonia del Sacramento, and it was only an issue because it allowed British smuggling.

IF Spain leans a little more anglophile, Portugal is fucked. Britain is not going to protect Portugal (hindsight being 20/20 Britain isn't going to protect Portugal no matter what) from a friendly country. Spain sucks up to Britain, she can do whatever she wants to Portugal, so long as she doesn't interrupt British interests.

OTL, the difficulty was ability, and that Spain was more Francophile than anglophile.

Change that up, and you'll find a world where Portugal isn't so aggressive on the northern banks of the La Plata.
 
in South America, there was only one thorn, and that was the settlement of colonia del Sacramento, and it was only an issue because it allowed British smuggling.

IF Spain leans a little more anglophile, Portugal is fucked. Britain is not going to protect Portugal (hindsight being 20/20 Britain isn't going to protect Portugal no matter what) from a friendly country. Spain sucks up to Britain, she can do whatever she wants to Portugal, so long as she doesn't interrupt British interests.

OTL, the difficulty was ability, and that Spain was more Francophile than anglophile.

Change that up, and you'll find a world where Portugal isn't so aggressive on the northern banks of the La Plata.

Well, ironically enough, OTL Fernando VI's reign was more conciliatory to Britain (if only for the reason that they weren't fighting ANY wars) and one of his ministers, Ricardo Wall, was actually an Englishman/first-generation English exile. So, Luis might go that route. Could prove interesting to see England-Spain alliance versus IDK...Portugal-France-Austria anyone?:D
 
Well, ironically enough, OTL Fernando VI's reign was more conciliatory to Britain (if only for the reason that they weren't fighting ANY wars) and one of his ministers, Ricardo Wall, was actually an Englishman/first-generation English exile. So, Luis might go that route. Could prove interesting to see England-Spain alliance versus IDK...Portugal-France-Austria anyone?:D

Why would Portugal break his oldest alliance?

As much as the British weren't the best bros ever the alliance had its advantages.
 
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