Now, defeating an incumbent President is a difficult proposition. Usually, if times are good, voters don't like to dump a President unless there is considerable reason to do so. And as such the scenario I am asking for might seem a bit implausible, as the situation requires multiple one term Presidencies each succeeding the last. Now for fairness sake I have my own idea about this with a point of divergence sometime in 2000. The change should be obvious-Al Gore wins.
After September 11th, or whenever the terrorist attack happens butterflies being what they are, Gore initially has a rather high approval rating. But by the time comes for the election campaign in 2004, Gore's actions have cost him considerable support from the liberal base. The conservatives, who feel that Gore is mishandling the response to the threat posed the Bin Laden and others are considerably more enthusiastic. Senator John McCain defeats President Gore in a close election.
In retrospect 2004 was a good election to lose. If for no other reason than an economic crisis is likely to occur sometime near the end of the term. When that happens, McCain's chances of reelection become dismal. Thanks largely to the economic collapse, President McCain goes down in defeat.
Despite her best efforts, President Clinton is unable to bring about a full recovery in time for the 2012 election. With a resurgent and active Republican Right at her heals for the majority of her Presidency 2012 proves to be an extraordinarily difficult race. Thanks to the continuing bad economy and President Clinton's incompetent campaign, former Governor Mitt Romney is elected President of the United States.
Now this kind of scenario is not particularly likely. But it's the best I can think of for now in which the United States has a prolonged period of one term Presidencies. The economic issues of the last year of Bush's Presidency were a long time coming so I don't think I'm being too twee in having them sink McCain's reelection hopes. As for Clinton I'm just juxtaposing what the Republicans hope will happen to Obama onto Hillary Clinton.
After September 11th, or whenever the terrorist attack happens butterflies being what they are, Gore initially has a rather high approval rating. But by the time comes for the election campaign in 2004, Gore's actions have cost him considerable support from the liberal base. The conservatives, who feel that Gore is mishandling the response to the threat posed the Bin Laden and others are considerably more enthusiastic. Senator John McCain defeats President Gore in a close election.
In retrospect 2004 was a good election to lose. If for no other reason than an economic crisis is likely to occur sometime near the end of the term. When that happens, McCain's chances of reelection become dismal. Thanks largely to the economic collapse, President McCain goes down in defeat.
Despite her best efforts, President Clinton is unable to bring about a full recovery in time for the 2012 election. With a resurgent and active Republican Right at her heals for the majority of her Presidency 2012 proves to be an extraordinarily difficult race. Thanks to the continuing bad economy and President Clinton's incompetent campaign, former Governor Mitt Romney is elected President of the United States.
Now this kind of scenario is not particularly likely. But it's the best I can think of for now in which the United States has a prolonged period of one term Presidencies. The economic issues of the last year of Bush's Presidency were a long time coming so I don't think I'm being too twee in having them sink McCain's reelection hopes. As for Clinton I'm just juxtaposing what the Republicans hope will happen to Obama onto Hillary Clinton.