Does Thurmond resign or die?
Medicarey, Nicklesonomics and a man from Texas
Essentially a repost of this list, but with more than just names and dates this time around
1977-1981: Gerald Ford (R-MI)/Bob Dole (R-KS)
1976: Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (D-MN)
In one of all possible worlds, a haggard Jerry Ford would in a debate against his folksy challenger deny that there was such a thing as Soviet dominance in Eastern Europe. It would contribute to his defeat in the upcoming election and give America a brief Democratic window in-between the Nixon and the Reagan years. This however, is not that world, and channeling the gravitas given to him by his office and his thirty years in D.C. President Ford would beat the former Georgia Governor into a verbal pulp. The momentum granted by the victory would not be enough to overcome the weight of Richard Nixon, the energy crisis and the fall of Saigon in the eyes of the American public, but it did move the states of Ohio and Wisconsin into the Republican column, which in the end would be enough. Mrs Ford would to her death maintain that this was the stupidest thing her husband ever did. Ford's second term would be dominated by his perceived inability to handle the energy crisis and assorted new and exciting economic phenomena's, with a botched attempt to stifle an anti-Shah (and anti-American) revolution in Iran finishing of five disastrous years in late 1979. It would be with a sigh of relief that a term-limited Ford handed of his responsibilities for the country and the escalating Republican civil war in January 1981.
1981-1989: Hugh Carey (D-NY)/Dale Bumpers (D-AR)
1980: Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Kit Bond (R-MO)
1984: Bob Dole (R-KS)/James Thompson (R-IL)
If there's one man who 21st century Democrats finds themselves measured against (and in that measure often found wanting), it is Hugh Leo Carey. A New Deal Liberal with a reputation for fiscal discipline, the New Yorker with the deep voice, the sympathetic personal story (the tale of the widowed father would tug many a heartstrings) and fourteen telegenic children would, after Ted Kennedy dropped out before ever dropping in and Jerry Brown flamed out, take on both Fitz Hollings and Lloyd Bentsen in a fierce but ultimately short primary struggle. Crushing a bloody and battered Ronald Reagan (who had have to all but burn down his own party to defeat the Vice President) in the general election, Carey had on his side a mandate and a friendly Congress not seen in at least sixteen years. Although the man himself would rather his legacy to be his national healthcare plan ("Medicarey"), in popular memory he would be remembered as the driving force behind the fall of the Soviet Union as a superpower (the increased defense spending's of the 80's would completely and irrevocably put a stop on any plans of the Carey Administration to cut the deficit) and the booming economy of the 1980's. All-in-all and with one big exception, President Carey would retire a happy man, and as the respected Grand Old Man of his party (if one who would become increasingly at odds with the party-line on abortion).
1989-1993: Robert Orr (R-IN)/Phil Gram (R-TX)
1988: Dale Bumpers (D-AR)/John Kerry (D-MA)
For much of the 1988 election season, Indiana Governor Robert Orr wasn't a future President. He was one of several potential sacrificial lambs sent forward by the Republican leadership to prevent someone like Pat Robertson from embarrassing the party. That's not to say that he wasn't a serious candidate, but until late September 1988 everyone who mattered knew that Vice President Bumpers was the de-facto President-elect. Then, as if to show the usefulness of the chattering class, things changed. As the slowly deteriorating Soviet Union very directly lashed out against massive protests in several satellite states, the Carey Administration responded in a perhaps prudent, but hardly aggressive, manner. Latching onto the contrast between the now iconic picture of teenage dissidents gunned down by Soviet troops in Rostock and the carefully worded rebuke of President Carey and Secretary of State Nunn. Orr successfully turned a 20 points deficit into an effective tie in nine weeks, and after a nailbiter of an election night came out on top in one of the closest elections in US history.
Despite the rhetoric which had made him President, Robert Orr would govern almost as the patron saint of cautious statesmen. Through careful diplomacy he guided the fallen remains of the former Soviet block through a peaceful transition to (semi)democracy, and his response to the recession of 1991 can only be described as “measured and constructive”. Indeed, Orr had it in him to become one of the great ones, were it not for one tiny fact: People just didn’t like him. Perhaps it was due to President Orr being a very different public person than Candidate Orr, or perhaps it was his inability to avoid taking the lion-share of the blame for the de-facto state of war which had broken out between the White House and the heavily Democratic Congress (Orr had run ahead of the rest of his party by a significant margin in 1988). Nevertheless, despite all efforts and good intentions, Robert Orr was not destined to become one of the Great Ones, and would be swept out by another unlikely President.
1993-1997: Harris Wofford (D-PA)/Bob Graham (D-FL)
1992: Robert Orr (R-IN)/Phil Gram (R-TX)
A liberal civil servant former activist, Pennsylvania Governor Harris Wofford was certainly not the expected Democratic nominee. However, his technocratic focus on bread-and-butter issues would set him apart in comparison with his main rivals, and after unexpectedly sweeping the southern primaries on the back of the black vote (and a split white one, courtesy of Governor Miller and Senator Gore) he emerged as the frontrunner. Picking the safely moderate Bob Graham to share the ticket with him, he unseated President Orr with a decent (but not great) margin in the general. With a liberal President and a (largely) liberal Congress once again in place, many Democrats hoped for a return to the Carey years, and by-and-large they would be proved correct. While the economic recovery would be sluggish at best, Wofford used his significant post-election mandate to push through a large-scale education program, and would continue Orr’s policy of support and reconciliation in Eastern Europe (the Soviet Union proper still limped on, but had seen its influence significantly reduced). The 1994 midterms saw a reduction in the the party’s significant majorities, but the Democrats had reason to be at least cautiously optimistic about their prospects for 1996, at least before the passing of the First Lady. Clare Wofford had been her husband's closest adviser for decade, and her death of leukemia in early 1996 would effectively break the President. While Democratic strategists hoped that the sympathy-bump would be enough to keep Wofford electorally steady, it was clear to the public that his wife’s death had taken a severe toll on the President’s health and psyche (at 70, his age played no small part either). Had he stepped down in favor of Vice President Graham, the election might had been salvaged, but with the President insisting on soldiering on he would be an easy target for the Republican challenger, and once again the Democrats found themselves on the wrong side of a previously unexpected result.
After making public his relationship with another man some twenty years after he left office, Harris Wofford have recently emerged as the first confirmed LGBT President.
1997-2005: Don Nickles (R-OK)/Steve Merrill (R-NH)
1996: Harris Wofford (D-PA)/Bill Nelson (D-FL)
2000: David Price (D-NC)/Evan Bayh (D-IN)
If Hugh Carey is the hero of the modern Democratic Party, Don Nickles is his Republican equivalent. As unexpected a President as his two predecessor, the conservative Oklahoma Senator had successfully rallied both the Christian Right and the establishment party mainstream in his quest for the nomination, and would skillfully exploit Wofford’s badly led campaign (while never attracting the rage of the public by appearing to disrespect the memory of the late First Lady) on his way to the Presidency. Being sworn in with a new Republican Senate (the first one in 40 years) and a reduced Democratic majority in the House, Nickles sat to work on what would arguably be the biggest paradigm-shift since the 1930’s. The tax-cuts, the deregulation's and the conservative social agenda might have been par for the course even in previous decades, but the sheer scale, combined with significant welfare reform and several major trade deals (the North American Border Agreement, NABA, foremost among them) would have cemented Nickles as one of the great reformers even had he been kicked out in 2000. Now, that was not to happen, and backed by a booming economy the President easily dispatched Senator Price in a 43-state landslide (the controversial Democratic primary undoubtedly played a roll as well, with the runner-up Governor Feingold leaving the party in protest and serving out his remaining two terms as an independent).
The 2000 election would also break the Democratic stranglehold on the House, with Minority Leader Cheney taking over as the first Republican Speaker since Joe Martin. After eight undoubtedly successful years behind him, would be able to retire doing what Hugh Carey hadn’t: hand over the White House to his chosen successor and Vice President.
2005-2009: Steve Merrill (R-NH)/Katherine Harris (R-FL)
2004: Tom Carper (D-DE)/Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-AR)
Steve Merrill had not been a happy Vice President. As Governor he had turned a budgetary disaster into the most fiscally prudent state in America and won reelection with almost three-quarters of the vote, but in Washington he played second (if even that) fiddle to a man he considered his inferior in every way. But he had kept his quiet and done his duty, and now he would reap his reward. Swept into office as the third term of Don Nickles, Merrill was desperate to create his own legacy and had big plans. To a certain extent, he succeeded, overseeing an ambitious re-write of the tax code and new trade agreements with Latin America before the floor went out of the global economy in early 2006. It wasn’t Merrill’s fault, not really, but he was the President and it didn’t take long before Democrats from all walks of life placed the blame squarely at the feet of Nicklesonomics. As such, it surprised absolutely no one when Merrill, his young Vice President (Katherine Harris would make history in her own right, being together with Arkansas’ Hillary Clinton the first female Vice Presidential nominee, and the first one to be elected) and the Congressional majorities that just a few years earlier had been called permanent were swept out of office in a landslide even Don Nickles would’ve been proud off.
2009-2017: Max Sandlin (D-TX)/Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)
2008: Steve Merrill (R-NH)/Katherine Harris (R-FL)
2012: Randy Daniels (R-NY)/Duncan Hunter (R-CA)
While he have been accused of surrendering to the legacy of Nickles and Merrill, no one can deny that Max Sandlin will be remembered as one of the most successful Democrat in the party’s history. Emerging as the victor from a crowded Democratic primary field, the centrist Texas Governor would go on to easily route President Merrill (and the rest of the Republican Party). Overseeing a moderate economic recovery and (some) reversals of the welfare reforms of the previous administrations, Sandlin’s signature moves would be the controversial Immigration Reconstruction and Control Act, which would be decried as a general amnesty by hawks on both sides of the aisle. Despite uproar against IRCA, Sandlin would manage to repeat his 2008 landslide four years later against the NY Governor Randy Daniels in what would become the dirtiest campaign in a generation. Daniels, who in securing the nomination had become the first African-American major party nominee in American history, was in all probability doomed from the start, but few doubt that Sandlin wouldn’t had been able to become the first Democrat since Carter to take the entire deep south had some local party organizations not employed a few unsavory tactics in their attempt to contrast the black yankee with the good ol’ boy from Texarkana. Like Nickles, President Sandlin would successfully see his Vice President succeed him, and only time will tell if she will fare better than the last Vice President to take over from their boss.
2017-: Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)/Thomas McDermott (D-IN)
2016: Jack Ryan (R-IL)/Tom Osborne (R-NE)