Lincoln is shot!

Alrighty, so I am just spitballing here, and I am on an iPad so forgive the brevity.

- Abraham Lincoln is shot in 1857
- Stephen Douglas wins 1860 and continues to appease the south
- either Seward or Fremont win in 68 or 72
- this makes only the lower south secede, and the north, tired of appealing to the aristocrats, decide to let them be.
- without a hostile north or the political power of virginia, the states that left cannot form a cohesive union, and split into multiple states.
- a surviving William walker takes over Northern Mexico, nominally as a French puppet. This inspires other such filibustering actions, but instead by northern generals taking over detached southern states for personal gain.
- by the time 1877 rolls around, the nation is on the edge of collapse. Booker t. Washington leads an underground resistance in the Birmingham Industrial Center, while Billy the Kid is tasked with transporting weapons from Walker's Mexico to Utah, where Brigham Young plans a Mormon rebellion.
- a young Theodore Roosevelt, still in Harvard, falls in with some Northern socialists, who plan their own revolution in the industrial belt.
- Robert Todd Lincoln, a renowned Indiana Lawyer and rising Republican politician, struggles between his desire for justice and his own ambition. The increasingly corrupt Republican party is trying to influence him into purposely
Losing a case involving a railroad worker from a strike, who they believe is a potential subversive.

Thoughts?
 
Alrighty, so I am just spitballing here, and I am on an iPad so forgive the brevity.

- Abraham Lincoln is shot in 1857
- Stephen Douglas wins 1860 and continues to appease the south
- either Seward or Fremont win in 68 or 72
- this makes only the lower south secede, and the north, tired of appealing to the aristocrats, decide to let them be.
- without a hostile north or the political power of virginia, the states that left cannot form a cohesive union, and split into multiple states.
- a surviving William walker takes over Northern Mexico, nominally as a French puppet. This inspires other such filibustering actions, but instead by northern generals taking over detached southern states for personal gain.
- by the time 1877 rolls around, the nation is on the edge of collapse. Booker t. Washington leads an underground resistance in the Birmingham Industrial Center, while Billy the Kid is tasked with transporting weapons from Walker's Mexico to Utah, where Brigham Young plans a Mormon rebellion.
- a young Theodore Roosevelt, still in Harvard, falls in with some Northern socialists, who plan their own revolution in the industrial belt.
- Robert Todd Lincoln, a renowned Indiana Lawyer and rising Republican politician, struggles between his desire for justice and his own ambition. The increasingly corrupt Republican party is trying to influence him into purposely
Losing a case involving a railroad worker from a strike, who they believe is a potential subversive.

Thoughts?


The most likely result of a '68 or '72 election of a Republican is an ACW 8 to 12 years later which results in a completely brutal curbstomp by the North.
 
The most likely result of a '68 or '72 election of a Republican is an ACW 8 to 12 years later which results in a completely brutal curbstomp by the North.
Keywords there. I am not saying it's likely, but it is certainly possible. Considering how close we came to appeasement OTL, I think it's definitely possible.
 
Keywords there. I am not saying it's likely, but it is certainly possible. Considering how close we came to appeasement OTL, I think it's definitely possible.


We weren't that close, just a lot of game playing. However, it is possible. The chances of the North simply letting the South goes down over time as it appears easier and easier to stop. By 1868 it is pretty obvious that unless everything goes just right the North will curbstomp the South.
 
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