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Inspired by Vultan's 'WI No 9/11' thread. Who do you think would be the likeliest, of the following, as the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2004. Remember, no 9/11 means that the economy, not foreign policy or terrorism, is the lead issue in the campaign.

John Kerry: Unlikely. No War on Terror probably puts someone like Kerry, chosen in large part because of his foreign policy gravitas, low on the list for Democratic primary voters.

John Edwards: Strong possibility. Economic populism is going to be a good move for the Democrats in an unhealthy economic environment. Probably will have to balance the ticket with a more conservative, northern Democrat.

Howard Dean: Very Unlikely. No Iraq War means that Dean's campaign (if it's even begun) probably doesn't catch on. Dean is probably seen as an 'also ran'.

Wes Clark: Very Unlikely. The Iraq War, IIRC, was the key reason Clark even entered the Presidential race four years ago. Without it, and without significant foreign policy threats abroad, I doubt Clark even puts his hat in the ring, so to speak.

Dennis Kucinich: Impossible. Probably runs well among liberal activists, as usual, but won't win a primary, as IOTL. Drops out early on.

Al Sharpton: Impossible. See 'Dennis Kucinich'.

Joe Lieberman: Unlikely. If Al Gore decides not run and Joe Lieberman does, he probably does well with national security voters, but no one else. Without that distinction as a centerpoint of the campaign, he probably [a] doesn't enter or gets clobbered as IOTL.

Dick Gephardt: Possible. Probably preforms stronger than IOTL, because of the economic situation and his folksy, populist image. If he's Speaker of the House IATL, then all the better against Edwards and the others.

Carol Moseley Braun: Impossible. See 'Dennis Kucinich, Al Sharpton'.

Bob Graham: Possible, but it's just as likely his campaign does a nosedive at the outset, as IOTL. IIRC, Graham was also running chiefly on 'National Security', which might not be poignant enough to put him ahead in a 'No 9/11' TL.

Al Gore: Extremely possible. Outside of Edwards, Gore is the strongest candidate here. No 9/11 probably makes him more likely to run, and he can quickly associate himself with the Clinton administration's economic record and criticize the Bush administration for economic malfeasance and high prices at the pump.

Poll forthcoming. Other opinions?
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