likelihood of Napoleon ruling French North America with restored monarcy in Europe

Is it possible that Napoleon I could end up ruling a French North America while there'd be a restored Bourbon monarchy in actual France.

To me it would require three things.

1. No Louisiana Purchase

2. Britain not having complete control of the seas.

3. Napoleon knowing he could lose and having enough preparations to have an army large enough to survive any aggressions make it to New Orleans.

I know it isn't likely. But is it possible and if so, how would this Empire develop?
 
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How would it evolve?

Get squashed by either the Spanish, British, French Royalists (none of whom would tolerate Napoleon with a sizable empire, even in the New World, and all of whom have the ability to launch an expeditionary force) or Americans (who want New Orleans and aren't about to let someone else have it).
 
Get squashed by either the Spanish, British, French Royalists (none of whom would tolerate Napoleon with a sizable empire, even in the New World, and all of whom have the ability to launch an expeditionary force) or Americans (who want New Orleans and aren't about to let someone else have it).

So you don't think it would be possible to evacuate an army large enough to defend it?
 
Why would he want to? It was literally a backwater, French in name only (other than New Orleans) with a native population that owed him no allegiance what so ever.
He would have to retreat across the Atlantic, somehow avoiding the RN, something I don't see him pulling off with an army in tow. Additionally, the Americans would not want to see him established on North America, especially since it would mean a size-able increase in the British garrison in Canada and Anglo-Franco-Spanish operations in the Gulf against Napoleon. They would move against him ASAP.
 
Why would he want to? It was literally a backwater, French in name only (other than New Orleans) with a native population that owed him no allegiance what so ever.

Idea for a timeline I had where he realises there's no way he'll be able to hold onto Europe so he makes a strategic retreat to a place where he could spend a few decades building up strength to retake the mainland and its up staying there. And of course all the bonapartists in France would follow him there building up the population a bit.


He would have to retreat across the Atlantic, somehow avoiding the RN, something I don't see him pulling off with an army in tow. Additionally, the Americans would not want to see him established on North America, especially since it would mean a size-able increase in the British garrison in Canada and Anglo-Franco-Spanish operations in the Gulf against Napoleon. They would move against him ASAP.

Like I said, in order for this to work the English would have to lose naval dominance. Also the Americans were barely able to tie in the War of 1812. If butterflies meant that this was occurring during an analogous war (likely slightly different due to no Louisiana purchase) they're likely to lose with Napoleon's flight freeing forces in Europe to move against them they might consider a temporary alliance if napoleon assures them it'll be temporary until he could return to France and by the time relations soured he'd have dug in enough to defend himself. I know it is extremely unlikely but...?
 
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So you don't think it would be possible to evacuate an army large enough to defend it?
Short answer: no. Even if the Royal Navy is somehow broken (and frankly, in that case he's better off going for Operation Sealion, the 1812 edition), you can only ship so many people. That's especially true since the French will not only have to ship an army, but also all the supplies to keep that army in the field indefinitely.

Both the Americans and the Spanish have large populations in the Americas, with the resultant ability to support a significant force. The French colonies, on the other hand, are too sparsely populated to keep his army in supply long enough to last. He might win some brilliant victories against the first force sent against him, but eventually his troops will end up like the Egyptian Campaign: victorious in battles, but ultimately unable to continue the war. Indeed, the larger his army, the faster that happens (especially since you can expect disease to cost him a large chunk of his starting force as invalids).

Besides, the mere rumor that he was considering fleeing would be terrible for French morale. He'd have to convince his soldiers to pack up everything for what could only be a one-way trip, leaving their friends and family behind, for a long, dangerous sea voyage to a land they have little familiarity with. Meanwhile, he'd have to hold France together long enough to gather the supplies and equipment, while relying on the doomed troops he plans to leave behind to fight a holding expedition to cover his escape.
 
On the Louisiana Purchase, the entire Louisiana territory was just to provide food for the sugar growing colony of Haiti. After Haiti gained its independence, France didn't care about Louisiana anymore.
 
Disaster at Leuthen have a Bonaparte Louisiana, with a Bourbon France, one of the butterflies is that Napoleon never becomes french (due to lack of conquest of Corsica), and his son moves to Louisiana where he leads an revolt against the French rule
 
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