I've got 28 Ju52's operational and 1845kg for supply transport.
1,845 kg = 4,067 pounds, or ~2 short tons which works out to 138 short tons. Not a significant change.
Your numbers only anticipate one mission per day. The distances were short enough that they could and historically did make multiple trips per day
Not ITTL. Because you have had them madly rush forward with complete disregard to their logistics and infantry support, the airbases have had no time to displace forward and would still be down around Koenigsberg.
. I've never seen where it says a Panzer division need 350 tons per day; in fact the Demyansk AND Kholm pockets required less than 300 tons per day and it had over 100k men with 10s of thousands more brought in and many evacuated.
The Demyansk pocket also lacked any panzer formations, was manned by vastly shrunken forces in static positions, and not attempting a major advance against enemy resistance.
If you're going by DAK requirements those are heavily thrown off because of the need to bring up huge amounts of water and extra supplies due to the environment that would not exist in a European environment.
Granted its probably not that far off given the weight of ammunition.
Does not matter. Even if we cut the number down to 1/3rd (783 tons) that still far outstrips the delivery capacity available.
After the 27 army is attacked, what forces were the Soviets attacking with? They were pulling back to the Stalin Line.
To the west of Pskov, there would be 4 rifle divisions, a rifle brigade, and more NKVD regiments then I care to count. On the right flank, there is the 22nd and 10th armies with 9 rifle divisions between them. Then there are the host of formations that would have been bypassed yet the Germans have not decided to contain. These could make quite a nuisance of themselves.
If they have enough air supply to hold until relieved its not that big an issue provided they don't get too far ahead.
You
have had them move too far ahead. By this point they would be 220 miles from the D'vina river, where the nearest infantry division was. Ignoring the time it will take, that is a solid two weeks distance.
Which wouldn't be necessary given that the Soviets were not organized and able to counter attack
Not supported by the fact that the Soviets were clearly organized and counter-attacking from very early on in the campaign.
even if some units move into the rear areas before the infantry get there, as supply is not following them.
Supply clearly was following, given that air supply alone would be inadequate. Oh, and the host of German reports indicating supply columns following the advance.
Most of those rifle divisions were scratch raised from reservists and on the 9th were equal to about 3 divisions according to Glantz
And that would be enough.
and did not include the 10th MC.
10th Mechanized Corps was initially located just north of Leningrad and clearly was part of the
Luga defense line...
The 10th Mechanized Corps was not involved in the first battles of
Operation Barbarossa, being brought out of reserve on 10 July 1941. From that date it formed part of the
Luga Operational Group under the command of Lieutenant General K. P. Piadyshev, defending the 'Luga Line'. The Luga Line defences were constructed by 55,000 civilians & which and extended from
Narva to
Shimsk on
Lake Ilmen. It first engaged
8th Panzer Division on 13 July 1941 along with the 177th Rifle Division isolating it from its neighbouring divisions for several days around
Dno & costing it 70 of its 150 tanks destroyed or damaged.
Not according to Glantz, he has them formed in August. His Barbarossa book is the source.
Maybe they were not committed to the front until August. In any case,
No, he sat still for 7 days IOTL.
Probably for the perfectly good reason of making sure he didn't get too far ahead of the infantry and supply columns.
When did the Soviet 10th army show up, I don't have them on any map of the fighting ever in the North;
I fucked up in identification. I was talking about the 24th Army, which was around Rzhev on the . Probably got it confused with the 10th Mechanized Corps.
the 22nd caught between AGs north and south and pulling its flank back in front of Manstein
ITTL, with Manstein moving well to the west and north it will likely stop pulling its flank back and just march into the giant gap between 6th Panzer Group and the follow on infantry.
When did the others get operational?
Doesn't matter. When I said the number of aircraft were inadequate, I meant the
total number.
On getting encircled for a solid two weeks with all that entails.
Given the fact that they operated well beyond their rail heads from July on they had enough supply to fight to the Luga and beyond despite rail lagging well over 100 miles to the rear.
The Germans had these things called "trucks" which were found to be a vastly more efficient way then aircraft to bring supplies from the railheads to the mechanized forces at the front...
Assuming no Soviet forces got in the way of course.
Which doesn't matter because the Soviet units moving into the rear aren't interdicting operational rail lines
Without any infantry to protect said rail lines, they will be.
and would be pushed out by the follow up infantry if not Rheinhardt's follow on corps.
Infantry are two weeks away. You have had Reinhardts corps join Manstein's as a purely spearhead force. This means that for the Soviets, encircling 6th Panzer Group is just a matter of marching, not combat.
Plus given the fast move the Soviets weren't exactly in much of a position to respond effectively.
Given the distances involved, they have plenty of time.
Of course you make the classic mistake of assuming that a game is exactly the same as real life.
Again a game is not real life.
In the specific case of
War in the East, it is a reasonable approximation of real life warfare on the Eastern Front at the operational-strategic level. Of course it does have it's unrealistic elements but the consequences of rushing too far ahead of your nfantry and supplies with your armored spearheads is not one of them. Maybe you don't like that... that's okay: neither did the Germans in real life. But they still had to deal with it.