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If the South won the Civil War, what effects do you think that would have on Latin America? I know there's the CSA: Confederate States of America scenario where the Confederacy rules Latin America under an apartheid-style system, and the Decades of Darkness scenario (although that's not really OTL's Civil War), but other than that, I haven't seen many alternate histories that really go into depth on the "south of the border" side of the Western Hemisphere. (I know Mexico and Cuba are mentioned in Timeline-191, but it doesn't go much more in-depth than that.)

I think that, in this scenario, the Monroe Doctrine would be heavily challenged. The US no longer has any naval bases even close to the Caribbean, and the Confederacy would be staking its own claims on the region. In addition, the Europeans would see American weakness and start a scramble for Latin America. There likely won't be direct colonial occupation in most parts, but there'd definitely be a lot of European princes put on Latin American thrones. On that subject, Maximilian would probably stay on the Mexican throne longer, as there'd be less the US can do about him, but once French backing dries up (which it probably will after the Franco-Prussian War), he'll probably be overthrown in a revolution.

Once decolonization starts post-WWII (or its ATL equivalent), I think Latin America might become better off than it was in OTL -- or at least, it will develop without as much US interference. Again, the US would be in less of a position to support strongmen and topple governments they don't like, and by this point the Monroe Doctrine will be a tattered, faded memory. The Confederacy, too, won't be half as capable of upholding regional hegemony as OTL's US was, as it will have a much smaller population and industrial capacity.

Questions? Thoughts?
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