Latin America after a Confederate ACW victory?

For all these statistics about CSA industry postwar, remember that any data based off the US Census of 1870 is going to be colored by the fact that the CSA was utterly destroyed by the Civil War, including its heavy industry. A CSA that wins the war will have significantly less destruction than OTL, and therefore more economic strength. Anything using postwar US figures is going to tremendously underestimate the CSA.

That said, the CSA would not be a very great industrial power, since their whole society is oriented against industrial development. A good third of their population is completely unavailable as a domestic market, at least until they abolish slavery. EVen then, they are a fundamentally agricultural economy that has a large part of its population treated as second-class citizens, and thus need to be kept down with force. Their central government, or lack thereof, will cripple them as well. They do not have very good growth prospects. Whatever they start out as, they will start to slide eventually.
 
While I do believe that the CSA would not become a notable industrial power, it wouldn't take much to push around some small Latin American nations. There was filibusters that toppled these nations for goodness sake--who's to say that some Confederate funded filibusters couldn't do better? They may have to compete with the Europeans though...
 
While I do believe that the CSA would not become a notable industrial power, it wouldn't take much to push around some small Latin American nations. There was filibusters that toppled these nations for goodness sake--who's to say that some Confederate funded filibusters couldn't do better? They may have to compete with the Europeans though...

They also have an embittered northern neighbor thats likely to hamstring their expansionism for purposes of self interest as much as spite.
 
Interesting information, Fiver. Demonstrates that the consensus that the Confederacy has a long way to go before it is an industrially relevant power is firmly grounded in data from the period.
 
For all these statistics about CSA industry postwar, remember that any data based off the US Census of 1870 is going to be colored by the fact that the CSA was utterly destroyed by the Civil War, including its heavy industry. A CSA that wins the war will have significantly less destruction than OTL, and therefore more economic strength. Anything using postwar US figures is going to tremendously underestimate the CSA.

This quite true. In 1870, the CSA states produced about 5% of US manufactured goods. I have not used this number. I used the percentage from the 1860 Census, about 8% of US manufactured goods. That puts them in 9th in 1870.

Or in my most recent example, I had CSA industry expand ludicrously faster than the US from 1860 to 1870. (12% of US manufactured goods).

By 1870, assuming that CSA industry expands 50% faster than USA industry, which it won't, Italy will have caught up and passed them, Russia will be well ahead of the CSA, and Germany will have over 5 times the industry of the CSA.
 
For all these statistics about CSA industry postwar, remember that any data based off the US Census of 1870 is going to be colored by the fact that the CSA was utterly destroyed by the Civil War, including its heavy industry. A CSA that wins the war will have significantly less destruction than OTL, and therefore more economic strength. Anything using postwar US figures is going to tremendously underestimate the CSA.

Actually, cotton production and the rail network both recovered remarkably quickly.
 
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