Latest Possible Chance for Athens to win the Peloponnesian war

What is the latest possible POD for Athens to win the Peloponnesian war, it seems like one strategic mistake after another and one betrayal after another so what is the latest possible POD and how would that affect Greek history as a whole?
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Arginusae

Have Athens not kill the generals and take the Spartan offer. Status quo + fort of Decelea. Secures Attica and Spartans won't be a threat for a while. Gives Athens a chance to recover too.

Failing that, have the generals who took over listen to Alcibiades and not position themselves as they did at Aegospotomi. Really, really poor management doomed them here. Stop that and Athens can carry on for a while, though by this point Sparta (Lysander) is in cahoots with the Persians, and using their money to fund his fleet. So victory is an uphill struggle, but who knows what the Athenians could manage.

What is for sure though is that without a fleet they are done. So keep the fleet and they still have a chance. So best bet take the deal after Arginusae. It's a win. Not a great one, but a win nonetheless. How long the peace lasts though...different thing.
 
I don't disagree with your choice itself, but wouldn't that lead to a white peace rather than a Delian/Athenian success?
Spartans proposed to give Decelea to Athenians, being something they would have to give up in any real peace offer, giving the threat it represented for Attica.

The whole Sicilian Expedition was particularly...half-hassed doesn't cover it : wishful thinking, bad leadership. More you look at it, more you want to call it Trierelion. The result was an awful lot of hoplites, light troops and ships being lost for Athenes and its allies/clients, and political turmoil at home.
Sparing Athens this farcical campaign, either at the benefit of non-intervention, either in a less important but less divided expedition, would really really help the city face Sparta in the second part of the war.

Of course, in any case of victory presented there, you'd always have the risk of a third part of Pelopponesian War that would have an hard time being over without one of both hegemonies being crushed hard enough to no represent a threat anymore for the other. Peace of 406, or stronger Athens in 410's wouldn't likely give a lasting peace.
 
I don't disagree with your choice itself, but wouldn't that lead to a white peace rather than a Delian/Athenian success?
Spartans proposed to give Decelea to Athenians, being something they would have to give up in any real peace offer, giving the threat it represented for Attica.

The whole Sicilian Expedition was particularly...half-hassed doesn't cover it : wishful thinking, bad leadership. More you look at it, more you want to call it Trierelion. The result was an awful lot of hoplites, light troops and ships being lost for Athenes and its allies/clients, and political turmoil at home.
Sparing Athens this farcical campaign, either at the benefit of non-intervention, either in a less important but less divided expedition, would really really help the city face Sparta in the second part of the war.

Of course, in any case of victory presented there, you'd always have the risk of a third part of Pelopponesian War that would have an hard time being over without one of both hegemonies being crushed hard enough to no represent a threat anymore for the other. Peace of 406, or stronger Athens in 410's wouldn't likely give a lasting peace.

In regards to Sicily, if I remember correctly a lot of the problem was the treatment of Alcibiades that led to his defection to escape being executed. Personally if you want to go that far back just have the incident which led to his recall never happen and Sicily may turn out differently.

Similarly no defection to Sparta deprives them of all the counsel which Alcibiades gave them. Ie Decelea in the first place and several Athenian ally revolts

I think to be honest Alcibiades was the key (bit of a fan though so I'm biased)

Edit, as for the white peace thing, yeah I agree any agreement would have to include Decelea, but given the position the Athenians were in after Arginusae (though they didn't know it) it would probably be the best they were going to get. Which would be somewhat of a victory. Any concessions by Sparta would be a win at that point.
 
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