alternatehistory.com

As most probably know, IOTL the US Department of Defense proposed a series of false flag terrorist attacks in the US (plane hijackings, bombings, and other forms of violent terrorism) that they would claim were committed by the Cuban government, as a pretext to invade. However, the Kennedy Administration ultimately rejected these proposals.
But what if they had been utilized, only at a later date? What would the Soviet response be to, say, Ronald Reagan invading Cuba with a seemingly strong justification? Would this lead to nuclear war, or would that be too over the line?
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