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Right up front I know this is straying heavily into ASB territory, but I would like to be as plausible as is possible.

Its my understanding that for the Gulf War, nuclear weapons were on the table if the Iraqis used gas. I see this being a reasonable POD to fracture the country further, without too many necessary butterflies. Primary results would be severe domestic and foreign backlash, and lack of support for the 03 invasion of Iraq. However global market crashes/new counties/wars won and lost are unlikely.

Basically I want to fuck the US's military adventurism, and fuel anti-war sentiment. The 08 crash will be the death blow.

So, who is the most bloodthirsty US General (s) I could stick in charge of both invasions? Bonus points if they have a shitty personality and/or a really punchable face.

Are there any good POD/butterflies to solidify the more conservative parts of the Western/Northwestern states? I'm envisioning Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Hawaii, and parts of Utah and Idaho seized for military necessity of the breakaway states.

Likelihood of foreign intervention/recognition? Be it China, Russia, Pakistan, India, etc. Anyone capable of producing combat aircraft.

Good president's and politicians for the infant nation, or worth making an appearance?

And likely reaction of the big 3: UK, Germany, and France?
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