Largest Portuguese population in Angola and Mozambique

What the largest possible Portuguese population in Angola and Mozambique post 1945

How would a larger Portuguese population effect the Portuguese colonial wars in Angola and Mozambique
 
Off of the top of my head, the European population of Portugal and colonies was around 7.5 million in 1940. If they can keep their demographic growth up, they could have 15 million by now. Assuming that Lisbon can effectively prohibit emigration any where except for a colony, you may have approximately 5 million Europeans in those colonies, more if other immigration (say, former Soviet bloc or disaffected Afrikaaners) is encouraged.

Still going to be a minority, though.
 
What is the largest possible Portuguese population in Angola and Mozambique post 1945? How would a larger Portuguese population effect the Portuguese colonial wars in Angola and Mozambique?
IIRC emigration to the colonies was controlled with special permission needed to move, in part due to the potential higher standard of living Portuguese citizens could have. So they could certainly have increased the numbers of they wanted to but I couldn't estimate any numbers.

For then colonial wars I'm not sure it would have much of an effect unless you institute some reforms as–going from memory again–there was a general trend for Portuguese immigrants to move to the cities which meant that the countryside was gradually ceded to the rebels. Perhaps the government seeing this could institute some form of permits? If you want to emigrate then you have to agree to live out in the countryside running a farm for a set number of years, after that you can hand it on to someone else if you feel like it and move to the regional town or city for a shorter period, and after that has passed you're free to move wherever you want like Luanda or Lourenco Marques.
 
Having more white settlers in Angola and Mozambique isn't going to change the course of the war militarily. You'll just have even more people fleeing to Portugal after the colonies gain independence, a situation comparable to the flight of French settlers from Algeria.
 
How would a larger Portuguese population effect the Portuguese colonial wars in Angola and Mozambique
Unless it coinsides with them finding Angola's oil earlier, it wouldn't really. Outside of Guinea Bissau Portugal already was winning. To my understanding, it was the economic strain of managing such a massive war (especially relative to the wealth and population of Portugal) that brought about the collapse of military and civilian support for the conflict and the regime. Give Portugal an excess of oil wealth and the conflict is more sustainable (more money in the budget for soldier's salaries, equipment purchases, infrastructure programs in the colonies, as well as a greater importance of the colonies to Portugal, potential higher standard of living in Portugal to shore up support for the regime, ect...).
 
Unless it coinsides with them finding Angola's oil earlier, it wouldn't really. Outside of Guinea Bissau Portugal already was winning. To my understanding, it was the economic strain of managing such a massive war (especially relative to the wealth and population of Portugal) that brought about the collapse of military and civilian support for the conflict and the regime. Give Portugal an excess of oil wealth and the conflict is more sustainable (more money in the budget for soldier's salaries, equipment purchases, infrastructure programs in the colonies, as well as a greater importance of the colonies to Portugal, potential higher standard of living in Portugal to shore up support for the regime, ect...).
The war was being won in Angola and being placed under control in Mozambique.
More oil means more money for the war effort and some civilian development (mostly in the colonies), but that only delays the fall of the regime. The economic development would not be able to answer the desire for democracy that was growing every year on both sides of the political spectrum. However a better living standard with less inequalities would change the flavour of the fall of the regime (a revolution more visibly centrist than in OTL).

A large Portuguese Population could impact referendums when the issue of independence is inevitably brought. Depending on the way the transition to independence is done, it might be gradual, with a Commonwealth like structure, or rapid, with some assurances that tranquilize the Portuguese living there against political radicalism. A gradual transition implies a more normal revolution (without so much visibility for the far-left minority). In the case of a more moderate revolution and gradual transition of the colonies to independence, some of the smaller colonies (like Cabo Verde) might want to stay part of Portugal.

Depending on the level of radicalization between both sides of the population in the colonies, it could lead to UDI situations (most likely in Mozambique). But this would be unsustainable in the long term.
 
There as a policy of fighting the war using soldiers drafted from the mainland population, not with local portuguese. When this generated protests in Portugal and the government moved towards mobilizing locally there were protests in Angola. Most military regarded the Portuguese living in Africa as more of a nuisance than useful.
 
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