Larger Serbian enclaves in Slovenia in 1991 during breakup of Yugoslavia

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What if during Communist Yugoslavia more Serbs are settled in Slovenia and are a small but recognizeable minority in Slovenia in 1991. During the breakup some hardcore Yugoslavian communists wanted to further go to war against Slovenia (after ten day war) but the dominating Serbian ultranationalists like Milosovic weren´t interested , their priority was Croatia ( Kraina region) , because of the ethnic Serbian population . In case of a bigger Serbian population on Slovenian soil that might have been different. Would the Yugoslavian/Serbian forces try to conquer Slovenia with full force ? OTL there had been fightings at the borders to Austria between People´s Army and Slovenian Territorial Forces , the Austria Bundesheer already had been alarmed in case of a spillover of the fightings across the border.
 
Where would Serbs be settled exactly any why? Serbs in Croatia are mostly continuous with previous ortodox peoples. Settlement goals during First and Second Yugoslavia targetted 'historical' Serb regions like Kosovo or Bosnia. A better bet would be some kind of resettlement program for border guards during Austria-Hungary era.

Even if Serbs are settled, they are no Serbian minorities in Croatia near the border with Slovenia. The best bet would be settling them near Gorski kotar region which would enable nationalists claim a Greater Serbia whose borders would split rump Croatia in two.

Then again, Milosevic was many things, but an ultranationalist he was not. Milosevic used nationalism to build his power base. His first attempt was to get a SFRY dominated by Serbs by smashing federalism - this did not work so he settled for presenting himself as a guardian of various Serbian minorities, eventually being forced to settle for just two republics. Since Milosevic had a secret deal with Milan Kucan of Slovenia that he would let Slovenia go in exchange for Slovenia recognizing Serbian attempts to bring down the federal government, he would never condone or attempt to arm the minority there. Slovenia was also preparing for its independence, arming itself for an organized resistance - if it detected Serb minority being armed, it would try to secede immediately.

Even if there is a Serb minority in Slovenia, Ten-Day war is still a disaster. the minority is viewed with suspicion and either expelled outright or purged bureaucratically like Slovenia did with many non-ethnic citizens.
 
Where would Serbs be settled exactly any why? Serbs in Croatia are mostly continuous with previous ortodox peoples. Settlement goals during First and Second Yugoslavia targetted 'historical' Serb regions like Kosovo or Bosnia. A better bet would be some kind of resettlement program for border guards during Austria-Hungary era.

Even if Serbs are settled, they are no Serbian minorities in Croatia near the border with Slovenia. The best bet would be settling them near Gorski kotar region which would enable nationalists claim a Greater Serbia whose borders would split rump Croatia in two.

Then again, Milosevic was many things, but an ultranationalist he was not. Milosevic used nationalism to build his power base. His first attempt was to get a SFRY dominated by Serbs by smashing federalism - this did not work so he settled for presenting himself as a guardian of various Serbian minorities, eventually being forced to settle for just two republics. Since Milosevic had a secret deal with Milan Kucan of Slovenia that he would let Slovenia go in exchange for Slovenia recognizing Serbian attempts to bring down the federal government, he would never condone or attempt to arm the minority there. Slovenia was also preparing for its independence, arming itself for an organized resistance - if it detected Serb minority being armed, it would try to secede immediately.

Even if there is a Serb minority in Slovenia, Ten-Day war is still a disaster. the minority is viewed with suspicion and either expelled outright or purged bureaucratically like Slovenia did with many non-ethnic citizens.

It is certainly imaginable that there might be more Serbs in Slovenia, but if we are to assume a history that ends up producing the Yugoslavia that we know the only way to get this would be to have more Serb migrants in Slovenia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serbs_in_Slovenia

(Migration to Slovenia within Yugoslavia had many of the characteristics of the gastarbeitar migration that saw Serbs and Croats and members of other Yugoslav peoples migrate to richer western Europe.)
 
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