How about Gunnagalia though? I am going to assume that the Hunter will subjugate in some manner or another those nations, breaking the present order and allowing for something new to emerge. There is a history of a united Gunnagalia, if an old one, and in cultural terms they are reasonably similar (or am I wrong?). IIRC the 'Dominion' is stated to last into the 19th century, which assuming it's not butterflied is in time for modern nationalism to take off - I could see a united Gunnagal state emerging out of the Hunter's realm at some point. There would certainly be an incentive to do so if other powers threatened them at the time. Given the geography of such a realm it could grow to be quite large, given that the large interior would be difficult to contest.
This is where ATL terms get confusing. Do you mean Gunnagalia as in all of the Gunnagalic speaking peoples, or the heartland of the Five Rivers (currently three kingdoms)? The former is a linguistic region which by now spreads from Cape York to Wilson's Promontory, though with some non-Gunnagalic regions (most notably the Junditmara parts of Durigal), the latter is not strictly speaking Gunnagalia since it involves both the Gunnagal and the other main Five Rivers ethnicities (Wadang in Gutjanal, and Yigutjian).
Of course, the Hunter's stated ambition is to conquer
all of the east coast:
The Hunter said:
This much I desire to accomplish in my life: to ride my horse into the sea to north and east and south, and know that I have brought harmony to all the lands through which I have ridden.
Well, all except *Tasmania, of whose existence he is not really familiar.
Even assuming for the sake of argument that the Hunter succeeds completely, that doesn't mean that such a united construct will last, any more than the Mongol conquests produced a united entity which lasted. There are too many regions with different interests. In particular, coastal areas such as Durigal, and some parts of the eastern seaboard which the Europeans will have a keen interest in supporting any breakaway groups / uprisings.
That said, some regions have a natural geographic unity, including the heartland of the Five Rivers, which is even linked by water to the Dominion's original homeland (*Darling Downs). Assuming that the Hunter succeeds in getting that far, it might be possible to hold it together even if there is contrary European influence. Although the centre of population in such an entity is clearly the Five Rivers - it would have more population than the *Darling Downs and all possible east coast dominions put together - so that may leave places like the *Darling Downs breaking away due to feeling neglected.
The question of nineteenth century nationalism is an interesting one which I'll explore below, but I would note in general terms that something like OTL nationalism would be a major threat to any surviving Dominion, since it would place nationalism as a divisive force against what is meant to be religious unity.
I think the Nuttana could be the first to develop widespread literacy amongst their general population, due to having a relatively small one and thus a small working population. You certainly see in times where the labour pool was small and expensive, and thus economically dear, a general increase in factors of human capital such as literacy, numeracy, more intensive labour skills, education etc. So aside from religious texts and tracts, I would expect a preponderance of every other type of reading, from literature, periodicals, educative books, and more. And certainly with a expensive labour / high wages economic situation as in the Nuttana, people would be able to spend on reading material, as well as education and such, so I would expect a burgeoning printing industry and literary sector / class to feed the demands of such a growing market.
It depends what benchmark is used for widespread literacy. In number of people who are literate, both absolutely and in per capita terms, the Five Rivers are ahead of the Nuttana, having had a much longer tradition of literacy than them, going back to when communication was expensive enough to happen on clay, and having only expanded it since they got access to paper. The Nuttana have a significant slave population, most of whom would not be taught to read, and so are lower in per capita terms. On the other hand, the Nuttana may well be ahead in terms of printed works per head of population, because many of their people read a lot more things than the population of the Five Rivers do.
Also, I would also expect the Nuttana to import a larger volume of books than the Five Rivers owing to their larger trading network, though of course the Five Rivers could very well be the largest market to which the Nuttana onsell books that they bring in, since they would have a smaller market than the Five Rivers based on population. So while the Nuttana would have the most volume of book imports, the Five Rivers would be bigger consumers of books which they buy from the Nuttana and the Europeans. Perhaps more from the Nuttana, even, because likely the Nuttana would be able to get their hands on all sorts of books that the Europeans wouldn't or couldn't bring to the Five Rivers, and definitely the Nuttana would be able to go to the Europeans in other Asian colonial ports and buy books from them to onsell to the Five Rivers. And presumably the Nuttana would have deeper relationships with and understanding of the Five Rivers market for foreign books, and could even find the Five Rivers to be a valuable trading partner to whom they can sell their own printed books.
The Nuttana would certainly onsell plenty of books to the Five Rivers. That said, there are plenty of European traders who come directly to the Five Rivers, because they want to buy silver and dyes (amongst other things) at cheaper prices than any markup from the Nuttana would create. While the general European population wouldn't have much of a clue of the value that the Five Rivers place on imported books, the European trading companies have long figured it out, and would include plenty in their trade items which they try to exchange for silver and dyes.
Speaking of literature, what is the state of the industry and medium in Aururia currently? What types of genres and such are around?
Well, it's a little early for the Great Aururian Novel to emerge.
One of the main bodies of literature is "learned works", which is a very broad term but which involves all sorts of knowledge, both based on imported European (and other foreign) learning, and local efforts to adapt and build on this. So this would include scientific, philosophical, proto-economic, engineering and the like. Travelogues and other forms of knowledge about the wider world are also quite popular, being not quite considered learned works but informative. Poetry exists in various forms across most but not all Aururian cultures.
In the Five Rivers, there's also a separate category which can broadly be called "emerging journalism", though the actual term they use translates more literally as "chronicling". It involves descriptions of everyday events and what is happening within the local world (not foreign world). It emerged first in Tjibarr as a form of reporting in more detail about football, which existed pre-European contact but had limited readership because it's harder to write a lot on clay. The spread of papermaking and printing allowed more thorough descriptions of football results, discussion about the game, speculations about player transitions between factions, etc. It has spread to include other events of note which could be broadly classed as "news", though it's hardly investigative journalism.
What would you say are the major power blocs within Aururia, and the general apportionment of geopolitical power and influence on the Aururian landscape?
Well, as of the "present" in the timeline - i.e. about 1710 - when talking about power within Aururia, it can neatly be divided into the Five Rivers, Durigal, and the rest. The Five Rivers and Durigal each had about one-quarter of the agricultural population of the continent, pre-European contact, and retain broadly similar proportions today. Durigal has lost its eastern territories for the time being, but that was always the least populous part of the state anyway. The Five Rivers of course were not usually politically united, and while they have had a stable alliance for a while, nothing lasts forever.
The Five Rivers are the wealthiest region in absolute terms - though the Nuttana would be similar or higher in wealth per capita - and this gives them some economic power over neighbouring regions. The Nuttana have a lot of soft power in terms of commercial and religious influence over parts of Aururia and elsewhere in Oceania, though their actual military power is minimal.
The Hunter and the rise of the Dominion may of course change things, particularly if it means uniting other parts of the continent. But even if the Hunter united everything that is within reach other than the Five Rivers - i.e. the eastern seaboard - then the total population of such an entity would
still be less than that of the Five Rivers. Which means that if his Dominion conquers the Five Rivers, the centre of gravity of the new entity would return to the Five Rivers (except in the case of Mongol-level genocide).
Tiayal sits off to one edge of the continent, and even if they secured independence from the Dutch, would still be an outlying power, with sufficient population and resources to defend themselves but not a meaningful rival to Durigal or the Five Rivers for broader influence.
Would the economic effects following the take-up of Aururian crops and agricultural techniques in France account for much of that? What will be the general differences between France ITTL and IOTL in that regard.
Any French Revolutionary Wars analogue would be rather different just because of so many piled-up butterflies and broader geopolitical changes in Europe when compared to OTL.
Also, can you give a general overview of the differences in the European geopolitical situation between TTL and OTL?
Biggest one is that the Austrian Habsburgs have been crumbling in power, so that while they are still elected as Holy Roman Emperors, the amount of territory they control has gradually reduced. The German-speaking realms are dominated by a cluster of mid-tier powers, with expanded Saxony and Bavaria being the biggest two centred in Germany. Sweden and Denmark also have territories within the OTL Holy Roman Empire, particularly Sweden, and the monarch of Sweden is still the recognised defender of the Protestants in the HRE. Sweden controls much of the Baltic coastline, and Denmark basically has the rest. The two have fought a few wars, with Sweden on the whole coming off best in those wars.
In TTL's version of Everybody Loves Poland, Sweden and Russia between them have taken much Polish territory, leaving what is rest weakened though certainly not destroyed. France is still the strongest single military power in Europe, though its borders are slightly smaller than OTL because some parts of the HRE which it acquired in OTL are still separate ITTL.
Britain has had its own civil war which the monarchists won, and was an absolute monarchy for a while (in name, at least), though this too probably will not last forever.
That's not necessarily true, in the more command economies within Europe such as France, you definitely see quick adoption and spread of new crops, such as can be seen with the example of the potato in OTL France, on a region-by-region basis following state initiatives and especially encouragement of aristocratic landowners (following research and experimentation). In Robert Allen's chapter on the British Agricultural Revolution, he mentions widespread experimentation in agricultural methods and with new crops by both landowners and tenants, and adoption that was likewise widespread both on a top-down command basis and a voluntary basis, and whether farms were enclosed or open also influenced the spread of the aforementioned things.
These things are relative. Globally speaking, Europe was slower to take up mass cultivation of suitable New World staple crops than other regions. Maize and cassava were taken up
very quickly in Africa, potatoes in much of Asia and in New Zealand within a short period of being available, etc. Europe was on the whole much slower to do so, in comparison. Maize and potatoes did spread eventually in France, but not quickly in comparison to other parts of the world. Similarly, potatoes were introduced into the British Isles around 1585, and while they were used in a growing number of areas, took until near the mid-1700s before they were used over most of Britain.
I wonder if some in the Nuttana can learn how to read, write, and to translate to Japanese as well as printing in Japanese (might be difficult due to the complexity of Kanji, though it's not impossible in the least, and they could also make use of Katakana and Hiragana). This would greatly augment any Plirite missionaries operating within Japan (like the Jesuits IOTL) if they have access to a supply of Japanese language religious Plirite tracts that they can spread around and evangelize with.
I've wondered about that. There are certainly plenty of Nuttana who can translate spoken Japanese. The Japanese writing system is complex to Nuttana (or Western) eyes, but hardly unlearnable, so probably some could manage something. That said, Japan's restrictions do not permit the Nuttana to visit anywhere other than Okinawa (and maybe the other Ryukyus). They are expressly forbidden from visiting the main islands of Japan. If there are Plirite missionaries in Japan, they will be Japanese Plirite missionaries.
Speaking of which, I imagine that the Nuttana would be wanting to print such religious texts in all sorts of languages to support their global evangelizing mission, and there'd thus be an industry around producing such texts that're most suited for evangelizing to specific cultures and making use of appropriate rhetoric depending on the language.
Kind of. Nuttana religious texts have been translated into a variety of languages, including among others Māori, some Papuan languages, Dutch and English. However, it's also worth pointing out that Plirites rely on oral transmission of their religion first, so don't try to convert people by providing religious texts. Their general idea is that religious tests exist to edify and educate converts already made, not to convert people in the first place. So translation efforts would generally follow successful conversions in a region.
What would the Plirite equivalent of the Kirishitans have on Japanese culture and politics? How would the community look like? If like the Jesuits, Plirite missionaries target the powerful (and I don't see why they won't) how will that affect their culture, like bushido and traditional Samurai practices like seppuku? The effects on their relations with their masters and their subordinates?
I don't know whether Plirites can make much headway in Japan during this period. Direct missionary activity is basically impossible. There is only a very narrow window between first Nuttana contact with Okinawa (1643) and the closure of Japanese soil to foreigners (by a series of edicts issued in 1645-1652 ITTL). Plirite works can still be translated, but Nuttana are essentially banned from operating in the main islands. I suppose it may be possible for Okinawans and/or Japanese merchants visiting Okinawa to convert and then some of them spread Plirism to the main islands of Japan. I don't know how much that would be frowned upon or outright forbidden in ATL Japan. Plirism doesn't have the same sense of problems that Christianity does (i.e. giving an excuse for foreign powers to meddle), but it is still seen as foreign. I'd need to look into Japanese culture of this era to get a better idea of the prospects of success.
Is there much of a market in Aururia for Hunter fanfic yet?
Most fan fiction is unpaid, so I don't know whether it counts as a market or not.
There's already been a mention of alt-Nationalism ITTL, but it is based more on allowing cultural autonomy within countries, than the forming of new ones.
Sovereignty and nationalism are certainly quite different concepts ITTL, though I don't want to go too much into the details because that's getting ahead of the story. I can reiterate a couple of quotes which have been listed as being from TTL's
Nationalist Manifesto:
“The
state is where a man lives; the
nation is what a man is.”
“Mankind dwelt on this world for a hundred millennia, and knew his identity in his heart. He roamed where he wished, and where he resided did not change who he was. For scarce two millennia, states have adopted borders, and claimed that where a man lives determines who he is. Yet a truth which has endured for a thousand centuries cannot be unmade by a fewscore decades of wishful thinking.”
Jared, what're wattles like in TTL after centuries of selective breeding as a food crop as compared to edible wattles in OTL? Are there any special cultivars / varieties of the crop that don't exist in OTL?
There's no shortage of decorative varieties of wattles, grown for their flowers or the like. Some are grown for high wattle-gum production and so are not really seed producers.
In terms of food wattles, the main varieties are bred for more consistent seed production over time, and for other factors such as small, consistent size, larger seed pods (=easier to harvest). It's possible that some have been bred to produce edible seed pods, too; I don't know for sure whether that's feasible, but it might be.
I don't think it's true that France was resistant to new crops simply based on the widespread adoption of the potato in France with government support and initiative by landowners and farmers both. Adoption of newer and better crops became greater in response to crop failures and famines, so I'm not seeing much basis for the argument that the French were somehow resistant to new crops.
As per above, when compared to timeframes elsewhere in the world, Europe in general and France in particular took longer to adopt new crops. Potatoes were one example, but not the only one (e.g. maize). Government support helped the potato, but even with that the adoption wasn't particularly fast. There's no reason to think that Aururian crops will attract the same level of government support, since they only really offer much advantage in a small part of France (the Mediterranean littoral).
It's untrue that making better use of labour was not a consideration in Britain, in fact, both improvement of land and better allocation of labour were considered in the ultimate goal of increasing agricultural output per units of labour and land both (TFP; total factor productivity, taking into note labour, land, and capital as input factors). As I mentioned, Robert Allen's chapter on the British Agricultural Revolution mentions the revolution as an improvement in output per worker, so labour productivity was a great consideration in pursuing policies such as enclosure of farms or leaving them open.
The barrier to Aururian crops is not about labour productivity being about unimportant in Britain - certainly that was a factor in the British Agricultural Revolution - but that the advantages which Aururian crops offer in per worker productivity came at a trade-off in that they use up more land than the developing British agricultural system. Together with the fact that the other main advantage of Aururian crops - drought-tolerance - is irrelevant in Britain at best, given the rainfall, and indeed in many circumstances is a disadvantage, since it means that they are more sensitive to waterlogged soils and the like.
For instance, the four-crop rotation system of wheat, barley, turnips and clover is more productive per acre than a rotation of Aururian crops, and there's no way to slot Aururian crops into that. Given the culinary preferences of the British at the time (wheat and particularly white bread was seen as worth paying much more for), anyone farming wattles ends up with less flour per acre and which
also has to be sold for cheaper (since it's black, oily flour). Murnong yield about as well as turnips, but cannot offer the same advantage of turnips in terms of fodder for cattle (that kills the murnong), and so there isn't the same advantage of manure adding extra fertiliser, either. There are
some advantages of murnong in particularly poor soils, but that's a relatively limited niche in English agriculture, from what I understand.