Lamentations from Zion

Lamentations from Zion

The Battle of Haifa​

In their ragged brown clothes, the Arabs were fighting off the Jewish invaders as they sought control of Haifa. They knew that, with the capture of the port of Haifa it would be possible for the Jewish militias to receive supplies and armaments from the Western World, giving it an immense advantage during the communal conflict. Al Huneiti, commander of the town's Arab militia, knowing that the Arabs would only have one open route - the sea- if they lost, thus declared that Haifa was of utmost importance for Palestine, and could not be allowed to fall to the invaders, declared that he would fight to the death.

The Haganah made widespread use of Arabic language broadcasts and loudspeaker vans to urge the defenders to surrender without a fight. Despite this, the Arabs, motivated by the outside support coming from the Arab League and Soviet Union, continued to hold out for 5 months. The Battle of Haifa was quickly becoming a meatgrinder as Jewish forces quickly became under attack in the closed expanse of urban warfare. IEDs and snipers quickly pinned down and eliminated many Jews troops as they attempted to dislodge the Arabs. Their resistance gave enough time for Syrian forces, along with their allied militia, the Arab Salvation Army, to reach the city, providing additional manpower and aerial cover forcing the Jews to retreat.

Some reports speak of looting and attacks on civilians, estimates of the number of Jews killed vary; one American source puts the number at 3,000, while many more fled in advance, heading mostly to British Cyprus. The Syrians instituted a policy of collecting anything the army could use, requisitioning from civilians. In addition to preventing the Jews from obtaining outside supplies, the Arab combatants' victory reinforced morale among them, while stress and despair arose among the Jews, many of whom had recently fought in World War II.
 
Hello.

This is a story about a world where Israel loses. I’ve been posting in various places about ideas similar to this, but never directly saw any threads on the topic.

The first post focuses on an Arab victory in Haifa during the Civil War phase, obstructing delivery of supplies to the Jewish militias. Additionally, the Soviet Union denounces Israel instead of recognizing it, because of domestic anti-Semitic sentiment and a desire with the more numerous Arabs instead. Ultimately, Israel fails but its memory remains a shared vision among the diaspora.

I will be exploring the significance of a failed Israel across the world, from the US to the Middle East. Butterflies will be intriguing.

What do you think?
 
Diaspora
The resilience of Arab resistance and active international diplomacy set world opinion against the Jewish efforts to establish their colony in Palestine. Despite their ill-discipline raising the prospect of anarchy, without Arab militias confronting Jewish colonial forces, Palestinian diplomatic efforts would have been futile. As Secretary of State, Marshall strongly opposed recognizing the state of Israel, while pushing all governments into negotiations. This convinced Truman not to recognize the nascent Jewish state, hampering its efforts to gain support among the West. After a series of decisive victories in Haifa, Tel Aviv, and Jerusalem, Israel permanently lost its claim to territories which, before the war, had a majority Jewish population. A death and exodus of over 60% of the Israeli population makes this war proportionally the single most destructive in modern times for a nation state. However, disease and starvation caused more deaths than war wounds as the Israelis had no foreign aid. During the war, many civilians fled to British Cyprus, where they would be held in internment camps, or to the countryside and forests, forming the nucleus of the Jewish Defense Force which harassed the occupying armies in following decades.

The 1948 Jewish Revolt has been considered either a fearless struggle for the rights of a smaller nation against the aggression of more powerful neighbors, or a foolish attempt by misguided invaders to fight an unwinnable war against much stronger enemies. The territory of Palestine was then divided among Syria, Egypt and Jordan and suffered profound economic and social decline. Concerned about relieving the plight of the displaced persons, Truman allowed the refugees to immigrate freely to the United States in 1948, and a quarter of the Israeli population, that is 201,500 people, arrived. They were welcomed as most of them held high social status possessing professional skills, and property and their resettlement was mostly paid for by Jewish Americans.
 
I’d assume the Jews wouldn’t vote for Truman anymore

Thing is the states with the largest Jewish populations (NY/NJ/CT) went for Dewey in 1948 anyway. Maybe there were enough in Illinois and Ohio (OTL extremely close) to flip those states to Dewey but even with those Truman still barely wins reelection.
 
"Citizens of Jordan! My noble people, I am proud of you and your loyalty and am confident in the future as I am in God. We have secured Jerusalem and the Holy Land in the name of Islam, removing all doubt of our military supremacy. Jerusalem is the alternative capital of the Hashemite Kingdom and forms an integral and inseparable part of our nation. Thus, the Jews who have tried and failed to seize this land shall not be treated with respect." - King Abdullah of Jordan
With permanent ceasefire coming into effect, Israel was partitioned between Syria, Jordan and Egypt, as borders, later known as the Green Lines, were established. Ragtag Jewish insurgent armies won some initial successes, but they eventually fell before the superior forces of the Arab armies, which were able to freely purchase armaments and supplies from western nations. Terrorist attacks continued sparsely, with a notable example being the assassination of King Abdullah in 1951 by a disgruntled Zionist. In response to continued violence, the Jews, who had lived in diaspora communities across the Arab world for millennia, faced persecution and were confined to increasingly restrictive government regulations, with many attempting to flee to the United States as refugees.

The Kingdom of Egypt attempted to establish the "Autonomous All-Palestine Government" under the pretext of ensuring an eventual Palestinian state aligned with Egypt, and to counter Hashemite ambitions to control the whole area. The Kingdom of Transjordan annexed the central section; providing it with a Mediterranean port and the Holy City, Jerusalem, providing the Hashemites with the prestige they desperately needed to stay in power. Subsequently, the Kingdom was renamed to Jordan as it secured both banks of the river. Syria annexed the north. These annexations went along easily, as the Palestinian militias were almost empty as they had been entirely dependent on the foreign Arabs during the Zionist Revolt.

Both Syria and Jordan had ambitions of controlling "Greater Syria" and uniting the Arab peoples under their respective regimes. A series of border incidents occurred throughout this time as the Jordanian Air Force bombed a convoy of vehicles in Japho.
 
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Puppet against the Puppet master​

After the Second World War, King Farouk was in a troubling situation. he was not sure if the British trusted him after the Abdeen Palace incident, wherein they almost forced his abdication. His people widely condemned him for his collection of wealth, corrupt government and the continued British military presence. Unemployment was growing as well and demands for reforms immediate reforms led to the workers' riots. The invasion of Israel provided a successful unifying tool for Farouk, however, as the people were very eager to fight Israel. After the war was won, these problems resurfaced, leading to a brief riot at Kafr El Dawwar in 1952 protesting the British occupation of the Suez Canal. Security forces responded by firing rubber bullets and tear gas, killing three people at a milling plant and injuring dozens more.

Believing Egypt to be a strong nation after its past success against Israel, and seeking to gain the support of Arab nationalists in Egypt, Farouk announced that "Egypt was strong enough to stand on its own two feet" and made claims to the Suez Canal. Britain, fearing that Egypt would become too strong if it held the Canal, did not agree to give it up, so Farouk ordered that the Canal would be seized by the Egyptian government. Eager to reclaim what they saw as rightfully theirs, on December 25 1952, 70,000 Egyptian soldiers, assisted by local residents, stormed the Suez, quickly overwhelming the 10,000 British soldiers, who surrendered within three weeks.

Winston Churchill refused to acknowledge the demise of the British colonial empire, as he claimed, "I will not preside over a dismemberment of what centuries of British men have found valiantly and died for. We will never allow British land to be invaded." On July 17 1953, Churchill annexed the southern half of Anglo-Egyptian Sudan to British Uganda, and began organizing forces on Cyprus in preparation for a naval landing. The air offensive began on the 19th, crippling the Royal Egyptian Air Force. In response, the Egyptians sank obstructions into the Suez Canal, preventing travel, and mobilized their army. The British went on the offensive, landing at Port Said, and quickly reaching Ismailia. This involved tens of thousands of civilian casualties as the locals vehemently opposed the British soldiers, oftentimes children as young as 5, armed only with knives, would run up to British soldiers to try to stab them.

Then, a demand for surrender was placed on King Farouk. Knowing that if he gave up now, his own army would depose him, he instead ordered a fight to the last man. British airborne forces began to arrive in Cairo on the 31st, and the British Army landed in Alexandria. The intention to continue the war by invading Cairo lead to outrage as the British people did not see reason in deposing Farouk just because of a Canal, and the world saw the intention to depose the Egyptian government as an colonialist war caused by a severe overreaction to a minor provocation. While threats from the Soviet Union were nothing out of the ordinary, the American threats were seen more seriously. President Eisenhower played the role of mediator, while demanding that Britain cease its war against the Egyptian Kingdom, he also agreed that Farouk should not be rewarded for taking military action against an American ally. Thus, the Suez War of 1952-1953 ended with mixed results, as Egypt was confirmed to be an independent nation on the world stage, but it still lacked the Suez Canal.

Farouk was attacked by the Egyptians instantly for placing Egypt into a war it could not have possibly won. The cost of these wars was so much that Egypt never recovered its status as a regional power. Withdrawing from international affairs, the Kingdom relied more on repression than on political tactics for the remainder of its rule.
 
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[Meta - what do you think of this work so far?]

Puppet against the Puppet master​

After the Second World War, King Farouk was in a troubling situation. he was not sure if the British trusted him after the Abdeen Palace incident, wherein they almost forced his abdication. His people widely condemned him for his collection of wealth, corrupt government and the continued British military presence. Unemployment was growing as well and demands for reforms immediate reforms led to the workers' riots. The invasion of Israel provided a successful unifying tool for Farouk, however, as the people were very eager to fight Israel. After the war was won, these problems resurfaced, leading to a brief riot at Kafr El Dawwar in 1952 protesting the British occupation of the Suez Canal. Security forces responded by firing rubber bullets and tear gas, killing three people at a milling plant and injuring dozens more.

Believing Egypt to be a strong nation after its past success against Israel, and seeking to gain the support of Arab nationalists in Egypt, Farouk announced that "Egypt was strong enough to stand on its own two feet" and made claims to the Suez Canal. Britain, fearing that Egypt would become too strong if it held the Canal, did not agree to give it up, so Farouk ordered that the Canal would be seized by the Egyptian government. Eager to reclaim what they saw as rightfully theirs, on December 25 1952, 70,000 Egyptian soldiers, assisted by local residents, stormed the Suez, quickly overwhelming the 10,000 British soldiers, who surrendered within three weeks.

Winston Churchill refused to acknowledge the demise of the British colonial empire, as he claimed, "I will not preside over a dismemberment of what centuries of British men have found valiantly and died for. We will never allow British land to be invaded." On July 17 1953, Churchill annexed the southern half of Anglo-Egyptian Sudan to British Uganda, and began organizing forces on Cyprus in preparation for a naval landing. The air offensive began on the 19th, crippling the Royal Egyptian Air Force. In response, the Egyptians sank obstructions into the Suez Canal, preventing travel, and mobilized their army. The British went on the offensive, landing at Port Said, and quickly reaching Ismailia. This involved tens of thousands of civilian casualties as the locals vehemently opposed the British soldiers, oftentimes children as young as 5, armed only with knives, would run up to British soldiers to try to stab them.

Then, a demand for surrender was placed on King Farouk. Knowing that if he gave up now, his own army would depose him, he instead ordered a fight to the last man. British airborne forces began to arrive in Cairo on the 31st, and the British Army landed in Alexandria. The intention to continue the war by invading Cairo lead to outrage as the British people did not see reason in deposing Farouk just because of a Canal, and the world saw the intention to depose the Egyptian government as an colonialist war caused by a severe overreaction to a minor provocation. While threats from the Soviet Union were nothing out of the ordinary, the American threats were seen more seriously. President Eisenhower played the role of mediator, while demanding that Britain cease its war against the Egyptian Kingdom, he also agreed that Farouk should not be rewarded for taking military action against an American ally. Thus, the Suez War of 1952-1953 ended with mixed results, as Egypt was confirmed to be an independent nation on the world stage, but it still lacked the Suez Canal.

Farouk was attacked by the Egyptians instantly for placing Egypt into a war it could not have possibly won. Although the Arab nationalist revolutionaries were ultimately defeated, the cost of these wars was so much that Egypt never recovered its status as a regional power. Withdrawing from international affairs, the Kingdom relied more on repression than on political tactics for the remainder of its rule.
What happened to gamal and anwar?
 
The failure to get Suez is going to be seen as a humiliation for Farouk regardless. IMO he really needed to win that to keep his throne even ITTL.
 
What if there is a large scale Jewish migration somewhere else? Vietnam had welcomed, even South Africa under the Nate’s praised Jewish purity and civilsed manner.
 
Egypt part 2
As discontent rose over the failure to secure the Suez Canal, Farouk lost public support and began repression, leading military officials to fear their position. With the military situation quickly becoming untenable, Farouk fled on 1 January 1956, and the leader of the Free Officers, Major Khaled Mohieddin, took over. His regime promoted Egyptian nationalism, claiming that Egyptians composed a unique people with ancient culture and history. Within a week of taking control, he dissolved the Autonomous All-Palestine Government, incorporating Southern Palestine directly into Egypt. A few months later, he also annexed Sudan, which had previously been in personal union with and had an unclear status after the monarchy ended. Mohieddin infamously claimed, “The Sudanese have always been Egyptians, sharing a common ancestry and faith”. This led to a mutiny by Sudanese army officers, sparking a war by tribal leaders lasting ten years, compared to “Egypt’s Vietnam”.
 
What if there is a large scale Jewish migration somewhere else? Vietnam had welcomed, even South Africa under the Nate’s praised Jewish purity and civilsed manner.
South Africa might want them, would give them more whit epeople to keep the locals pacified.
 
Egypt part 2
As discontent rose over the failure to secure the Suez Canal, Farouk lost public support and began repression, leading military officials to fear their position. With the military situation quickly becoming untenable, Farouk fled on 1 January 1956, and the leader of the Free Officers, Major Khaled Mohieddin, took over. His regime promoted Egyptian nationalism, claiming that Egyptians composed a unique people with ancient culture and history. Within a week of taking control, he dissolved the Autonomous All-Palestine Government, incorporating Southern Palestine directly into Egypt. A few months later, he also annexed Sudan, which had previously been in personal union with and had an unclear status after the monarchy ended. Mohieddin infamously claimed, “The Sudanese have always been Egyptians, sharing a common ancestry and faith”. This led to a mutiny by Sudanese army officers, sparking a war by tribal leaders lasting ten years, compared to “Egypt’s Vietnam”.

Mohieddin was also more left-leaning than Nasser, although he wasn't an outright Communist he would likely incorporate Communists as a junior partner in his government a la Qasim in Iraq. Though launching an invasion of Sudan seems like putting the cart before the horse to say the least, given that Mohieddin owes his rise to power over anger at Farouk's failure to get the Canal, another attempt to do that seems like it'd be more important.

BTW, Mohieddin is still alive today so theoretically he could be in office a veeery long time.
 
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