Kornilov Russia

i know i have already done this, but i had a scenario in mind where Kornilov succeeds in his coup.

Would Russia fight to the very end of WW1 with Romania?

What would Russia be called?

What would happen to the Tsar?

Would the Nazi Party still rise to power?

Will there be a WW2?

What would the world look like today?
 
Kornilov would most certainly push Russia to stay in the war as long as possible. With the example of the Kerensky Offensive, however, by this point the Russian Army was ineffective. If Kornilov wants them on the offensive, they'll most likely falter. If he just wants to keep a defensive line, which is smart of him and more likely, well, the Germans will still most likely make the gains they did in OTL, all the way into the Ukraine, up to Estonia, etc. etc. That Russia will stay in the war up to the very end makes me think that the Germans have a good chance of taking Petrograd, landing troops in Finland, cutting off supply routes in North Russia, and connecting with the Ottomans in the Caucasus. At that point, they'll most likely have reached the end of their logistical limits and engage stiff resistance from the Moscow region. No doubt the Spring Offensive would never happen, which means an earlier victory for the Allies could happen. However, can they force Germany to surrender in time to include Russia in the peace deal, especially when Germany has so much territory back East to lord over? Germany might just decide to buckle down, replacing factory workers with POWs and sending more German troops to the front.

But lets go back. After taking power, Kornilov would probably begin by throwing everyone associated with the Petrograd Soviet into prison, including perhaps even Kerensky. He would then take over the Provisional Government, likely reorganize it with some of his loyalists, but the bureaucracy would stay the same, as would most of the main figures in the PG, they would just be marginalized somewhat. Kornilov wasn't a monarchist... he was a republican. He would have fought to reintroduce the duma and perhaps a president as chief and head of state to replace the Tsar. The Republic of Russia. He would also push for as many territorial rewards as possible if he could hang on until victory... Constantinople, the Straits, Armenia, Galicia, etc.

But what of the Bolsheviks? If things get bad as I think they will, with the Germans occupying Petrograd and pushing on Moscow, I think they'll be given even more support. They might still succeed in a putsch, now based in Moscow, against a weak and unpopular Kornilov government, to take Russia out of the war. Certainly Kornilov will have to put down an attempted coup at least once, more likely twice, in order to include Russia in the Peace Conference.
 
Well, here is a good attempt at a timeline (Part 1). Point out any problems with it if you wish.

1917

July 9 - Lavr Kornilov mounts a coup against the Provisional Government.

July 11 - Kerensky is forced into exile, and the Russian Federation is founded, with its capital in Omsk.

July 12 - The Tsar goes to Alaska in exile as well. Kornilov introduces draconian rules against desertion on the front.

August 7 - The Bolsheviks attempt to rise again, but Kornilov mercilessly squashes them. Lenin heads for a boat in Vladivostok to San Francisco saying "i shall return!". He is arrested by US Soldiers who had been waiting for him. This gets the US to send tanks, guns and planes to Russia.

1918

July 7 - Germany capitulates on the seventh hour of the seventh day.

July 10 - Delegates from the USA, Italy, Romania Russian Federation, France and Britain meet in Petrograd to discuss peace terms with the defeated Central powers.

July 18 - The Treaty is finalized as follows:

To be continued...
 
The most important is the Kornilov's land reform. If he accept PSR programm... well, he's got a chance to rule long and happily.
 

yourworstnightmare

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My guess is he will get a hard time, I can't see the parties of the duma accepting a dictatorship that easy, and it's not Kornilov's style to move towards democracy. However land reform is important, if he has the support of the peasants he can rule.
 
The Treaty of Petrograd

Unlike OTL, this was a treaty to cover all of the defeated powers

the defeated powers had to cede as follows:

Germany:

East Prussia to the Russian Federation

Alsace-Lorraine to France

Her colonies to Britain and France

Austria Hungary:

Split into Astria and Hungary

Yugoslavia became independent

as did Czechoslovakia

Transylvania was ceded to Romania

The Ottoman Empire:

The Bosphorous Straits and the rest of the Turkish Caucasus to the Russian Federation

Palestinian mandate to be administrated by Britain, Russia and France

Bulgaria:

To be divided up amongst Russia and Romania

War reparations were to be set at a later date

Military restrictions

Germany: no standing army for 10 years, and limited afterwards to 50,000 men all volunteers, no tanks, no air force, a small navy.

ditto all central powers.
 
That peace treaty is implausible.

Yes, it most definitely is. Kornilov would demand much of German Silesia, West Prussia and Posen, then Austrian Galicia and Ottoman Armenia. Kornilov could go by the former Tsar's promise and give Poland autonomy, but he will use Russian troops to keep it inside the Federation/Republic.

Bulgaria would not be divided, and the Bosporus Straits would likely be given to the League of Nations with special Russian privileges, with Constantinople under Russian rule as a semi-autonomous city.
 
Yes, it most definitely is. Kornilov would demand much of German Silesia, West Prussia and Posen, then Austrian Galicia and Ottoman Armenia. Kornilov could go by the former Tsar's promise and give Poland autonomy, but he will use Russian troops to keep it inside the Federation/Republic.

Bulgaria would not be divided, and the Bosporus Straits would likely be given to the League of Nations with special Russian privileges, with Constantinople under Russian rule as a semi-autonomous city.

Russia would be in no position to keep Poland, particularly if Wilson is representing the U.S. position in the peace talks.
 
With Russia staying in the war, then the US may have much less influence at the talks as their troops probably weren't really that useful, and Russia probably won't have repudiated its debts (yet).
 
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With Russia staying in the war, then the US will have much less influence at the talks as their troops probably weren't really that useful

Even if the Russians stay in the war, chances are that the frontlines in the east will be east of the borders of Congress Poland in November of 1918.
 
Even if the Russians stay in the war, chances are that the frontlines in the east will be east of the borders of Congress Poland in November of 1918.

I'm unsure this matters. With Russia in the war there won't be A Spring Offensive, so US troops won't have to be rushed into the field, and the lower German troops densities on the Western front probably ends the war slightly earlier. The CP troop shortage will be particularly acute because the Austro-Hungarians will have been in much greater trouble with Russia fighting on.

Where the front lines are dosen't really matter, when the German collapse comes it will come hard, and the German Revolution will give the Russians opportunity to move West quite substantially.
 
I'm unsure this matters. With Russia in the war there won't be A Spring Offensive, so US troops won't have to be rushed into the field, and the lower German troops densities on the Western front probably ends the war slightly earlier. The CP troop shortage will be particularly acute because the Austro-Hungarians will have been in much greater trouble with Russia fighting on.

Where the front lines are dosen't really matter, when the German collapse comes it will come hard, and the German Revolution will give the Russians opportunity to move West quite substantially.

Conversely, if the Americans aren't in position along the Western front, entente morale remains low, and the Germans hold out.

The Russians may nominally stay in the war in this timeline, but the country is too big for Kornilov to hold together and fight Germany and Austria-Hungary actively.
 
Conversely, if the Americans aren't in position along the Western front, entente morale remains low, and the Germans hold out.

Without the Spring Offensive, German civilian morale will be even lower, and the German Revolution will be accelerated. The British and French had by this point worked out the correct combination of tactics and technology to break the stalemate, and the German economy was incapable of responding.

The Russians may nominally stay in the war in this timeline, but the country is too big for Kornilov to hold together and fight Germany and Austria-Hungary actively.

Simply pinning large numbers of troops is sufficient. Austria-Hunagry was broken by the strain in OTL, even this will accelerate it.
 
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