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AFAIK all the other German warships that broke into the Atlantic in 1940-41 did so via the Denmark Strait. So what if Tovey assumed that the Germans would go that way again when Bismarck and Prinz Eugen sortied and took a calculated risk by sending King George V and Prince of Wales to guard the Denmark Strait? Hood would be kept back with Repulse and Victorious to guard the passage between Iceland and Scotland.