Kaliningrad declares independence in the 90s

The thread, that, I linked to mentioned, that, the governor of Kaliningrad threatened to secede from the Russian Federation amidst Yeltsin's cries for people to take as much liberty as they wanted.

In such a timeline, Kaliningrad may secede from Lithuania like Transnistria did from Moldova.

The question then becomes whether this would be a mutually agreed upon break or not. I would hope that the Lithuanians would not try to overextend themselves.

An independent Kaliningrad might have more options than a Russian Kaliningrad, but would it be inclined to take them? It might well be another Belarus, as it were.
 
The question then becomes whether this would be a mutually agreed upon break or not. I would hope that the Lithuanians would not try to overextend themselves.

An independent Kaliningrad might have more options than a Russian Kaliningrad, but would it be inclined to take them? It might well be another Belarus, as it were.
NATO would probably support Lithuania to the hilt, making independence a very unlikely option.
 
It is however cut off from mainland Russia.

But, if as initial post says, this is just a governor's initiative, it may not get enough traction outside governor's office. As I understand, the area is heavily militarized (as it used to be under the SU) and the military are going to be unhappy with a perspective of losing their jobs. Ditto for most of the civilian population.
 
NATO would probably support Lithuania to the hilt, making independence a very unlikely option.

As long as Kaliningrad promised, that, it would not join Russia, I think, that, NATO would have no problem with it.
Note: This is in a timeline where the Lithuanians accepted Khrushcev's offer to take Kaliningrad in the 50s.
 
But, if as initial post says, this is just a governor's initiative, it may not get enough traction outside governor's office. As I understand, the area is heavily militarized (as it used to be under the SU) and the military are going to be unhappy with a perspective of losing their jobs. Ditto for most of the civilian population.

Kaliningrad could easily create its own military.
Note: This is in the original tiemeline of the thread.
 
Even if geographically isolated, it's still to Russian for independence to be seriously entertained.

You probably need an earlier POD wherein the Soviets decide to populate it with something other than Russians (Prussian SSR?) or structure their policies in such a way that it ends up with a far less homogeneous population. In which case it bailing to try its hand at being a fourth Baltic Tiger is entirely possible if not even the most likely outcome.

Well, "Russians" stays for the "Russian speakers", not necessarily the ethnic Russians. But also don't forget the economic factor. There were and probably still are numerous military installations in the area and how independent Kaliningrad would provide occupation for their personnel? Or, to put it differently, what is going to happen to a governor who leaves them unemployed?
 
Kaliningrad could easily create its own military.
Note: This is in the original tiemeline of the thread.

Sorry, is not going to work: area (at least during the Soviet times but it does not look like this changed too much) was saturated with the military beyond any chance to support them based upon the local resources. Neither would most of the installations make sense for a separatist region.
 
Well, "Russians" stays for the "Russian speakers", not necessarily the ethnic Russians. But also don't forget the economic factor. There were and probably still are numerous military installations in the area and how independent Kaliningrad would provide occupation for their personnel? Or, to put it differently, what is going to happen to a governor who leaves them unemployed?
Perhaps they lease basing rights to the Russian Federation?
 
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