Umm... no. The Midwest is (and since the very being always has been) an agrarian populist region. I submit my own state of Kansas as a perfect example. Before the Democrats and Republicans swallowed up the party, Kansans came out in droves to vote for the Populist Party. Any party perceived as an "Urban Party" such as the SPA and other labor parties has never done well in the Midwest. The Rustbelt and industrial sectors around the Great Lakes is where Reed finds his base, not the rural Midwest. The Midwest falls to whoever presents himself as more of a man of the people, and like it or not, Louisiana Small-town boy Huey Long is more likely to be that populist man of the people than "Limousine Socialist" John Jack Reed. Now on the other hand, if we were to put forward say... Big Bill Haywood as the Socialist candidate, well that's a whole different race altogether.