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Worth noting that the largest Jewish population in the world was in Congressional Poland, currently under Russian rule. The Russians are already anti-Semitic and aren't gonna like the idea of their Jews being fifth columnists for the Turks. So I would expect a lot of pogroms in the near future to further drive Jewish immigration into the region, but given the Russian population was 5.2 million by 1897 that's gonna be a tall order for the Ottomans to swallow and/or allow.

I can't believe I hadn't considered that. Yes, there will definitely be more pogroms and suppression of Jews, leading to more Jewish emigration. The Russians might also shrink the Pale of Settlement, forcing Jews out of the Ukraine and towards Poland, where the threat of being Turkish fifth-columnists is less important.

Right now, the Ottomans are allowing unlimited Jewish immigration into Palestine. There is a limit to what the province can support, so I don't think we'll see the entire Russian Jewish population making aliyah. Plenty can still go to the New World, after all. I think that a total of around 1 million is the upper limit for the Second Aliyah (defined here as 1897-1914). Most of those are arriving with nothing but the clothes on their backs.

Fortunately, the Rothschilds have a lot of money. In addition to funding the construction of new settlements, Edmond de Rothschild is building quite a lot of factories in Palestine (the glut of immigrants is keeping wages low). The British Rothschilds are also investing in Palestine, although they're a lot more thrifty - Edmond is doing this to support Zionism, while the British Rothschilds are more concerned with making a profit. The Dead Sea Works will probably be founded early, providing the basis for a local chemical industry. Another possibility is German assistance to the Ottomans and favorable trade deals with German companies. I'm no expert in economics, but perhaps German companies might set up subsidiary factories in Palestine to supply the Ottoman market, taking advantage of lower labor costs.

Meanwhile, the Ottoman Empire's economy as a whole will be improving considerably. Much larger outside investment in Palestine will spill over to the rest of the Empire. As Palestinian industry develops, there will be more demand for raw materials to fuel those factories, and more access to manufactured goods throughout the Empire. That will help mollify resentment towards the Sultan for letting the Jews take over the Holy Land, although I still think we're on track for the 1907 revolt.
 
I can't believe I hadn't considered that. Yes, there will definitely be more pogroms and suppression of Jews, leading to more Jewish emigration. The Russians might also shrink the Pale of Settlement, forcing Jews out of the Ukraine and towards Poland, where the threat of being Turkish fifth-columnists is less important. Right now, the Ottomans are allowing unlimited Jewish immigration into Palestine. There is a limit to what the province can support, so I don't think we'll see the entire Russian Jewish population making aliyah. Plenty can still go to the New World, after all. I think that a total of around 1 million is the upper limit for the Second Aliyah (defined here as 1897-1914). Most of those are arriving with nothing but the clothes on their backs.

Mhm. Thing is that the Middle East is closer than America, so you'll need to alleviate potential migration by having the consideration of Jews identifying with their current nationalities just as much if not more. Not everyone should want to live under Ottoman rule.

I'm also curious if there'll be any context regarding Karaites or Samaritans, and how you'll approach the matter of the Temple and the High Priesthood.

I was discussing a similar topic with a Jewish friend a week or two back, though mine was earlier back from the 1800s and focused around a Hashemite Greater Arabia resettling Jews around the region in general.

I would also recommend looking at Yemeni Jews in particular, given their strong history and presence in that region and maybe even the Beta Israel.

Fortunately, the Rothschilds have a lot of money. In addition to funding the construction of new settlements, Edmond de Rothschild is building quite a lot of factories in Palestine (the glut of immigrants is keeping wages low). The British Rothschilds are also investing in Palestine, although they're a lot more thrifty - Edmond is doing this to support Zionism, while the British Rothschilds are more concerned with making a profit. The Dead Sea Works will probably be founded early, providing the basis for a local chemical industry. Another possibility is German assistance to the Ottomans and favorable trade deals with German companies. I'm no expert in economics, but perhaps German companies might set up subsidiary factories in Palestine to supply the Ottoman market, taking advantage of lower labor costs. Meanwhile, the Ottoman Empire's economy as a whole will be improving considerably. Much larger outside investment in Palestine will spill over to the rest of the Empire. As Palestinian industry develops, there will be more demand for raw materials to fuel those factories, and more access to manufactured goods throughout the Empire. That will help mollify resentment towards the Sultan for letting the Jews take over the Holy Land, although I still think we're on track for the 1907 revolt.

Things I would suggest:

Macro Engineering Projects
- There has been various macro-engineering projects discussed in the region for decades, including creating inland seas in Egypt (but also potentially possible in the Arabian Peninsula and Ethiopia). Water conveyance from the Red Sea to Dead Sea (or even a canal of some sort) has also been suggested, plus the traditional Jewish stricture of planting trees should be very interesting in terms of changing the environment of the region.

Railroads - There is of course the Hejazi and Baghdad Railways of IRL, but a network of rails between Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, "Judea", Jordan, Hejaz and Yemen would be a major investment in the long term. A simpler investment in Turkey proper might be better received by the Sultan, though.
 
I'm also curious if there'll be any context regarding Karaites or Samaritans, and how you'll approach the matter of the Temple and the High Priesthood.

Neither the Samaritans nor the Karaites are numerous enough to have much impact. Any Karaites that want to immigrate will be welcome to do so - Herzl doesn't care much about religious doctrine.

As IOTL, there will be no Third Temple - that would send the Muslims into a fury.
 
Neither the Samaritans nor the Karaites are numerous enough to have much impact. Any Karaites that want to immigrate will be welcome to do so - Herzl doesn't care much about religious doctrine.

As IOTL, there will be no Third Temple - that would send the Muslims into a fury.
Depends on where you build it, though I admit I'm at a loss as to why it needs to be Jerusalem when the Ark of the Covenant is no longer actually there. After all, there's several historic temples belonging to the Jews, including in Tel Arad, Elphantine and Tel Motza. Heck, you could probably build the Third Temple near the Lions Gate (where a fraction of the second Temple's wall was discovered, separate from the Wailing Wall).
 
Depends on where you build it, though I admit I'm at a loss as to why it needs to be Jerusalem when the Ark of the Covenant is no longer actually there. After all, there's several historic temples belonging to the Jews, including in Tel Arad, Elphantine and Tel Motza. Heck, you could probably build the Third Temple near the Lions Gate (where a fraction of the second Temple's wall was discovered, separate from the Wailing Wall).

Tradition, mostly. The only group that really wants to build the Third Temple are the religious conservatives, and they won't have any site except the Temple Mount. The main support for religious activity from the Herzl government is the construction of lots of synagogues to meet the demands of the new communities.

Mhm. Thing is that the Middle East is closer than America, so you'll need to alleviate potential migration by having the consideration of Jews identifying with their current nationalities just as much if not more. Not everyone should want to live under Ottoman rule.

America still has better economic prospects. There's also a large strain of anti-Zionism in Eastern European Jewry at this time. IOTL, they stayed put and almost all died in the Holocaust. Some of the survivors founded the Satmar community in New York. ITTL, more of the anti-Zionists will come to the US. Support for Zionism won't be nearly as universal among American Jews ITTL.

I would also recommend looking at Yemeni Jews in particular, given their strong history and presence in that region and maybe even the Beta Israel.

Mark this one unknown for now. Most likely, the Beta Israel will be brought over at some point, but it might take decades.

Things I would suggest:

Macro Engineering Projects
- There has been various macro-engineering projects discussed in the region for decades, including creating inland seas in Egypt (but also potentially possible in the Arabian Peninsula and Ethiopia). Water conveyance from the Red Sea to Dead Sea (or even a canal of some sort) has also been suggested, plus the traditional Jewish stricture of planting trees should be very interesting in terms of changing the environment of the region.

Egypt is all but lost to Britain by now - the Sultan won't be investing there. Adding more trees will have an impact on Judea similar to OTL's Israel, just a bit earlier. Judeans will likely develop similarly amazing agricultural technologies as OTL.

Railroads - There is of course the Hejazi and Baghdad Railways of IRL, but a network of rails between Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, "Judea", Jordan, Hejaz and Yemen would be a major investment in the long term. A simpler investment in Turkey proper might be better received by the Sultan, though.

Railroads will be everywhere, along with roads. The Sultan will want an Istanbul-Jerusalem railroad ASAP.
 
Depends on where you build it, though I admit I'm at a loss as to why it needs to be Jerusalem when the Ark of the Covenant is no longer actually there. After all, there's several historic temples belonging to the Jews, including in Tel Arad, Elphantine and Tel Motza. Heck, you could probably build the Third Temple near the Lions Gate (where a fraction of the second Temple's wall was discovered, separate from the Wailing Wall).
The Tel Arad site wasn't discovered until 1962 IOTL, and the Tel Motza site until 2012 (not sure about Elephantine, but it seems to have been more than a little polytheist, and it's in Egypt anyway).
Jerusalem has been the focus of Jewish worship for thousands of years. The psalm doesn't go, "If I forget thee, O Tel Arad" and we don't say "Next year in Elephantine" for a reason. Plus, the Ark wasn't in the Temple at all after the destruction of the First Temple by the Babylonians, but the Second Temple was still considered holy.
I'm interested in what Rabbi Abraham Isaac Kook, the OTL founder of modern Religious Zionism, is doing.
 
Honestly I think the frictionless settling of Judaee is too optimistic. For one thing a major problem was that the Zionist settlers bought the land from absent landlords, and then wanted the tenants gone. There's no way to avoid that creating problems, when tenants those families have lived on land as long as their family's remember being forced to leave their land, because the new owners want to use it themselves.

Next I can't see Hebrew win out if we see a large early influx, in OTL the slow influx early on of ideological settlers allowed Hebrew to grow to dominance. A large influx of Yiddish speakers early on will lead to Yiddish dominating.

At last I think the Sultan offering Jews free settlement in all of the empire would be interesting, yes there's a lot of Russian Jews, but they lack foreign protectors.
 
Honestly I think the frictionless settling of Judaee is too optimistic. For one thing a major problem was that the Zionist settlers bought the land from absent landlords, and then wanted the tenants gone. There's no way to avoid that creating problems, when tenants those families have lived on land as long as their family's remember being forced to leave their land, because the new owners want to use it themselves.

There is friction - I just haven't discussed it yet (next chapter, probably, along with the economics). The offer of population swaps is helping by giving an option for dispossed Arab families, but resentment is growing. That said, the Arabs don't have a lot of institutions to coalesce around yet, so an organized revolt is unlikely for now. The Muslim clergy are divided - they don't like the Jews, but they support the Sultan's overarching policy for the Empire (Islamic supremacy). We might see Bedouin raids on settlements, which will bring out the Guard. The Christian Arabs might look to the West for support, and there will definitely be an Arab Revolt during World War I.

Next I can't see Hebrew win out if we see a large early influx, in OTL the slow influx early on of ideological settlers allowed Hebrew to grow to dominance. A large influx of Yiddish speakers early on will lead to Yiddish dominating.

Yiddish will hang on for quite a while, but while a majority of new arrivals are Yiddish-speakers, there's also plenty of Mizrahim, and a lot of the Russians are themselves youngsters inclined towards Hebrew. Furthermore, Herzl hated Yiddish. When he gets a proper school system going, it will teach the Hebrew Ben-Yehuda has developed. wIn practice, Judea will be polyglot for at least another generation.
 
Chapter 6: The Deluge of Palestine
From “The Deluge of Palestine” by Edward Said, Columbia University Press, 1991

…Initially, the establishment of a Jewish authority in Palestine was viewed with surprise by the Arabs, but not widespread alarm. Palestine had been under Turkish rule for centuries, and it had been ruled by Turkish mutasarrifs, few of whom even spoke Arabic. Some of the more liberal Arabs welcomed a greater Jewish presence, believing that the Jews would bring prosperity and modernization…

…By 1900, attitudes had changed. The Jews were coming in vast numbers, reshaping the country as they went. The Rothschilds bought land from Arab landlords (usually absentee landlords living in Beirut or Damascus) and proceeded to evict the Arab residents. Jewish firms maintained discriminatory policies, preferring to hire Jews rather than Arabs [1]. Families who had lived in the same land for centuries found themselves homeless…

…Many Arabs chose to leave Palestine entirely during this period. Most relied on tribal connections elsewhere, settling where they could (theoretically) rely upon their relatives for aid. Some participated in the population exchange program, but those Arabs who did so rarely prospered, finding themselves in unfamiliar lands without the benefit of local connections. Often their dialect of Arabic would mark them out as outsiders, assuming they even settled in an Arab region at all. It is hardly surprising that many who chose to participate in the exchanges were radicals for whom the exchanges were a welcome escape from the society they detested. In a particularly famous example, a group of Arabs who settled in a former Jewish neighborhood in Smyrna formed the Symrna Commune. Initially an attempt to implement Communism at a local level, the Smyrna Commune would form one of the key institutions of Greek Communism…

…Given Jewish deafness to Arab concerns, it was inevitable that some Arabs would choose resistance. Unfortunately, the first organized resistance to Jewish settlement came in the form of setting ambushes for Jewish travelers along the roads of Palestine. Some Arabist historians have painted this as a primarily political maneuver, but the truth is that most of the raiders were initially motivated simply by the prospect of looting carts. The large number of unemployed Arab men provided a substantial supply of manpower for these raids …


From “My Redemption” by General Alfred Dreyfus (ret.), Judean Military Academy Press, 1928 (translated from the Hebrew)

…While I was quite troubled by reports of Arab banditry I received almost immediately upon my arrival in Jerusalem, Governor Herzl had assured me that such incidents were scattered and unfocused. I was initially inclined to accept his assurances, but an attack on a convoy out of Tel Barzel in June of 1901 forced me to reconsider. I began collecting all records of bandit attacks, marking them on a map in my office. By September, it became clear that the number of attacks was increasing, and that they were becoming more organized. I ordered Major Giuseppi Arbib [2], a former captain in the Italian army, to oversee a system of cavalry patrols along our roads. I also directed Colonel John Monash [3], an Australian engineer, to come up with a plan for a Judean railway network, on the basis that trains would be easier to protect from raiders than carts…


From “The Affair: The Case of Alfred Dreyfus” by Jean-Denis Bredin, Plunket Lake Press, 2014 [4]

The departure of Alfred Dreyfus from France was a major blow to the Dreyfusard movement. Many anti-Dreyfusards saw it as a tacit admission of guilt – surely no loyal Frenchman would choose to serve in a foreign army! An editorial in La Libre Parole argued that all Jewish officers in the French military should be dismissed immediately, lest they pass on secrets to Dreyfus. Even those who believed in Dreyfus’ innocence were now certain that there would never be a revision. Technically, they were wrong, although it would take half a century for Dreyfus to be officially found innocent… [5]

…Some elements of the Dreyfusard press chose to follow his exploits in Palestine with great interest. Dreyfus’ induction into the Ottoman military received lavish coverage in the French press, and the People’s Daily reported regularly on the emerging Jerusalem Guard. The implication was that France had deprived itself of “one of the most capable and brilliant officers of our generation” in the words of Émile Zola. Years later, the British press would echo Zola’s sentiments, blaming the anti-Dreyfusards for British military failures in Palestine…


[1] Similar policies existed IOTL in the 1920s, although there it was a deliberate program of the Histadrut.

[2] A character invented for the narrative, as are most of Dreyfus’ officers.

[3] IOTL, John Monash remained in service with the Australian military (albeit as a reservist), served with distinction in World War I, and was eventually knighted. ITTL, he was inspired to join the Jerusalem Guard, and is Dreyfus’ top military engineer.

[4] This is a real book IOTL (although obviously with somewhat differing content) and has been my primary source for information about the OTL Affair.

[5] IOTL, France would conduct a revision of the Dreyfus Affair in 1906, finally exonerating Dreyfus and Georges Picquart and restoring them both to the French military. This is averted ITTL due to Dreyfus leaving France.
 
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Apparently the French have taken the consequences of them shooting themselves in the foot as proof that they should shoot themselves in the foot several more times. The French don't do half-measures when it comes to idiocy.
 
Good update, Meshakhad! :)
In a particularly famous example, a group of Arabs who settled in a former Jewish neighborhood in Athens formed the Athens Commune. Initially an attempt to implement Communism at a local level, the Athens Commune would form one of the key institutions of Greek Communism…
Sorry for nitpicking, but IIRC, Greece was independent for decades at this point, with its capital in Athens.
 
Apparently the French have taken the consequences of them shooting themselves in the foot as proof that they should shoot themselves in the foot several more times. The French don't do half-measures when it comes to idiocy.

Certainly not when it comes to the Dreyfus Affair.

IOTL, the French did eventually do a proper revision, exonerating Dreyfus in 1906. ITTL, even the government that knew Dreyfus was innocent was like "What's the point?" so they never did. For the same reason, Colonel Picquart is never properly vindicated in his lifetime.

Good update, Meshakhad! :)
Sorry for nitpicking, but IIRC, Greece was independent for decades at this point, with its capital in Athens.

Wait, what?

intense Googling

Ah, I see. I'll have to move the location of the Commune. What cities in Ottoman Greece would be a good choice? Thessaloniki isn't an option - most of the Jews there are staying put.
 
Certainly not when it comes to the Dreyfus Affair.

IOTL, the French did eventually do a proper revision, exonerating Dreyfus in 1906. ITTL, even the government that knew Dreyfus was innocent was like "What's the point?" so they never did. For the same reason, Colonel Picquart is never properly vindicated in his lifetime.



Wait, what?

intense Googling

Ah, I see. I'll have to move the location of the Commune. What cities in Ottoman Greece would be a good choice? Thessaloniki isn't an option - most of the Jews there are staying put.
I would suggest somewhere on Western Thrace (Greece) or on Eastern Thrace (modern Turkey).
It might easier to keep the resettled population in the future (even with border changes) than in Macedonia.
Greekhistory.GIF


History_of_modern_Greece
 
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Salonica is not a lost cause, since it was only lost in the first balkan war, wich commenced in 1912, so ypu have a few years to switch populations. Moreover, having a very sizable arab enclave in the balkans during the balkan wars can have interesting consequences, and the jews of salonica, famous for being port workers, could greatly benefit judea in developing trade ports. As for the temple, in hertzels altneuland, he mentioned the new temple being pretty secular, only having a few hazanim and a silent praying hall. As long as such a temple is the temple that is to be built, there should be no problem with the location as long as it is in Jerusalem.
 
RL is delaying the next update. However, I thought I'd stir up some discussion. So here is a look into the (possible) future of Judea Rising: the Middle East, circa 1952:

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Please note that this is a POSSIBLE future, not set in stone.
 
I'd say cut out Saudi Arabia. The only reason they happened (for a third time), is because of an incredibly lucky raid on Riyadh around the turn of the century. That raid failing could have set them back for ages, if not permanantely. Before that they were just living in Kuwait after having been kicked out decades prior. Oman and the UAE were for the most part one region for a long time, and Bahrain and Qatar could fall into that orbit easily. The concept of a Caliphate was largely defunct post-Ottomans, so you could instead have three Hashemite kingdoms in Arabia, Iraq and Syria. Lebanon would probably be a part of Syria, unless we're bringing in the British and French in some way that I'm not aware of. The eating up of Turkey is probably quite unlikely, as even IRL the Greeks weren't capable enough with Etente aid to enforce their designs on western Anatolia.
 
*Slavers at dat hot looking Armenian border.*

Go on good sir.

Edit: Though you may want to Change the Libyan, Hashemite and Saudi Borders. OTL the Hashemites only left the Hejaz after the house of Saud kicked them out, so if they have a caliphate then most likley the sauds are still Emir's in the Nedjd.

Libya should probably have more wonky borders, same with egypt as the current ones are direct products of numerous deals with colonial powers.
 
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