Juan Carlos I assassinated by ETA

Goldstein

Banned
It Depends.

Juan Carlos I was assasinated during transition to democracy? In the nineties, when ETA's terrorism was on top? or in the noughties, after years without killing anybody?
 
It Depends.

Juan Carlos I was assasinated during transition to democracy? In the nineties, when ETA's terrorism was on top? or in the noughties, after years without killing anybody?

Can someone provide a list of attempts? I couldn't find one but posted the WI because I know of at least one in the '90s in the Baleares (not sure about the exact date).

EDIT: Wiki says the year was 1995 and the location was Majorca. Let's go with that.
 
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Goldstein

Banned
As for the monarchic succession, the prince would have been crowned as Philip VI. But the social consequences had had much more impact. Let's put as example the murder of a councilman, Miguel Angel Blanco, in 1997. This produced a wave of rejection yet in the Basque country. The murder of the king had provoked a more violent reaction of not nationalists factions. Even it is possible that some terrorist group of extreme right had created, and it had faced directly ETA. If this had happened, the street violence in the Basque country could have stimulated the government to intervene militarily in the Basque country, which had supposed (in a short and local scale) a civil war. From here, to calibrate the consequences up to coming 2006 it is a bit difficult, but in any case the Basque conflict might have come to a critical point of difficult resolution
 
Before or after he sets down the Franquist coup attempt?

The later may see Spain stay a military dictatorship.
 
Even it is possible that some terrorist group of extreme right had created, and it had faced directly ETA.
Something like the GAL or the BVE?

If this had happened, the street violence in the Basque country could have stimulated the government to intervene militarily in the Basque country, which had supposed (in a short and local scale) a civil war. From here, to calibrate the consequences up to coming 2006 it is a bit difficult, but in any case the Basque conflict might have come to a critical point of difficult resolution
I doubt it. ETA is not the same as Basque Country. To sent tanks to Bilbao wouldn't help nothing.

The probable consequences that I can imagine are:

-Obviusly, the Prince of Asturias is crowned Felipe VI of Spain and the public life of the Spanish Royal Family decreases. The wedding of Felipe and that TV journalist is butterflied. :D

-The GAL scandal don't become a scandal, but is seen as "necessary" and even reborns. So, less pressure of the Right press over the Socialist government. Felipe González wins the 1996 presidential elections.

-Total condem of ETA in the EU. More international cooperation in order to destroy the terrorist band, so at least its European branchs are broken earlier.

-Less support to nationalist politics in the Basque Country and Catalonia.
 

Goldstein

Banned
"Something like the GAL or the BVE?"

Yes, but not from the government but as an spontaneous organization.

"ETA is not the same as Basque Country"

I'm not pretending to say that, but there would have been a direct clash between the abertzale left, extreme right groups, and not nationalistic groups, just because of the strong political convulsions after the assasination. Just imagine the demonstrations after Blanco's death, but with molotov cocktails instead of white hands.

"To sent tanks to Bilbao wouldn't help nothing."

Except in a case of great street violence.

Anyway, with or without that "short war", The consequences you have mentioned convince me.
 
Presidential elections in Spain?

Yeah, the Prime Minister of Spain never was called Primer Ministro, but Presidente del Consejo de Ministros ("President of Ministers Council") and later Presidente del Gobierno ("President of the Government"). So he is president and there are presidential elections.
 
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