JTLE: Lincoln Lives

Just to tie lose ends (for a potential TL):

1) How plausible is it that Lincoln would embrace -- or, just as importantly, would not embrace -- the women's movement, privately or otherwise? (From my own googling, this, and that Lincoln was a mild sobriety proponent, is the best I could come up with...)

2) What if, after the war, Jefferson Davis and a few extra politicians of the (disbanded) CSA escaped to London, and (as former colleagues are prone to do) meet together time to time? What kind of trouble might they plausibly cause?

3) Is the passage of Land Reform as part of Reconstruction noticeably more likely if Lincoln lives? My understanding is no, but I'm open to rebuttals...

4) How might a more successful Reconstruction affect developing ideas like Social Darwinism, or future ideas of OTL, like eugenics?

5) I've also got a Spanish American War going on TTL about 1887 during a Cleveland Administration -- any good candidates to play the role TR did OTL, in terms of war heroism followed by a lightning political career as a Republican? (Bonus if he can be elected President 1892)

6) And, of course, if you have other thoughts, I'm open to them as well :D
 
From "A Brief History of the United States", a high school history text published 1973


"- - - When concern was expressed that his clemency might lead to further attempts, Lincoln firmly replied "No more martyrs! If those people had dealt with old John Brown as I am dealing with Booth, who knows how much we all might have been spared. Whatever my imperfections, I hope that I can at least be wiser than they" A similar attitude governed his treatment of Jefferson Davis, whom he offered to release on parole following his capture in Georgia on May 10. When Davis refused to give a parole as long as any faithful Confederates still resisted, Lincoln ordered him detained as a prisoner of war until the last CS forces had laid down their arms. Following the June 23 surrender of General Stand Watie and his Cherokee forces in the Indian Territory, Davis was unconditionally released. After a period of exile in England, he returned to Mississippi and spent his remaining years writing a series of memoirs justifying the Confederate cause and defending his administration from the criticism of fellow southerners who blamed him for the loss of the war. He died in 1889 - - -
 
Lincoln continued after the war the middle course that he had pursued during it, resisting on the one hand those who called for immediate pardon of all ex-Rebels, and those who called for the disfranchisement of the latter, whilst simultaneously granting the ballot to the newly freed slaves. His order of May 1865 for the "Reconstruction" of North Carolina barred former CS officers and officials from standing in the first post-war election, though leaving it to a State convention (elected only by those who had not voluntarily borne arms against the Union) to determine who should be allowed to vote or seek office in future ballots. At he same time, the President specifically forbade "Federal officers not citizens of N Carolina" to seek election either to the State Convention, or in the simultaneous contests for the House of Representatives. More controversially, he also instructed General Schofield, the Union Military commander in NC, to enroll as voters all "loyal citizens of NC, irrespective of race or colour" who had served in the Union Army, owned $250 worth of property, or could read and write the Constitution of the United States. Between them, these categories enfranchised most NC negroes who had been free before the war, and a significant number of ex-slaves.

One or two feathers, north as well as south, were ruffled by the President's further instructions regarding who was or was not to be regarded as "white". Lincoln set the threshold at "not more that 25% African descent" but added, in response to a query from General Sickles, that "The United States Army is not a genealogical society. . . If the prospective voter has the appearance of a white man, you may accept him as such. A daguerrotype of his grandmother need not be produced." After a conversation between the President and Senator Reverdy Johnson of Maryland, who was unhappy about this ruling, Lincoln observed tartly to John Hay that "Of course, the problem would not arise if those people had respected the modesty of their female slaves. It is a pity that their much-vaunted reverence for southern womanhood apparently does not include being faithful to their wives".

The Democrats screamed in protest at even this limited grant of black suffrage, which their 1864 candidate, General McClellan, called "the most blatant and arbitrary exercise of monarchical power since the days of George III" - - - Similar orders were issued in respect of the other Southern states, except those already being reconstructed under the "ten per cent plan", over the next few months [1]

These latter, in fact, proved the chief "hold-outs" against Lincoln's policy. Despite repeated hints from the White House, they all refused to adopt even the limited Black suffrage which he had imposed on the other southern states. His opportunity came when the Louisiana legislature debated a "Vagrancy Bill" which would have allowed the virtual re-enslavement of any negro who (in the opinion of the local sheriff) lacked "visible means of support". Though the measure failed (Several conservative legislators, fearful of his likely reaction, had discovered urgent business back in their districts) Lincoln instructed General Banks that those who had supported it were "plainly seeking to evade the clear intent of the loyalty oaths - not to interfere with the working of federal statutes - - as to slavery" and should not be permitted to retain their seats. When the legislature reconvened, its members found a squad of Union troops waiting at the entrance, and the bill's supporters were not permitted to enter. The "purged" legislature passed a resolution adopting negro suffrage on the same qualifications as in North Carolina. Virginia, Tennessee and Arkansas followed suit, though the Arkansas legislature did so only "insofar as it be constitutional" to do so. The reservation was ignored and the new franchise went into effect there as elsewhere.

- - - The Democrats were not the only ones unhappy with the Presidential scheme . The Radical wing of the Republican Party was already aiming at the enfranchisement of _all_ freedmen, which, they hoped, in conjunction with the disfranchisement of large blocks of southern whites, would enable the Republican Party to gain permanent control of the country. Senator Ben Wade of Ohio criticised the Presidential scheme as "niggardly" towards the former slaves, and was seconded in this by many of the blacks' own spokesmen. Frederick Douglass commented frostily that "It is you white men who are Abraham Lincoln's children. We Blacks will only ever be, at best, his stepchildren".

The Radicals were also disgruntled by Lincoln's appointment of the Kentucky Attorney-General, John Marshall Harlan, to the Supreme Court in May 1865. Harlan was a firm Union Whig turned Republican, but came from a slaveholding family and had briefly owned slaves himself, which, despite his impeccably loyal war record, made him unacceptable to many Senators. When his appointment came to a vote in 1866, it squeaked though by a grudging 28-25. Ironically, during his 46 years on the Court, Harlan turned out to be one of the few post-war Justices to show the slightest interest in Negro rights. [2]

Lincoln's opponents also tried to whip up public opinion against him over the case of Major Henry Wirz, commandant of the notorious Andersonville prison, who had been sentenced to death by a military tribunal for mistreatment of Union prisoners of war. . Whether because he believed that many of the deaths had been due to factors beyond Wirz' control, or from uneasy awareness of the fact that medicines which might have saved them had been declared "Contraband of war" and denied to the South by the Union blockade, or perhaps that conditions in some northern camps were nothing to be proud of, Lincoln had commuted Wirz' sentence to twelve years in a military prison. Pardoned by Grant in 1872, Wirz moved to New Orleans, where after some unsuccessful business ventures he died in 1880.

- - - aware that there was considerable uneasiness in Congress at the possibility of ex-Confederates regaining control of the South, which would now have an increased representation with the ending of the "three-fifths" rule, the President approached Congressional leaders to discuss a possible Constitutional Amendment, laying down that the South, if it continued to disfranchise all or most of its Blacks, should not be permitted to count them for the purpose of Congressional representation. This amendment (the 14th) was submitted to the States in 1866. It also included clauses declaring Blacks (as "persons born - - in the United States - -" to be US Citizens, and giving Congress the power to legislate to protect their "privileges or immunities" Privately Lincoln was sceptical about the willingness of white Americans, north or south, to do any such thing, but he nonetheless supported the provision, as he had already supported the Freedmen’s Bureau and Civil Rights Acts which Congress had passed earlier in the year. He observed to General Grant "Not much will come of it in your time or mine. But at least it puts down a marker for the future". And when Vice President Johnson observed that "of course" it would be many generations before the negro was truly ready for equal citizenship, the President responded dryly "You need not trouble yourself on that. The negro will be ready to receive it long before the white man is ready to grant it".

The amendment almost came to grief over a clause providing that an honourable discharge from the armed forces of the United States should automatically confer (from age 21) the right to vote in all US and state elections. Opposed by a united Democratic Party, this also came under attack from Radical Republicans who feared, correctly, that it would satisfy enough Republican moderates to prevent the wider enfranchisement at which they aimed. It was perhaps fortunate for Lincoln that the Radicals' delaying tactics meant that the Amendment was not voted on until the lame-duck session, following the mid-term polls of 1866. Though the Democrats gained only 22 House seats, little more than half of their 1864 losses, it was clear that Republican disunity was beginning to irritate the voters. It also did not go unnoticed that 14 of the defeated Republicans had been opponents of the Lincoln policy, as against four of his supporters and four fence-sitters. Enough wavering Republicans rallied to him for the Amendment to pass by 130-61, with the "soldier vote" clause still in place.

Lincoln was less happy about another section of the Amendment. The Radicals demanded a provision that all former officeholders and army officers who had supported the Confederacy should be barred from ever holding public office - in other words, they wished the temporary ban which Lincoln had imposed for the first elections to be made permanent. Lincoln at first resisted this, but finally agreed to a compromise by which the ban was extended until 1876, unless Congress lifted it sooner (in the event this happened in 1873) [3]. However, since the men affected by it were already excluded from the new Southern legislatures, this clause did not prevent the latter from speedily ratifying it, and the Amendment took effect in June 1867 [4]

Soon afterwards, Congress acquiesced in the re-admission of the Southern states, and their Senators and representatives, kept waiting at Congress' door since December 1865, despite being for the most part impeccably Unionist, finally took their seats. Before this could happen, though, Representative Thaddeus Stevens and Senator Charles Sumner tried to push through another Amendment, explicitly granting freedmen the right to vote. Lincoln resisted the notion, observing that "If the South hate negro voting so much that they'll give up a third of their House seats rather than accept it, then we most likely won't be able to enforce it anyhow." His view prevailed, and the proposed "Fifteenth Amendment", did not achieve the necessary two-thirds vote in the Senate, and was never voted on by the House. [5] In the event, the South proved far more obdurate on this point than Lincoln had hoped, and seven Southern states continued to restrict the franchise to whites until the 23rd Amendment was adopted in 1964. Even the "soldier vote" requirement would be blatantly violated, with the Federal government making little attempt to enforce it, in the years after World War I.

Another proposal of Stevens' to confiscate the plantations of leading rebels, and divide them amongst the freed slaves, had an even more ignominious fate, receiving only 35 votes [6] Lincoln did, however, rule that those Blacks already settled on abandoned land, notably in the Sea Islands of Georgia, should remain in possession, with the former owners, when pardoned, being required to accept compensation instead. (Even this experiment, however, turned out disappointingly, with Congress proving reluctant to pay out compensation to former Rebels, and their own lack of money forcing many of the negroes to mortgage their farms, nearly always to whites. By 1880, two-thirds of the land concerned was back in white ownership, though frequently not the same whites as had owned it before.) This was the last point of dispute, and when the new Congress met in December 1867, the southern states were admitted to it.


The remainder of Lincoln's term was something of an anti-climax, the only excitement being with regard to the choice of his successor. The Radicals had made repeated attempts to court General Grant, by far the strongest contender for 1868, but he had remained stubbornly loyal to Lincoln. Accordingly, some Radicals attempted to promote General Butler as a possible alternative candidate, but this too was thwarted in 1867 when Butler received a job offer from Lincoln. He accepted, and Thaddeus Stevens' sour remark "There goes the rascal to get his pay" did not stop Butler going off to begin 25 controversial years as the "Stormy Petrel" of the US Supreme Court. Nor did Chief Justice Chase's remark that "In this appointment, I feel I detect the working of the presidential sense of humor". When one opponent of the nomination protested that Butler was "stark raving mad", Lincoln blithely responded "Who knows? A touch of outright lunacy may enliven or even improve the bench".

In March 1869 Lincoln was able to hand over to General Grant as President of a fully restored Union, and go home to a well deserved retirement. As it proved, though, his public career was not quite over. In 1872, after three quiet years practising law in Illinois, Lincoln accepted a request from President Grant to use his influence to help solve the "Mormon problem", and in May of that year he set out to Salt Lake City for a face to face meeting with Brigham Young.

What passed between the two men will probably never be known, as neither kept any written record of what was said, and were unwilling to discuss it after. Carl Sandberg credited Lincoln with having won over the Mormon leader to the "Compromise of 1872", by which the Saints prohibited plural marriage for the future, in return for early statehood and the promise that existing polygamous families would be left unmolested. By contrast, the Mormon historian Brigham H Roberts maintained that the initiative for this came from _Young_, and that Lincoln's part consisted mainly of dissuading Grant from reneging on the deal, as he was under pressure to do from corrupt Territorial officials, who feared for their perquisites in a self-governing Utah. Be that as it may, the agreement went ahead, and the Enabling bill was passed in May 1873, just weeks before Abraham Lincoln's death on (appropriately) the fourth of July.


- - - whilst it is unprofitable to dwell upon the ifs and might-have-beens of history, it is impossible not to wonder what might have been the consequences of a successful assassination in 1865. Had the presidency devolved upon Andrew Johnson, with his vindictive attitude to "traitors" whom he declared must be "made odious" and "impoverished", the South would almost certainly have faced a far harder reconstruction program. There would surely have been reprisals against the southern leaders, who would have been blamed for the assassination regardless of lack of evidence or protestations of innocence. Jefferson Davis, at least, would have faced certain execution , and even General Lee and others might well have gone to the scaffold, to live in memory as countless Irish rebels have done.

The new president's harsher temperament, together with a public opinion inflamed by his predecessor's murder, would in all probability have quickly led him into alliance with the Radicals. It is instructive to recall how some of these reacted to initial false reports that Lincoln was indeed dead. Ben Wade of Ohio, noting that Lincoln had "too much milk of human kindness in him", felt that under Johnson "The rebels will be dealt with according to their deserts" whilst George W Julian of Indiana declared "Johnson, we have faith in you. There will be no trouble now in running this government" Indeed, Johnson's demand that Rebels be "impoverished" suggests that, despite his low opinion of negroes, he might well have fallen in with Thaddeus Steven's plan for wholesale confiscation of southern land, and its division amongst the freedmen - all enforced by an indefinite period of military rule. All the evidence suggests that Johnson would have imposed a draconian regime akin to that in Ireland, which might well have permanently alienated the South from the rest of the nation, as Ireland was alienated from Great Britain. All in all, we feel safe in affirming that the misfire of Booth's gun saved this country from a possibly irreparable disaster.

John Wilkes Booth died in 1878, in the insane asylum to which he had been committed following Lincoln's commutation of his death sentence"

* * * *

[1] Andrew Johnson issued similar orders, but made little or no attempt to prevent the participation of ex-Confederates. This resulted in

a) the election of many high-ranking rebels (including the former CS Vice-President) to the Senate and HoR. Unsurprisingly, Congress refused to seat them.

b) Failure to repudiate the Ordinances of Secession or the CS public debt. Several states agreed to repeal their secession ordinances but without admitting that these had been illegal, thus suggesting to northern opinion that they did not really accept the outcome of the war .

c) Appointment of judges who agreed to hear lawsuits against Union officers and soldiers for damage to property etc during the War. This was particularly foolish as it deeply offended General Grant, and probably did much to push him towards the Radical camp. As he was the predestined next US President, Grant's attitude was absolutely crucial. Radical Reconstruction would have been stillborn without his support .

d) passage of "Black Codes" which came as near as they dared to re-enslavement of the newly freed Blacks. On top of the other measures, these reinforced the northern impression that the South intended to undo the Union victory as soon as the north's back was turned, and fatally undermined opposition to the Radicals in Congress.

The limited negro suffrage which I envisage is the one proposed OTL by Andrew Johnson, in a letter to Provisional Governor Sharkey of Mississippi in June 1865. However. none of the Southern states accepted Johnson's advice, and he was, despite his rock-ribbed Unionism, too much of an old-fashioned States-Rights Democrat to accept that a State's franchise laws could be determined by any power other than the State itself. I have assumed that Lincoln, an ex-Whig and more of a pragmatist, would not have allowed such niceties to sabotage his policy. From him, the suggestion was quickly turned into an order.

[2] OTL, Harlan joined the Court in 1877, appointed by Rutherford B Hayes. He served until 1911, and was the lone dissenter in the 1883 "Civil Rights Cases" and 1896 "Plessy v Ferguson" I have no idea whether Lincoln ever considered him for such an appointment, but had he done so, Harlan's 46-year tenure would have been easily the longest in American history, exceeding by a decade the 36-year service of the present record-holder, William O Douglas.
 
[3]OTL this ban was imposed indefinitely (sect 3, 14th Amt) but was lifted by Congress from virtually all ex-Rebels in 1872 .

[4] OTL, of course, the Southern legislatures _did_ include large numbers of ex-rebels who would find themselves barred from office by this provision. Hence all the Southern states except Tennessee _rejected_ the 14th Amt, thus clearing the way for Radical Republicans to push through more drastic measures. The 14th Amt finally came into effect in 1868 .

[5] OTL the 15th Amt was passed by both houses in 1868, and ratified in 1870.

[6] According to Barrington Moore, ("Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy" Ch3 Sect 4) Stevens tried OTL to introduce such a clause into a Reconstruction Act (he doesn't specify which one, but probably the third). According to Moore (who cites Current "Old Thad Stevens") it received 37 votes in the House, barely one-fourth of the Republican membership there, and presumably never came to a vote in the Senate.
 
 
 
 
 
 
This is an old effort of mine on the subject.

There are a few things I might do differently now. Frex, looking back on it
I notice that I didn't deal with the fate of Booth's co-conspirators. Also,
I have since read Floyd McKitrick's _Andrew Johnson and Reconstruction_ , which might lead me to alter many details regarding the readmission of the Southern States - though probably not changing the final result in a really big way. In particular I'm ashamed to say that I wasn't acquainted with the 1866 proposal of Senator William M Stewart (R Nev) on the subject [1]. However I still think my little effort was as good a guess as any.

[1] Having belatedly discovered this in McKitrick, I've since found
references to it online, eg at
http://www.archive.org/stream/restorationresol00stew/restorationresol...
djvu.txt

Basically it anticipated Horace Greeley's "universal amnesty and impartial
suffrage", though allowing existing (ie white) voters to be exempted from
literacy or other tests imposed on new ones.
 
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I kind of got the loose ends part, but I wasn't totally sure what to say - I like MIke Stone's ideas, as some would likely be involved, as I've worked it out, in an "If Baseball Integrated Early" compansion book about the Civil War; especially Sen. Stewart's plan.

My idea, basically is that segregation takes a long while to get rid of, but it winds up de factor in the South, not de jure, and slowly ends in the 1920s and 1930s. Meanwhile, the North integrates somewhat slowly, with baseball's influence, and the South is like the North of OTL.

My POD is a Union win at Chancellorsville. The end of the Civil War is more gradual - Jefferson Davis and others surrender (first going to Montgomery after Virginia falls) in late September, a few other places it's not till December, and as Lincoln makes a deal with Fremont to support him in return for crushing Klan activities right away in 1864, that might actually seen as the end of the war by some, instead, so there's no chance for them to be glorified in the South.

BBTW, Mike, I also love your LIncolnesque humor - I've got some ideas, too, including his using Lee as a go-between once Virginia falls. He says (it's mentioned in IBIE, in fact) something like, "There are people in my government who would prefer that I shoot you, as no doubt you have heard people instruct you to do. So, it appears our choices are to either shoot each other, or for me to enlist you in trying to bring the rebels back into the fold as quickly as possible, for the slower we are, the more the radicals will want their way."

---------------------------------------

Sorry for the ramble - a couple ideas on your questions, John:

A lot depends, eugenics-wise, on how involved segregation is. if it's still there de facto, you might get some people who support it, but I think you'd see it toned down a lot. A lot depends on how black they say black is - frankly, I don't see why it should matter so much, but that's because I'm a late 20th century guy, and none of that stuff matters. I just see people as people.

Lincoln's lines about not needing a daguerotype of the grandmother, and also about the Southern attitude toward women, are great. it seems to me he grew more liberal about such things as his term went on, though I don't think he ever would have been Radical, he was very pragmatic, and would probably expect others to be that way, too.

However, you get people in every society who are really mean and disrespectful of others. I think the key is, can they be kept out of the political limelight? It's okay if a Woodrow Wilson exists, so long as he's not President (or his ideas are profoundly changed).

As for someone to replace TR, with a POD of 1865 I dont' see why TR couldn't be a hero of this war, just not necesasrily as a colonel. However, if you need antoher one, I would *love* to see Buffalo Bill Cody as President. i think it'd be really interesting - the "rule of cool" as some put it.
 
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I thank Mikestone for his post; by any chance, do you have a link?

For my part, I can see Lincoln moving in a similar vein on suffrage -- though I seriously doubt he'd mix it up with anything like blood percentages -- only it would be more the radicals' liking in some states (being somewhat haphazard), while, even if it is not within his second term, events move the US toward universal male suffrage
 
My idea, basically is that segregation takes a long while to get rid of, but it winds up de factor in the South, not de jure, and slowly ends in the 1920s and 1930s. Meanwhile, the North integrates somewhat slowly, with baseball's influence, and the South is like the North of OTL.

Sounds about right, plausibility wise...
 
thanks - did you see my later edit where I suggested Buffalo Bill Cody as President in your TL with the 1887 war? Definitely has the rule of cool, though I imagine someone has done it before, it just sounds too interesting not to.:)
 
A lot depends, eugenics-wise, on how involved segregation is. if it's still there de facto, you might get some people who support it, but I think you'd see it toned down a lot. A lot depends on how black they say black is...

Much obliged :)

it seems to me he grew more liberal about such things as his term went on, though I don't think he ever would have been Radical, he was very pragmatic, and would probably expect others to be that way, too.

Likely true, though I think Lincoln, as a pragmatist, is going to account for the radicalism in existence -- that means he'll be obliged to offer a compromise between conservative unionists and radicals, where some states (initially) will need only offer suffrage to white male citizens and all Union veterans of their state (including freeman), and those (like SC, and maybe LA) that, he may conclude, "cannot be made secure without some risk".

As for someone to replace TR, with a POD of 1865 I dont' see why TR couldn't be a hero of this war, just not necesasrily as a colonel.

Oh, I still have plans for TR... ;)

However, if you need antoher one, I would *love* to see Buffalo Bill Cody as President. i think it'd be really interesting - the "rule of cool" as some put it.

:D:cool::D
 
Okay, here's another one -- my sense is that, had Grant taken a few years as a civilian to take charge of his campaign, instead of being drafted straight from the military, he would have had a better hold on his administration (not as much feeling he needs to give less than deserving men important positions, etc).

As such, my inclination is to have him retire his commission in 1869, maybe elected to the US Senate in 1871*, then wins the Presidency in 1872. What's your sense of how likely this is to make Grant a more effective President?

*a la Jackson's 1823 Senate election
 
Okay, here's another one -- my sense is that, had Grant taken a few years as a civilian to take charge of his campaign, instead of being drafted straight from the military, he would have had a better hold on his administration (not as much feeling he needs to give less than deserving men important positions, etc).

As such, my inclination is to have him retire his commission in 1869, maybe elected to the US Senate in 1871*, then wins the Presidency in 1872. What's your sense of how likely this is to make Grant a more effective President?

*a la Jackson's 1823 Senate election

I think its unlikely. Commanding during war and leading a nation are two different things. I don't think Grant, or anybody, would learn anything with barely one year, or less, in the Senate before coming President.
 
Well, understand, I'm not talking about Grant learning from his time in the Senate so much as not being in the military, and able to take control of his campaign.

What I'm really thinking about OTL is the trouble his sense of gratitude could get him in -- the minor corruption scandals and what not...
 
I thank Mikestone for his post; by any chance, do you have a link?

It's at http://surftofind.com/sorensonhttp://groups.google.com.na/group/soc.h....
what-if/browse_thread/thread/4568b7495318b8c4/fcc08a9cb0d5c7ff?q=mike-stone­+
lincoln

For my part, I can see Lincoln moving in a similar vein on suffrage -- though I seriously doubt he'd mix it up with anything like blood percentages -- only it would be more the radicals' liking in some states (being somewhat haphazard), while, even if it is not within his second term, events move the US toward universal male suffrage


Well, if voting is (by and large) limited to whites, there clearly has to be some definition of who is white. I understand that 25% was a common threshold in northern states at that time, which is why I had Lincoln using it, though istr that Ohio let you vote if you weren't over 50% black. Only the New England States (bar Connecticut) allowed Blacks to vote on the same footing as whites, so that for them the issue did not arise.

As for universal male suffrage, my only comment would be "Don't hold your breath". Enforcing it would require a pretty massive effort on the government's part, which would not be forthcoming unless there were a perceived need. OTL, the Cold War provided this, since the US found itself competing with the Commies for the "allegiance" of non-white ex-colonies in what we now call the Third World. In that context, Southern segregation became an intolerable handicap, and Something Had To Be Done. I don't know if any equivalent motivation can be contrived for the 19C or earlier 20C, but I am sure that simple concern for justice, or just saying "It's the law" won't come anywhere near doing it.
 
As for universal male suffrage, my only comment would be "Don't hold your breath". Enforcing it would require a pretty massive effort on the government's part, which would not be forthcoming unless there were a perceived need.

Actually, OTL, the US government was doing this with troops initially -- 1872 was, by most accounts, a successfully pulled off election with UMS -- though afterword, things got hairy (e.g. Coalfax Massacre)...

OTL, the Cold War provided this, since the US found itself competing with the Commies for the "allegiance" of non-white ex-colonies in what we now call the Third World. In that context, Southern segregation became an intolerable handicap, and Something Had To Be Done. I don't know if any equivalent motivation can be contrived for the 19C or earlier 20C, but I am sure that simple concern for justice won't come anywhere near doing it.

I don't know that wanting to heal the wounds of the Civil War -- a desire to honor the sacrifice 2% of the population, to at least make sure that the same sins which nearly destroyed the nation do not resurface -- constitutes more than "a simple concern for justice". That may be a semantical argument.

What I do know is that, for a dozen years OTL, enough Americans felt motivated enough to secure the rights of the newly freed citizens that, for a while, they succeeded in expanding suffrage to the ex-slaves. So that, at least, need not be conjured up TTL for universal male suffrage to succeed.
 
I don't know that wanting to heal the wounds of the Civil War -- a desire to honor the sacrifice 2% of the population, to at least make sure that the same sins which nearly destroyed the nation do not resurface -- constitutes more than "a simple concern for justice". That may be a semantical argument.

All very interesting, but what has it to do with Black suffrage? Nobody died for that in the war, as it wasn't on offer then. Nor was its denial one of the sins which divided the nation. It was largely denied by both sides.

Black suffrage made a modicum of sense as long as it was feared that the ex-Confederate leaders would be permanently estranged from the Union, and would always be a subversive element within it. If that were so, it was necessary to exclude them from political power, and Black suffrage made a useful weapon for this purpose. However, by the 1870s, if not sooner, it was clear that this concern was anachronistic. All except a few nutjobs accepted Appomattox as a final verdict, and were concerned only to make a future within the Union. [1] Congress, despite being still firmly Republican at the time, recognised this in 1872 when it removed the disabilities imposed by Section 3 of the 14th Amendment.

Once that recognition percolated through, Black suffrage was on borrowed time. If the white South was reconciled to reunion, then it had no serious purpose. Far from "healing the wounds of the Civil War" the continual interventions required to maintain it were the main thing keeping them open, by endlessly "picking at the scab".

There remained, of course, a partisan advantage to the Republicans in that they benefited from the Black vote, but by the mid-70s even that was looking doubtful. Northern voters were increasingly cheesed off with these endless southern troubles distracting them from their real concerns, and the Republican hold on key northern states like Ohio was beginning to look shaky. If losses in the north exceeded gains in the south, then the Black vote was fools gold. Add to that the rapidly diminishing size of the Army, and the outcome was predictable.


[1] Andrew Johnson, perhaps because he was a Southerner himself, recognised this more quickly than most, hence his rapid abandonment of the "traitors must be punished" line. Unfortunately for him, he failed to realise that what seemed plain to him was a good deal less obvious to most people in the North. That error destroyed his Presidency.
 
All very interesting, but what has it to do with Black suffrage?

How else was emancipation to have any practical meaning? We saw OTL what happened when the reformers both north and south threw up their hands; why do you think, once Lincoln realized the need for imminent emancipation, he so quickly came around to supporting expanding the franchise?
 
Well, understand, I'm not talking about Grant learning from his time in the Senate so much as not being in the military, and able to take control of his campaign.

What I'm really thinking about OTL is the trouble his sense of gratitude could get him in -- the minor corruption scandals and what not...

The thing with Grant, as I read him, is that he felt most comfortable with those closest to him, becuase they were his friends - not just gratitude, but a "comfort zone," if you will.

I think he'd have to have something in an executive position to help him see the errors of his thinking and be willing to step out - he could run just a campaign with his friends helping him, but when he had to run something else, he realized that wasn't the best route, and he had to step out and be willing to take a few risks, go with people he didn't know personally.

So, instead of the Senate, I'd recommend a governorship. Or maybe Vice President, though I don't know if he'd want that then. Maybe 1864 he'd accept being drafted for it, but in your TL the war was still on. At least witht he war over, though, he can sort of apprentice under Lincoln. (Which has interesting reprecussions for the V.P. position, too, perhaps.)
 
4) How might a more successful Reconstruction affect developing ideas like Social Darwinism, or future ideas of OTL, like eugenics?

A lot of the intellectual drive behind eugenic and racial darwinism came from outside the United States and wasn't very influenced by events in the US. But I can see two different possibilities: if blacks face less de jure discrimination, and the long terms economic and cultural debilities caused by slavery aren't recognized, then racialism and eugenic thinking may get a boost.

On the other hand, a longer continued presence of blacks with political power will tend to make racially-based eugenics less respectable in the United States, because it will piss off powerful politicians.
 
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