Jordan stays out of Six Day War

In OTL, before the war began, Israeli PM Levi Eshkol spoke to King Hussein on the phone, urging him to keep out of hostilities, should it come to that. Of course, Nasser of Egypt was twisting his arm hard the other way. Then, on the morning of June 5, 1967, Jordanian radar picked up a large group of aircraft which were approaching Israel from the west. The Egyptians claimed that this was their airforce, coming to wipe Israel out. In truth, the planes were Israeli, returning from just having destroyed the Egyptian air force on the ground. Believing what the Egyptians told him, the king made the fateful decision to go to war, and about 11 am, Jordanian shells began to crash into West Jerusalem. And the rest is history. Now what if Hussein had been a little more cautious, and wated to see how well the Egyptian 'raid' on Israel succeeded? He might then have thanked his lucky stars that he had been prudent.
OK, so otherwise, the war goes pretty much as in OTL. The 3 armoured divisions commanded by Gens. Tal, Yoffe and Sharon kick ass in Sinai, and are on the canal by the 8th, then the IDF goes north to do the Syrians in. Now some of Central Command's forces join in, because they are certain that Jordan will do nothing untoward. The attack goes off as planned, and the IDF stops 30 miles from Damascus, just as in OTL.
So now, what happens with the so called 'west bank'? When do the Palestinians and other Arabs start making noise about their state? Is the king going to be at all receptive to this, or will his response be whatever it was in the previous 19 years when Jordan controlled the west bank.
Millions of butterflies will come out of this. But lets assume that for the moment, Nasser continues to be bellicose, the War of Attrition still happens, and Nasser dies around the time he did in OTL, [Sept.- Oct. 1970] and is succeeded by Sadat. I can even see a Yom Kippur war still happening, but I imagine in this TL the events of September 1970 will be drastically different. If the King decides to put the west bank on a fast track toward independence, perhaps he can avoid all the trouble he had with the Palestinians in OTL. Does Arafat become the first Palestinian PM? Of course, poor Gaza is still out in the cold, because they are under Israeli occupation, and wouldn't be much better off if Egypt still ruled them.
I can see a much earlier peace treaty between Israel and Jordan here, with some sort of limited Israeli sovereignity over the wailing wall and the Jewish Quarter of the Old City. Undoubtedly the Palestinians would have East Jerusalem as their capital.
A curious bit of trivia: I can remember reading that life magazine in 1967, the one which showed the Israeli soldier swimming in the Suez Canal, and Life reported that 15, 000 Jordanians had been killed in the war. This figure was way too high, years later I read that 696 were killed. I always wondered where Life got their info from?
 
One point I should have raised, and that is that Israel may not be willing to allow a PLO cntrolled state on its borders, even if Jordan is willing to give the territory up. Not sure at all how Israel would react, if faced with this scenario. This changes so much in the middle east.
And please, folks, don't let this degenerate into a name calling thread, as so often happens with this subject.
 
The Jordanian Hashemites were already having enough trouble in the Arab world over their dealings with Israel, the scandal caused by the failure to join the war (can you say "stab in the back?"), coupled with the PLO being stronger in the West Bank than in the East Bank, would have led to either Hussein's overthrow or an Israeli attack aimed at securing his rule once the civil war starts.
 
But what civil war are you referring to? The one which happened in 1970, or one which happened as a result of butterflies?
 
Why would Jordan give up the West Bank to PLO? The Jordanian rule was very harsh there (according to what was mentioned in passing when I read about these wars). Without the 1967 Israeli conquest, the West Bank would probably stay Jordanian (I guess).
 
There are two problems with your proposition. If Jordan gives WB to Palestinians Israel will invade it. No way Israel will allow Palestinian state, specially one commanding both Jordan (the river) and Jerusalem.

However Israel, motivated by above, might invade anyway, using one pretext or the other. With victory behind them and high spirits it becomes ever more likely to take Jerusalem, round up borders and secure water.
 
But what civil war are you referring to? The one which happened in 1970, or one which happened as a result of butterflies?

A civil war is coming, the repercussions of the POD are sufficiently large as to virtually ensure that it won't begin at the same time and for the same reasons as OTL's Black September. I wouldn't be surprised if the first shots are fired by the end of 1967.

If the Israelis do jump in to save Hussein, which I think is likely, then Egypt, Syria and Iraq, as well as possibly Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Morocco, and others, will send forces to aid the PLO. Given that the Syrians are the only ones with good logistics and they're already a frontline state, the Arabs will not benefit all that much from this diversion. The situation gets really dangerous if the Jordanian Civil War attracts the militaries of the superpowers (or Britain, with its bases* in Cyprus and the Gulf).

*Was Dawson's Field in Jordan still an RAF base in 1967?
 
Jordan has no real interest in promoting a Palestinian state in 1967. Hashemite control of the Old City, which will likely remain the case here in the near term if Jordan sits out of the war, is still too much of an ego trip. However, Syria is screwed insofar as its border disputes with Israel are concerned. What might result is the ostracisation of Jordan by other Arab states after the war.
 
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