Jiyu Banzai! A Japanese Timeline

Found this TL today, really liking it.

Things I found interesting:

* the Japanese Revolution taking notes from the Americans on what to do better as well as being the first successful socialist state in the world.
* corollary to the above, the second French Revolution taking notes from the Japanese Revolution just as the first Revolution was influenced by the American Revolution
* Japan and Korea being in a marriage of equals, rather than occupier and occupied as in OTL.
* the irony of a socialist Vietnam headquartered in the South.
* China ripping off the proverbial bandage after the Beiyang Army's growth in influence and the erratic rule of the Tongzhi Emperor.

I like how it's all very plausible without resorting to tired tropes too.
 
@Goku_San Also, with the USA stymied from acquiring Hawaii and the Philippines in this ATL, will the USA acquire other territories in the Asia-Pacific region like say North Borneo aka Sabah (via Charles Lee Moses) though as a codominion with the Kingdom of Sarawak (under the White Rajahs/Brookes) and its powerful backer (i.e. the British Empire), American Samoa, etc. aside from Guam?
No American Indonesia, but they do acquire the entirety of Samoa due to Germany not being particularly interested in the Pacific.
Will the USA also acquire Santo Domingo aka the OTL Dominican Republic during the Fremont Administration/Presidency? [In the OTL, the annexation of Santo Domingo failed by one vote in the US Senate during the Grant Administration/Presidency].
That ship has already sailed, so no US annexation of the Dominican Republic.
And if so, will the US acquisition of Greenland from Denmark and Alaska from Russia be one of the reasons for the formal creation of the Canadian Confederation and thus Canada in this ATL?
The Confederation was formed at the end of the 1860s as OTL with the same reasoning.
Will the failed US attempts to acquire Hawaii and the Philippines be one of the reasons for the creation the USA's Great White Fleet and its trip throughout the world, and especially throughout the Asia-Pacific region in this ATL?
The dispatch of a Great White Fleet would follow the same logic as OTL, as considering that the US never tried to formally acquire Hawaii and the Treaty of Manila was less a way to avoid war and more the US hammering out their future relations with the Philippines, they wouldn't feel much pressure to show strength to make up for past failures. If anything, the Americans in TTL see the outcomes in Hawaii and the Philippines as successes due to them getting a naval base at Pearl Harbor on the cheap (they even got Japan to foot half the bill) and the establishment of another friendly republic on the opposite side of the Pacific. It's only a handful of actual imperialists who see the failure to annex the two countries as failures of US foreign policy.
Found this TL today, really liking it.

Things I found interesting:

* the Japanese Revolution taking notes from the Americans on what to do better as well as being the first successful socialist state in the world.
* corollary to the above, the second French Revolution taking notes from the Japanese Revolution just as the first Revolution was influenced by the American Revolution
* Japan and Korea being in a marriage of equals, rather than occupier and occupied as in OTL.
* the irony of a socialist Vietnam headquartered in the South.
* China ripping off the proverbial bandage after the Beiyang Army's growth in influence and the erratic rule of the Tongzhi Emperor.

I like how it's all very plausible without resorting to tired tropes too.
Thank you! While writing this timeline I've been trying to create a world that's unique without going too crazy or whacky. The relationship between Korea and Japan is also something I'm really proud of, since it's a cliché that Korea ends up under the control of a foreign power in some form during the 19th and 20th Centuries and that Japan and Korea are forever fated to fight until one dominates the other.
 
A Region Enshadowed: Latin America

A Region Enshadowed: Latin America​


Ever since its decisive victory in the Mexican-American War, the United States loomed above Latin America as a colossus, an ever present danger that periodically flexed its muscles. As time wore on and American strength grew, so too did the amount it interfered with its southern neighbors.


Mexico and Central America​

The main recipient of American influence, the Mexican Republic, would enter into a period of stability and growth after decades of unrest in the Porfiriato, an authoritarian regime headed by General Porfirio Diaz. The Porfiriato would result in great economic growth in Mexico, in addition to a rise in literacy and urbanization. Attempts to attract foreign capital in the last decades of the 1800s would see investors from Korea to Britain tie themselves to the Mexican economy, fueling further growth alongside the rapid expansion of railways in the country. Although the period saw the ruthless suppression of resistance and the concentration of wealth in the hands of an elite, the Porfirato was a welcome change from the conflicts of the past.
Further to the south lay the republic of Guatemala. Under the de facto presidential dictatorship of Justo Rufino Barrios since 1873, the nation had relied on American aid to modernize and improve its military. Alongside strengthening ties with the United States, Barrios would attempt to attract immigrants to work untilled lands (or “untilled lands” in the case of the many plots confiscated from Natives). Although they did not attract the American stock he wanted, Barrios was able to attract several thousand French refugees fleeing the new Social Republic and around 1,000 Circassians. While the French immigrants tended to be well-to-do and were able to establish their own farms, many of the Circassians would become trapped as de facto serfs on coffee plantations.
The most important immigrants in Barrios’ eyes were those who had military experience. Over 800 Royalist soldiers had moved to Guatemala with their families and were hired by the Guatemalans to train the military, including former Marshal Francois Certain de Canrobert. Canrobert was given the position of General in the Army in 1877 and was tasked with professionalizing the Guatemalan officer corps. Thanks to the reforms and equipment efforts, by 1885 the Guatemalan army was the strongest in Central America.
This new army would soon come in handy as war arrived in Central America. On February 28th, 1885, Barrios held a speech in which he declared himself the President of a United Central America after nearly a decade of integration efforts. Rather than the fervent support he had expected, however, Barrios was met with denouncement from El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua as only Honduras stood alongside him. Infuriated, Barrios mobilized the Guatemalan military and became determined to reunite Central America by force.
The ensuing War of Reunification would rage for several years as Guatemala and Honduras struggled to subdue their opponents. After swiftly overrunning El Salvador in 1885, the Guatemalan army soon found itself bogged down in Nicaragua. Despite the superior quality of the Guatemalans, the Nicaraguans withdrew into the mountains and jungles to continue the fight. After several failed campaigns to crush the resistance in 1886, 1887, and 1888, Barrios elected to turn south and subdue Costa Rica before finishing off the Nicaraguans at his leisure. The Guatemalans invaded southward in 1889.
In a shocking turn of events, the 8,000 man Guatemalan army was defeated by 4,000 Costa Ricans at the Battle of Liberia as overconfident and spread out Guatemalan forces were defeated in detail. While the Guatemalan army remained in good condition, the battle would effectively end the war as Barrios, who had elected to command the army in the climactic campaign of the war, was killed trying to rally his soldiers and counterattack. The death of Justo Barrios would see the end of the War of Reunification as an exhausted Guatemala withdrew from the occupied lands and officially made peace.
The War of Reunification would significantly reshape the landscape of Central America. Although the human cost of the war was small, only 40,000 people had died due to it, it left Guatemala and Costa Rica deep in debt, ruined El Salvador economically, and would result in the bankruptcy of Nicaragua in 1890. Only Honduras, who’s contribution was limited to a few hundred men, would manage to survive the war in a good shape. It would also see the destruction of the Guatemalan, Salvadoran, and Nicaraguan regimes.
In Guatemala, the people’s anger with the waste of blood and treasure in four years of war would see a popular revolution overthrow the government, resulting in the recently returned military under General Manuel Barillas cracking down and establishing a military dictatorship. In El Salvador and Nicaragua, the only remaining groups engaged in armed resistance were bands of bandits and/or peasants as the armies had either been defeated or had steadily deserted due to a lack of pay. In the aftermath of the Guatemalan withdrawal, these groups would launch attacks on the oligarchic families that dominated both countries, violently seizing their lands and often killing them. By the time the situation in both countries had calmed down, the old order had quite literally gone up in flames. El Salvador would manage to stabilize into an American-inspired democracy, but Nicaragua would come under the control of brigand-turned warlord Emilio Estefan.


Ecuador​

1872 in Ecuador was a peculiar year. Hundreds of French citizens, claiming to be refugees fleeing Socialist oppression, arrived in Guayaquil in July of that year. When questioned about their extremely large baggage train, the French simply responded that they had fled with everything they owned. When asked where all the women and children were, the French responded that they would arrive in a few weeks time. Two weeks later, the French departed for the interior to make a new life for themselves.
Two months later the Cacha Revolt broke out.

Ecuadorian politics in the 1800s were rather static, with two factions that dominated the nation. The Liberals were mercantile and held their power base along the coast while the Conservatives were concentrated in the interior and were mainly landowners. The two struggled over control of Ecuador, but for the Natives living in the highlands the petty squabbles meant very little. Regardless of who was in charge, the diezmo tax and forced labor were constants in Native life, a constant that grew more and more intolerable over the 1860s. The breaking point would come after an encounter with a particularly abusive tribute collector among the people of the town of Cacha. While the collector would live to see another day, the Puruha people dispatched an emissary across the sea after hearing of the rise of a new regime dedicated to helping the downtrodden like them. After several months, he would return alongside several hundred Frenchmen, volunteers who had heard of his people’s plight while in Paris, and thousands of rifles. The next time a collector came to the town of Cacha, the locals killed him and rose in revolt.
The Cacha Revolt officially began on April 4th, 1872 with the murder of a tax collector, word of the event reaching the Ecuadorian government two weeks later. Meanwhile, the Natives, under the leadership of the “King of Cacha” Fernando Daquilema, spread out across Chimborazo Province and overwhelmed Ecuadorian resistance. The government, completely unprepared for a revolt of this magnitude and coordination, was forced out of Chimborazo and several neighboring provinces but were able to halt the rebel advance into the lowlands. As the situation settled into a stalemate, the Ecuadorians attempted to negotiate with the rebels but found their terms too extreme. They launched one final offensive to restore order but failed, resulting in the de facto establishment of the Kingdom of Cacha.
The rebel forces had never wanted to establish an independent state, but rather had wanted the creation of an Ecuador where Natives, whites, and mestizos were treated as equals. With the diplomatic and military impasse, however, they accepted that unless they wanted to face further repression they were effectively independent.
The Kingdom of Cacha, named after the town that had originated the revolt, quickly became a loose federation of Native peoples and mestizos living under their control. Due to his popularity in leading the revolt and to draw support from foreign monarchies, Fernando Daquilema was officially crowned as a king. Despite this, the majority of power lay in the hands of the local communes that met in the city of Ambato twice a year to discuss affairs and to pass laws. This body, known as the Grand Ayllu, was the closest thing Cacha came to a centralized government and theoretically held the authority to raise armies and taxes.
In Ecuador, the loss of the highlands was an unmitigated catastrophe for the ruling Conservatives. As their support faded away with startling rapidity, the Conservative Era came crashing to an end as the Liberals found themselves in ascendance. While the Liberal Era would see civil liberties and educational opportunities expanded, the Liberal determination to reconquer the highlands would see a reckless pace of militarization and an unsustainable amount of foreign arms purchases. The expenditure of this would drag the Ecuadorian economy into the depths of recession, forcing the increasingly desperate Liberals to launch a reconquest attempt in 1887.
The War of ‘87 was yet another disaster for the Ecuadorians. Low morale, growing budgetary issues, and highly-motivated resistance saw the Ecuadorian Army shatter on impact with Cacha forces, allowing the Cacha to occupy Quito and secure the remaining Andean Mountains. By the time the Cacha withdrew from Quito, Ecuador was forced to acknowledge the loss of not only the Andes, but the Ecuadorian Amazon as well. Reduced to the Lowlands, the Liberals would attempt to continue governing and stave off a self-inflicted bankruptcy for several more years before the army launched a coup in 1894.


Peru​

The collapse of Ecuadorian authority in the interior was looked on with keen interest by the Peruvians, who had a long-standing territorial dispute over Amazonian territory. After recovering from the War of the Pacific, in which Peru and Bolivia were defeated by Chile, the Peruvian Army was dispatched to the border with orders to occupy the area. After a three-month campaign in which disease, poor supply, and Cacha partisans sapped away at Peruvian strength, the Peruvians withdrew in accordance with the Grace Contract, in which Peru’s creditors agreed to pay its debts in exchange for certain concessions.
The withdrawal from the disputed territories and the Grace Contract proved to be too much for the Peruvian President, Andres Avelino Caceres, to survive politically and resulted in his loss in the 1890 elections. After a brief return to power in 1895, Caceres would step down due to popular pressure and would be replaced by Nicolas de Pierola. Under Pierola, Peru would begin to institute reforms to rebuild the national economy, which had never truly recovered from the War of the Pacific, and begin the era known as the Aristocratic Republic.


Colombia​

On the opposite side of Ecuador was Colombia. During Barrios’ War of Reunification Colombia had supported the anti-Guatemalan coalition, with several hundred volunteers serving in the Costa Rican Army, due to fears that a united Central America would desire Panama. This foreign policy victory would help legitimize the recently-empowered Regeneration movement, who had overseen the creation of a new, more centralized constitution in 1886. Under a strong executive, the Colombian government would be dominated by the Conservative Party despite the best efforts of the Liberals to unseat them. As political unrest gripped the country, political violence became normalized and would result in the radicalization of Colombian society.


Venezuela​

Unlike its eastern neighbor, Venezuela would enter into a period of stability and growth in the last quarter of the 1800s as General Antonio Guzman Blanco seized control. Taking power in 1868, Blanco would put an end to the struggles between the Centralists and the Federalists that had torn apart the nation in the Federal War in the early 1860s. Centralizing power, Blanco would oversee the growth of Caracas into the nation’s premier city. The modernization of Venezuela’s infrastructure and expansion of public schooling occurred during Blanco’s second official term as President between 1878 and 1884.
Despite growing resistance to his continued rule, Blanco would begin a third term as President in 1886. Blanco would eventually fall, however, as he spent more and more time in the United States before entering into voluntary exile in 1887. He would remain in the US for the rest of his life despite an invitation from Vo Nhung, who viewed him as a model Great Man, to visit Saigon in 1896. He would eventually be succeeded by Juan Pablo Rojas Paúl in 1888.
Rojas’ rule would see the beginning of constitutional reform, with Rojas peacefully transferring power to Joaquin Crespo at the end of his term in 1890, although Crespo’s position in the army resulted in suspicions that his election was not completely legitimate. Regardless of the truth of the accusations, Crespo would take office and oversee the passage of a new constitution that strengthened the Presidency in 1891. Crespo would be reelected in 1895, but this time the suspicious circumstances nearly resulted in a revolt by Presidential challenger Jose Manuel Hernandez before Crespo agreed to support Hernandez in the 1899 elections and diffused the crisis.


Chile​

For the winner of the War of the Pacific, the 1880s was a veritable golden age as the sale of nitrates brought in significant amounts of wealth in Chile. Utilizing its new wealth, Chile would engage in a naval buildup that would temporarily see it become the strongest naval power in the entirety of the Americas and take part in a naval arms race with its Argentine neighbor.
This golden age would come to a crashing halt in 1890, however, as tensions between the executive and the legislature broke out into open warfare. While President Jose Manuel Balmaceda initially held the upper hand due to holding the army’s loyalty, the Congressionalists were able to rally and take the majority of the south of the country. After a desperate victory by Presidential forces at Pozo Almonte, the nitrate-producing regions of the north were secured for Balmaceda.
As 1890 dragged on into 1891, Balmaceda became ever more isolated from his political base. The loss of Santiago had done much to cripple his legitimacy in the eyes of the elite and his former allies pressured him to surrender. Balmaceda, afraid of being executed if he did, refused and in desperation turned to the nascent Chilean labor movement. Personally traveling to Tarapaca, he parlaid with the leaders of the miners there to gain their support and for them to vouch for him. In exchange he would dismiss the brutal taskmasters of the mines and ensure that any future managers were approved by the miners themselves.
Shortly afterward, Balmaceda would take a steamship and slip past the Congressional navy to arrive in Concepcion, one of the centers of the labor movement still under the control of forces loyal to him. There he would meet with major members of the Democratic Party and local unions to hammer out an agreement for their support. Along with protections for strikes and the right to organize, Balmaceda would be forced to accept universal suffrage for all males 21 and over. In exchange for these concessions, areas under Congressional control would face strikes while thousands of workers took up arms for Balmaceda. For Balmaceda, he had sold his soul for a chance at retaining power.
1891 would see Congressional forces begin new offensives to finish the war, but would continue to be thwarted by Balmacedan loyalists. Despite this, the Balmacedans were being worn down as labor’s organizational and striking power proved to be less potent than hoped. New recruits were green, and even with the wealth of the nitrate mines Balmaceda struggled to keep his troops supplied. The Congressional navy continued to blockade the coast, choking the life out of his forces. As things seemed to be hopeless, French armed merchant ships carrying hundreds of rifles, tens of thousands of cartridges of ammunition, two artillery pieces, and a dozen advisors arrived in Concepcion. Threatening the Congressionalists with war if they were detained and claiming a larger caliber than they actually possessed, they had bluffed their way through the blockade.
French interest in the Chilean conflict was manifold, but the two main ones were Boulanger’s interest in expanding Socialist influence across the globe and to secure a steady supply of nitrates for France. While French chemists claimed they were close to being able to synthesize ammonia, a friendly Chile could ensure a supply and potentially cut off their enemies. The arrival of Chilean leftists in Paris in 1891 simply confirmed the decision to intervene by giving them a side to support.

The arrival of French supplies proved to be exactly what Balmaceda needed. His forces, reinvigorated and with increased morale, counterattacked toward Santiago. Congressional forces put up a fierce resistance, but were soon forced back as Balmacedan artillery opened up on their positions. With their own artillery out of position, they were unable to properly fight back and retreated. The Balmacedans would run out of steam near Curico, 180km south of Santiago.
1892 would see Balmaceda approach the Congressionalists to negotiate an end to the civil war. Afraid of the growing power of the labor movement, he suggested that the two sides should bury the hatchet to keep the Red Specter from sinking its claws into Chile. The Congressionalists considered the offer but remained non-committal. After two weeks without a response, Balmaceda prepared his soldiers to march on Santiago.
Word of Balmaceda’s attempt at negotiation leaked out in April as his forces prepared their offensive. Furious, Malaquías Concha Ortiz, the de facto leader of the labor forces supporting Balmaceda due to his position in the Democratic Party, confronted Balmaceda and demanded an explanation. Rather than receive an answer, Ortiz was arrested and nearly moved to a secret holding area before others discovered the treachery. Democrats and labor, infuriated, stormed Balmaceda’s headquarters and hauled him out. In a fit of rage, one of those present shot him before they could be stopped. Although the shot wasn’t immediately fatal, Balmaceda would bleed out in a matter of hours.
With the death of their leader, the Balmacedans were left without a clear purpose. Army soldiers loyal to Balmaceda had already deserted, with a significant number joining the to the Congressionalists, while those that remained were too angry to contemplate simply returning home. They had fought their way across hundreds of kilometers for their rights, and they weren’t simply about to turn back now. Ortiz, the movement’s new de facto leader, would manage to calm down the situation and buy himself time for one more round of negotiation.

Negotiations between the Congressionalists and the Democrats would take place in Santiago and dragged on for several weeks. The Congressionalists strung out negotiations as they prepared their forces, but never had any intention of agreeing to the concessions to the labor movement. Universal male suffrage was acceptable, allowing strikes and unions was not. By the time the Congressionalists were willing to drop all pretenses, they had mustered 18,000 men. After Ortiz narrowly escaped an attempt to arrest him, he retreated back to the now-Democrat army and prepared for a final stand.
In his absence, however, the remaining soldiers had not been idle. From an initial strength of 8,000 after the desertions, the rebel army had risen to 40,000 as members of the lower classes joined. Although they were more a militia than a proper army, its members were highly motivated and well-equipped. Spreading word that the Congressionalists were unwilling to negotiate and lying that they would confiscate all food and water in preparation for a siege, the Democrats managed to instigate a strike among the residents of Santiago that covered their advance to the city’s outskirts. Taking advantage of the ongoing chaos in the city as strikes descended into riots, the Democrats marched into the city and evicted the Congressional army in fierce house-to-house fighting. By the battle’s end the Congressional army had disintegrated as isolated units were either destroyed, surrendered, deserted, or retreated out of the city. The Chilean Civil War ended on August 13th, 1892, a month after the Battle of Santiago, as the Congressional leadership was caught attempting to link up with forces in the north.
The absolutely stunned Malaquías Concha Ortiz now sat as the de facto leader of Chile as remaining Congressional forces laid down their arms in exchange for clemency. Ortiz, who had never expected or really wanted to be in his position, elected to draw up a new constitution and to show clemency toward the captured Congressionalists to avoid creating a new schism in Chilean politics. The Congressionalists directly involved in the planning or the revolt were imprisoned and their property stripped from them, but the majority of the rank and file were let go. Constitutionally, Ortiz would oversee the creation of a semi-parliamentary republic where the executive still held some power, a system quite close to what the Congressionalists wanted, but made sure to include protections for workers and the guarantee of the right to strike.
While legally relatively little had changed for a civil war that saw the collapse of the two instigating factions, in concrete terms the Chilean Civil War did much to empower the lower classes and help break the stranglehold the elites had held over the nation’s politics. In particular, the barons who had made their wealth in the northern mines were left significantly weakened as the miners went on strike for better working conditions in the immediate aftermath of the civil war. Unable to call in the army and the miners still carrying their arms from the civil war, capitulation would be the only solution to the problem. The election of a strong Democratic government in 1893 would solidify the new order, with an attempted coup by the army being halted by the mutual aid societies of Santiago striking for three days before the army backed down.


Argentina​

Like the Chileans, Argentina would spend the 1880s in a boom period. Unlike its western neighbor, however, Argentina would not descend into civil war in the 1890s. Efforts to promote immigration were wildly successful, with hundreds of thousands moving to the country in the second half of the century as Argentina attempted to fill up the recently depopulated lands of the massacred Mapuche and Tehuelche in Patagonia. Alongside this mass influx of immigrants, the Argentine economy would significantly grow as exports of wheat and beef reached global prominence, the amount of railways in the country increased, and literacy rose. Under the Generation of ‘80, Argentina had become one of the most prosperous nations in the world by 1900.


Brazil​

The Empire of Brazil was a strange country, having gained independence after the royal family of its former colonial master Portugal found they preferred the nation to their homeland. Still under the rule of the House of Braganza in 1880, Brazil would soon go through enormous changes after the death of Emperor Pedro II in Milan in 1887 and the abolition of slavery in 1888. A military coup attempting to take advantage of the Emperor’s death was halted under the new Empress Isabela in 1887.
Despite this initial victory, Empress Isabela would continue to preside over an Empire filled with growing unrest. Deep-seated social issues, such as rampant poverty and resentment over abolition by former slave owners, coupled with doubts that a woman married to a foreigner could properly rule to sow dissent against the Empire. The rise of the Social Republic of France would only inflame such sentiments as Socialist thought became more and more popular in Brazil. These tensions would boil over in 1897 as a Republican revolt broke out in Rio de Janeiro only to be brutally put down. Despite this, resentment at the monarchy would only continue to grow as Brazil entered the 20th century.


Uruguay​

The struggle between the Colorados and Blancos in Uruguayan politics were a fixture of the past four decades by the 1880s. After plunging the nation into a thirteen-year civil war in 1839, the two parties had continued to dominate politics, although the Colorados held the upper hand and the government beginning in 1865. Despite several Blanco rebellions, Colorado control was maintained with the help of Brazilian forces until a military coup d’etat in 1876. It would not be until 1890 that civilian rule returned to Uruguay.
Internally, Uruguay saw exponential population growth in the aftermath of the civil war, with the population reaching over a million by 1900. Under military rule British economic investment flowed into the country, resulting in the rapid spread of telegraphs and railways, while educational reform saw the implementation of compulsory public schooling for the children of Uruguay.


Paraguay​

The Paraguay of 1880 was a shell of itself, still recovering from the utter devastation of the War of the Triple Alliance. Crippled by its demographic losses, it was effectively an Argentine-Brazilian puppet until the withdrawal of Triple Alliance forces in 1876. Even four years later, the shadow of the two neighboring giants loomed large over the country. The new Legionnaire government, composed of exiles who had opposed the dictator Francisco Solano Lopez who was responsible for the war, was reliant on foreign aid until its eventual fall from power in 1878.
1878 would begin the Colorado Period of Paraguayan politics as the Colorado Party, formed in 1887, and its predecessors controlled the country. The Colorado Period would see proper reconstruction efforts begin. It would also see the rise of leftist thought in Paraguay as poverty and mutual aid societies spread. Although its presence was initially limited to Asuncion, the 1876 General Strike and the rise of l’Esprit du Nation in France would see a more nationalist fusion pierce both the ruling classes and the countryside. Deep-seated resentment at foreign domination of Paraguay’s economy and a national feeling of humiliation combined with a growing feeling of national community, which had come to encompass even the previously marginalized Guarani, to create a situation where Roland Beaumont’s ideas about combining conservatism with Socialist economics were highly appealing.
Beaumontism would officially enter Paraguayan politics in 1897 when President Juan Bautista Egusquiza began promoting the creation of farmer’s communes and the remilitarization of Paraguay. The War of the Triple Alliance was recast in a psuedo-socialist light as the cosmopolitan and egalitarian nature of the Paraguayan war effort, which had tapped every facet of Paraguayan society out of desperation, was emphasized and the cause of the war depicted as Paraguay’s struggle against foreign domination as part of the reconstruction of national pride. For the first time since the War, the Catholic Church regained national prominence as government support allowed it to fully recover from the post-War chaos that had affected it alongside the rest of the country. Perhaps most shockingly, the Colorados officially extended an olive branch to the Liberals to form a Government of National Unity. Beginning in 1899, the seemingly paradoxical Colorado-Liberal Coalition of National Unity was formed, bringing an end to the Colorado Period. For better or worse, Beaumontism had arrived in South America.
 
@Roland Traveler I wonder what the USA, especially those policy makers in DC are thinking of the events in Central and South America?
They supported Guatemala in their war (even OTL they stopped Mexico from intervening) and are disappointed it not only failed but tore up the region doing so, are a bit perplexed about Ecuador imploding, and are cautiously optimistic about Chile as the new government is willing to mostly keep the status quo in terms of international trade. As for the rest of South America, their opinion is pretty much OTL due to the changes not being all that major as far as they're concerned. The growing instability in Brazil is concerning to them, but it's not really something they can do anything about.
Civil wars and French expats are one thing, the new French regime actively meddling and arming some of them on the other hand…
Oh yeah, France only got away with this because nobody thought they'd do anything like it. Invading a sovereign nation over flimsy pretexts is one thing, all the big boys have done it, but actually shipping weapons to a faction in a civil war is something that just isn't done. Of course, France denies any involvement in either Ecuador or Chile, claiming both were done by concerned citizens outside of their power. Now Ecuador actually was, with a quarter of the French who went there ending up permanently settling in Cacha, but Chile is a bald-faced lie and everyone knows it. The only reason it didn't spiral into a major incident was because the new Chilean government is only vaguely leftist rather than fully Socialist. Had Chile actually gone Socialist, Britain at the very least would have immediately backed a counter-revolt.
 
Mahdism, Imperialism, and Sub-Saharan Africa

Mahdism, Imperialism, and Sub-Saharan Africa​


French Senegal was a shadow of itself by the 1880s. Governor Francois-Xavier Michel Valiere, who had run the colony before the Second French Revolution and had been left in charge after swearing loyalty to Paris, had withdrawn from much of its new conquests as a protest against the Revolution. This protest not only fell on deaf ears, its meaning was also completely misinterpreted as Paris viewed the withdrawal as a renunciation of imperialism and proof of Valiere’s commitment to the new regime.
This could not be further from the truth. Valiere was by no means loyal to Paris, viewing the Socialists as a corruption of French values, he simply did not see any point in throwing his career or potentially his life away by refusing to accept the new order in France. Instead, he became determined to do the bare minimum possible to keep the colony running. Once again, he was astonished when Paris interpreted this as him doing an excellent job and congratulated him on maintaining a stable society in West Africa in 1876.
It was around this time that Valiere came to realize the true extent to which Paris was willing to turn a blind eye to their colonies and began rebuilding French Senegal. He ordered a renewal of expeditions into the interior and once again established French sovereignty over the lower reaches of the Senegal River. In 1879 he launched the conquest of the states south of the Senegal River, a campaign that would take him until 1881 to complete, and in 1880 sent Paris an offer to resettle those who continued to oppose the Social Republic in Senegal. Paris would accept the offer, resulting in the exodus of 50,000 Frenchmen to Senegal throughout the 1880s.
By this point, Valiere was the de facto dictator of the colony and had very little in the way of metropole oversight. In 1882 he would conclude a treaty with the Toucouleur that pledged the sale of French arms, a business that he made sure Senegal gained a cut of, in exchange for settling the border between the two states and in 1885 would negotiate a treaty with Britain and Portugal settling the borders in the region. While Paris ratified both of these treaties, they were unaware that Valiere had negotiated a secret clause that pledged French Senegal would remain neutral in any war between France, Britain, and Portugal.
Internally, Valiere ran a regime that relied heavily on local power structures, with the native aristocracy in many cases being left in place. His armed forces were rather egalitarian about their recruitment out of necessity, but formations were almost always commanded by French officers. In the interest of lessening dependence on France, Valiere also oversaw the diversification of the Senegalese economy, establishing mines throughout the country and attempting to establish factories in Dakar before financial difficulties forced him to stop. Under his rule Senegal also became a hotbed of smuggling to and from France as Dakar became a port visited by French and non-French merchants alike looking to trade in restricted goods.
After fifteen years of being essentially independent, Valiere was once again forced to contend with Paris after the election of Georges Boulanger. Boulanger would personally visit the colony in 1886 to personally investigate reports that the administration was getting a bit too independent-minded. He would meet with Valiere to discuss the colony’s future in his future plans for the French Empire.
The meeting would end with both sides having a mutual respect for the other, with Valiere writing in his journal “For the first time since the red flag began flying over Paris, I feel as if a true leader commands France.” Boulanger would leave Valiere in charge of Senegal after forcing him to agree to begin dismantling the old aristocratic systems, de-Islamizing the region, and begin involving the natives more in the bureaucracy. In exchange, Boulanger would overlook the colony’s questionable finances and would grant Senegal a de facto control over its own foreign policy in relation to the native African kingdoms and limited control over its internal policies.
It would take Valiere nearly a decade to implement Boulanger’s reforms as he began fighting an uphill battle against local resistance. With only 10,000 men at arms including loyal militia, he would fight a brutal campaign of suppression against the locals. Towns would burn and numerous massacres would be perpetrated before it was all over. At the cost of 60,000 lives, Valiere was able to break the back of local resistance, but only after agreeing to drop several of Boulanger’s more intolerable demands. As Valiere wrote in his journal, riffing on Henry IV, “Dakar is worth a mosque.”

With the withdrawal of the French from most of Western Africa in the aftermath of the Revolution, the reeling Toucouleur Empire was able to recover much of its strength. Expanding into the vacuum left by the French, Toucouleur ruler Ahmadu Tall stabilized the empire and crushed numerous rebellions. Between 1872 and 1880, the Toucouleur were able to establish themselves as the dominant native force in the Western Sahel.
The Toucouleur were still an extremely fragile empire, however. Internal feuds, raids, external challenges, and rebellion all served to weaken the empire even as the most blatant flaunting of central authority were defeated. Attempting to gain leverage with which to secure Toucouleur hegemony, Ahmadu Tall entered into negotiations with Francois Valiere and the French. Valiere would establish a good working relationship with Ahmadu Tall, signing the Treaty of Dakar in 1882. In exchange for acknowledging French control of territory west of the Senegal and Faleme Rivers and north of Portuguese Guinea, France would sell weapons to the Toucouleur. Although Tall would be forced to concede several territories taken in the aftermath of the initial French withdrawal, he decided the gains would be worth it. In the aftermath of the Treaty of Dakar, many Frenchmen would make their way into Toucouleur service. In many cases, Paris would even encourage this, using it as a way to effectively exile those who were still opposed to the new regime.

The Toucouleur were not the only force in West Africa. To the east lay the Sokoto Caliphate, a polity only a handful of decades older than the Toucouleur. Despite this, Sokoto was the dominant force in the Niger basin and Hausaland. Its power was fragile, however, as disillusionment with Sokoto’s failures to live up to its founding ideals of eradicating government corruption and establishing a proper Islamist state resulted in the rise of Hayatu Ibn Sa’id in Adamawa. Inspired by the rise of the Mahdi Muhammad Ahmad, Hayatu would establish control over Balda, a small village located on the outskirts of the town of Bogo. From here, Hayatu would grow a following that would allow him to declare a jihad against local tribes resistant to Bogo hegemony. After successfully completing his jihad, Hayatu would contact the Mahdi and recieve his blessing to act as his hand in Hausaland.
In the early 1890s, Hayatu would steadily increase his influence in Sokoto, eventually resulting in an increase of tensions between himself and the Caliphate after the new governor of Adamawa moved against him. Defeating this attack, Hayatu and his followers prepared themselves for conflict with Sokoto. Allying himself with fellow Mahdist Rabih az-Zubayr, a Sudanese conqueror who had established an empire in the area around Lake Chad and in Darfur, he aided Rabih in his conquest of Bornu in 1893. After one final appeal to the Sultan of Sokoto, Hayatu and Rabih invaded in 1894. Offering mercy and seeming to be winning, the two swept aside the armies of the unpopular Abdur Rahman Atiku and took Sokoto after six months of campaigning.
Mahdist success in the region would attract the attention of the British. Already dealing with the Mahdists in Sudan, the potential expansion of the war into West Africa caused them to organize an expedition to place Abdur Atiku back in power. 2,000 men advanced from recently-conquered Benin in August 1895 along the Niger in small steamboats capable of being disassembled and dragged across non-navigable parts of the river until they encountered a Mahdist force of 14,000. Defeating their foes, the British continued to advance until they encountered another, much larger, army of 40,000. After reconnaissance determined that the Mahdists threatened to encircle them, the British withdrew to Benin.
The establishment of two new Mahdist states in the Sahel made all of Europe nervous. Envoys to the Toucouleur were able to convince them of the severity of this threat, resulting in the Toucouleur promising to resist any westward expansion by the Mahdists. The British also consolidated their control over the Slave Coast, conquering the Ashanti Empire and other nearby African states in a series of brief but bitter wars. The resulting Southern Nigeria Protectorate was tasked with keeping Mahdism at bay, resulting in the importation of the idea of martial races from India. The Ashanti, whose empire had provided the fiercest resistance to Britain, were encouraged to join the rapidly-formed Nigerian Army.

The source of British worries was in Sudan. Sudan was in the grip of a rebellion that had thrown out the Ottoman and Egyptian garrisons. Sparked by Muhammad Ahmad, a Muslim cleric who declared himself the Mahdi and purifier of the world before final judgement, they would wage an eighteen year war starting in 1881 against first the Egyptians then the British.
The British would dispatch their first serious effort to defeat the Mahdists in 1884. An expedition led by Charles Gordon advanced into the Sudan before eventually being besieged in Khartoum. Gordon’s army would slowly wither over months of siege before being overwhelmed by the Mahdists. Gordon was captured alive and brought before the Mahdi. Rather than using him as a bargaining tool, Muhammad Ahmad chose to execute the general. Ahmad would not live long after the general, dying in 1885 due to typhus.
Ahmad’s successor, Abdallahi ib Muhammad, would attempt to turn the motley rebellion into a proper kingdom and establish a proper way to coordinate with his ideological allies to the west. Envoys were dispatched to Rabih az-Zubayr, ensuring continued friendly relations as Abdallahi began a campaign southward. Raiding southward, Abdallahi would be forced to turn back after clashing with Buganda and its neighbors to the south while a thrust into the Congo was driven back by a small German force.
Abdallahi would begin a new campaign in 1890 against the Ethiopians, plunging into the country and making it to Gondar before being forced to stop. At the Battle of Gondar, an Ethiopian army of 30,000, supported by 8,000 Italians operating out of Tadjoura, met the Mahdist army of 80,000 and utterly defeated it. In the chaos, Abdallahi and most of the Mahdist leadership would be killed or captured. The decapitated and demoralized survivors retreated to Sudan, where a power struggle broke out. Wad El Nejumi, an Emir who had been preparing a campaign into Egypt, eventually won out and assumed control. Nejumi, recognizing the fragile disposition of the Mahdist state, chose to consolidate control and halt campaigning.
Nejumi’s reign was a much needed period of stability for the devastated Sudan. A decade of warfare had left it thoroughly ravaged, with a fourth of its population dead, and the centralization efforts under Abdallahi had caused unrest and a revolt in Darfur. Nejumi would put an end to this, undoing many of the regime’s more extreme edicts and calming unrest by lowering taxes and granting increased autonomy. While the result was a less powerful government than under Abdallahi, peace was returned to Sudan.
Nejumi would approach the British in 1898 to come to an agreement to end the war. While the British had considered sending a new, larger expedition to crush the Mahdists, concerns elsewhere and memories of Charles Gordon stayed their hand. After several months of negotiation, Nejumi was able to receive British recognition of Sudanese independence, access to the coast, and promises to help settle border disputes with Egypt and Ethiopia. The Treaty of Cairo would be signed on March 8, 1899 and would be sent back to Britain alongside the bones of Charles Gordon, a token of goodwill from the new Khalifa.

In 1885, the emergent German Empire finally began to flex its muscles on the Dark Continent. The discovery of the machinations of Belgian King Leopold II, who had contracted famous explorer Henry Morton Stanley to set the groundwork for a colony in the Congo, sparked a firestorm in Belgium. The nation was positively engulfed by fury that their king was seeking to establish his own state and waste God knows how much money while the Socialist Menace sat on the nation’s very borders. Under threat of forced abdication, Leopold was forced to cease his plans and sell the enterprise.
The German Empire, seeking to gain prestige and distract its populace from the political upset caused by Bismarck’s retirement, offered to buy the operation and establish their own colony. After some negotiation with the Portuguese and British, who respectively thought the Germans were cutting in on their territory and were worried about their colonial ambitions, the deal went through. The first German administrators arrived in the city of Boma in 1886.
The first years of the German Congo were relatively peaceful as the Germans slowly worked out a relationship with its new subjects and explored the interior. The realization that rubber was produced in large quantities, and the potential profits that could be gained from it, resulted in a change in policy, however. German administration began expanding aggressively into the interior, eventually coming into conflict with the Yeke Kingdom on the colony’s southern borders.
The Yeke Kingdom under King Msiri was a powerful state located in the interior along a transcontinental trade route. Its trade in copper, ivory, and salt allowed the kingdom to purchase arms and gunpowder for themselves. When the Germans arrived in Katanga, they found not a backward people who wielded spears and cowhide shields, but a gunpowder army.
German attempts to convince Msiri to submit to their rule failed, resulting in the expulsion of the German delegation and a declaration that any further German diplomats would be executed. The Germans smarted at this, as popular opinion back home was rapidly becoming apprehensive about the growing size of the colony. In an attempt to sway public opinion, the Germans slowly established forward bases near the Yeke and the mobilization of a force to conquer them and revive public support for the project. After a final demand to surrender was rejected, German forces launched the Congolese Campaign in 1894.
The campaign was an unmitigated disaster. 4,000 soldiers, 500 German, 3,500 native, marched to defeat the Yeke, establishing a base camp on Lake Tanganyika before striking toward Bunkeya. En route, 10,000 Yeke and allied warriors fell on them, surrounding the expedition and wiping it out. The Yeke would follow this up by marching into the German Congo and attacking several of the forts established in the frontier.
The Germans were absolutely mortified by the totality of their defeat, with orders arriving from Berlin to seek a settlement with Msiri before he swept all the way to the sea. After meeting with Msiri in 1895, the Germans agreed to withdraw from vast swathes of the interior, ceding control of it to the Yeke. From its original height of the majority of the Congo River Basin, the German Congo withdrew to a third of the Basin. Msiri’s new lands, even though he had no intention of even attempting to establish control over them, gave him a vast buffer between himself and the Europeans to the west. In the years following 1895, Msiri would officially recognize the independence of the kingdoms in his new lands, establishing a series of anti-European alliances as he did so.

To the north and east of the Yeke Kingdom lay the Swahili Coast, which was dominated by the Sultanate of Oman out of their powerbase in Zanzibar. The Omani dominated trade with the interior, overseeing a vast trade network that extended hundreds of miles inland and passed through numerous kingdoms and tribes. In exchange for ivory, gold, slaves, and other goods, the Omani would trade weapons into the interior. The Omani demand for porters for goods, as the interior was deadly to most beasts of burden, slaves for their plantations along the coast, and the distribution of weaponry had a devastating effect on the tribes in the interior, resulting in widespread depopulation and endemic violence.
The Omani trade network would undergo change in the late 1800s as European, particularly British, forces began influencing the region. British commercial and strategic interest in the kingdom saw them place significant amounts of pressure on the Omani, coercing them into signing a treaty turning Oman into a British protectorate in 1890. The British immediately banned the slave trade and abolished official slavery, significantly affecting the slave trade through Zanzibar.
The kingdoms in the interior were only recently introduced to the Europeans, with contact only being firmly established as they explored inland. The Nyamwezi Kingdom, located in Unyamwezi, served as a soft check to British expansion. The Nyamwezi people, recently unified by Nyungu ya Mawe, were a new force in the region that had managed to carve out an empire stretching from the southern shores of Lake Victoria to the Ugalla River. Operating in a much more centralized manner than their neighbors, the Nyamwezi treated with the British as equals in the region, forming a commercial agreement and allowing missionaries into the kingdom. Unwilling to resort to force due to significant commitments elsewhere across the globe, Britain remained along the coast.
Along the northern shores of Lake Victoria, although the inhabitants did not refer to it as such in their own tongues, lay the kingdoms of Uganda, of which Buganda was the greatest. Buganda pursued friendly relations with the British, eventually resulting in the establishment of an alliance in 1899 that saw Britain promise to protect Baganda sovereignty in exchange for favorable trade agreements. The influx of Christian missionaries alongside this trend would help turn Buganda into a Christian, if with a Baganda flavor, and pro-British state. Starting in 1901, the British would establish a military base in Buganda to help defend against a potential Mahdist invasion from the north.

At the tip of the African continent lay the British colony of South Africa. The discovery of diamonds at the soon-to-be town of Kimberley kicked off a diamond rush into the region and drew British attention northward. The British would come into conflict with the Zulu in the late 1870s, eventually resulting in the Anglo-Zulu War. The British, led by Lord Chelmsford, were massacred at the Battle of Isandlwana early in the war but eventually triumphed, subjugating the Zulu and breaking their power.
Following their victory over the Zulu, the British would face the Boers, the descendants of Dutch colonists who had moved inland after the British takeover. The constant British encroachment on Boer lands in the decades preceding the Anglo-Zulu War were tolerated solely because of the Zulu threat, but with the threat defeated they began openly resisting. The Boer War would break out in 1881, with the South African Republic eventually winning its independence.
Following the Boer War, Britain would take a more diplomatic approach to problems as threats to the Empire became more numerous and pronounced. The Boer Republics were coaxed into military alliances to shore up South Africa while also ensuring that none of the local tribes got any ideas.
 
Africa looks interesting. The OTL Scramble isn't gonna happen, and while the European powers might still divvy up the continent, it will likely go very differently and the native polities stand a better chance at retaining at the very minimum a degree of self-determination.
 
Restoring the Gunpowder

Restoring the Gunpowder​


The Ottoman Empire​

While the Russo-Turkish War of 1877 was technically a defeat for the Ottoman Empire, its government viewed it with optimism as their army managed to end the war not only intact but having scored several major victories against the Russians. Coupled with the rise of a socialist France wiping out huge portions of their debt, the Ottomans were confident that they were in a position to soon turn around the flagging fortunes of their empire.
This would prove to be overly optimistic, as the Ottomans would continue to see their nominal subjects in North Africa slip further and further away. Egypt would come under British rule in 1882 while Tunisia would only barely avoid becoming Italian two years later due to internal unrest in Italy. Additionally, the debt crisis continued to loom over the Empire as Britain hawkishly pursued its debts. The resurgence in the 1880s of France to its west and Persia to its east also posed potential problems for the ailing empire.
Sultan Abdulaziz believed the way to achieve this goal was by establishing the Ottomans as a prominent naval power and by establishing friendly relations with Europe. Under his reign, the Ottomans would come to have the second largest navy in the world, eclipsed only by the British, and would continue the Tanzimat Reforms by standardizing laws and patronizing Ottomanist thought in an attempt to unite the Empire. While he was given breathing room to continue his reforms thanks to the French Revolution, the growing expenses would eventually result in him facing significant opposition as resentment at his spending and the defeat in the war with Russia. Abdulaziz would choose to step down in favor of his son Sehzade Yusuf Izzeddin in 1880 to avoid a coup d’etat.
Sultan Izzeddin had spent his youth portraying himself as a soldier as part of his father’s goal to increase his popularity and elevate him to this successor over his cousin Murad. Due to this image and not wanting to face a coup, Izzeddin would choose to significantly cut back on naval spending and divert funds to the army. Izzeddin would go further and enact significant cuts to the Ottoman budget, withdrawing most funding for railroad expansion and public schooling in an attempt to stave off bankruptcy.
Taking advantage of Izzeddin’s fear of being overthrown, a group known as the Young Turks used the opportunity to extend their influence. Believing that the future of the Empire lay in constitutional reform and curtailing absolutism, they pressured Izzeddin to pass the Ottoman Constitution of 1881 several months after his ascension. Drawing inspiration from the Japanese and British constitutions, the Constitution of 1881 significantly curtailed the power of the Sultan and established a parliament, called the Chamber of Deputies, in which all portions of the Empire were represented. While the Sultan would retain significant religious importance as Caliph, politically he would only have the powers to confirm the Prime Minister and cabinet members and to call for parliamentary elections after a vote by the cabinet.
The first elections in the Ottoman Empire would be held in 1883 and would see the Ottoman Unity Party, the newly-established political arm of the Young Turks, rule with regional and ethnic parties being the only others to receive seats. The first parliament would be dominated by discussions on the budget and how to introduce more European-style reforms.
By this point, Izzeddin had managed to overcome his fear of being overthrown and was not particularly happy with the curtailing of his powers. While in public he continued to support the constitution, in private he began attempting to assemble a bloc of Deputies that would support returning authority to him. In this he would find a not insignificant amount of supporters, resulting in the creation of the informal Sultan’s Party in the 1889 elections. The Sultan’s Party was made up of more traditional and authoritarian Deputies who believed the Empire required a strong hand to recover. Throughout the 1890s, Izzeddin would attempt to maneuver his supporters into positions as Ministers to give him a controlling power in the cabinet, but he would fall short.

Domestically, the Parliamentary Era would become dominated by the Ottoman Unity Party, who enforced their vision of Ottomanism through the creation of a unified and compulsory public schooling system for Christians and Muslims alike. Although many Christians would complain about this, claiming not incorrectly that the Ottomans sought to indoctrinate their children, crackdowns on the most vocal malcontents and seeing that schools weren’t attempting to convert their children into Muslims caused most Christian opposition to the program to cease. For their part, Muslims also opposed the united schooling system, believing that it would result in the weakening of Muslim ideals as the schools taught a relatively secular curriculum. These complaints were met with similar methods as the Christians, with most parents on both sides of the religious divide accepting a fully-secularized curriculum in 1895 after the government made clear its intentions to push ahead. The fact that the public schooling system was extremely patchy due to budget shortfalls and a lack of teachers, slowing the rollout, also made the decision easier to accept as a great many children would continue to receive the traditional forms of education into the 20th century.

Internationally, the Ottoman Empire would seek any aid possible against the Russian threat. While Britain essentially stealing Egypt was resented, the Ottomans continued to view them as their best hope for aid against the Russian Bear. The rise of the Social Republic of France would only serve to reinforce that, resulting in a period of hostility between the two nations until a period of detente under Boulanger. Boulanger would approach the Ottomans in an attempt to reassert the French status as the protector of Christianity in the Empire. The Ottomans would flat out refuse such an offer, seeing what Russian claims to the same had done to them less than a decade prior, but would agree to the normalization of relations between the two states and a treaty of commerce. France also recognized the Sultan as the Caliph of the Muslim population of Algeria as a sign of good faith.
To the Ottoman east the Persian Empire was undergoing a revival of fortunes thanks to the reforms of the middle of the century and expansion of the military. In the eyes of the Ottomans, they were the perfect ally to resist Russian aggression and British influence. Although the two states had troubles in the past, relations had improved to the point that the Ottomans believed an alliance was feasible.
The Persians were open to united Muslim front against European aggression, but their reliance on Russian military and British economic support meant they were unwilling to commit to a military alliance. The result of the negotiations, the Treaty of Erzurum (1892), would see the previous Treaties of Erzurum reconfirmed and a pledged eternal friendship between the two empires while a secret clause agreed that should either party enter into conflict with a European power, neither would stop their subjects from fighting for the other and would allow for the transfer of supplies through their territories.
When directly dealing with the Europeans, the Ottoman Empire was forced to court the British Empire. The French were an ideological pariah, the Italians, Austrians, and Russians all had designs on Ottoman territory, and the Germans would not support them over their friends. While the British also eyed up their territory, and had shorn Egypt from it, they did not seek to cripple the Empire and were now its largest investor by a wide margin. If the Russians were to be held at bay, it was the British Lion that would do it. As the Ottomans struggled to regain their strength, they would be forced to accept British influence to secure their own safety.


Persia​

The reign of Naser al-Din Shah Qajar was a period of revival for a Persian state that had faced setbacks at the hand of Russian and British power over the past century. Reforms early in his reign under Amir Kabir had done much to centralize power while in recent years Naser al-Din’s personal favor of European technology would see royal patronage fund the introduction of numerous inventions into the country. The Shah would in particular become entranced by photography, overseeing the opening of the first Persian photography studio in Tehran in 1892.
In the latter half of the century, the part of the Persian state that saw the most expansion was the Royal military. The Persian Cossack Brigade was established in 1878 with the help of Russian advisors and was made up of muhajirs, survivors of the Circassian Genocide that fled to Persia. The Brigade’s strength would grow to some 1,000 men by 1890 and would serve as the nucleus for the new Royal Army. Cooperating with their new Ottoman compatriots, the Royal Army would grow to 15,000 men by 1900, although the quality of the army would remain rather patchy due to budget shortfalls.

Naser al-Din’s increasing resistance to institutional reforms as his reign proceeded had resulted in the growth of opposition to his rule, particularly among the ulema who had resented the curbing of their power under Amir Kabir. This frustration with Naser al-Din’s conservatism would eventually result in a follower of Jamal al-Din al-Afghani, an Islamic philosopher who had once been a guest in Tehran but now viewed Naser al-Din as detrimental to Persia, attempting to assassinate the Shah. Although the assassination would fail, it was a close-run affair that likely would have ended his life had not the Shah been wearing a particularly thick coat to deal with the Persian winter.
In the aftermath of the assassination attempt, the Shah would withdraw to his own quarters for several days. The attempt had clearly left him extremely shaken, and he vowed to change the Persian Empire and bring it into the modern era. Naser al-Din would reach out to the ulema and businessmen in favor of establishing a constitution to work out a compromise, resulting in the establishment of the Persian Majles in 1894. While Persian franchise was quite limited, especially compared to its Ottoman neighbor, the Persian Majles was a dramatic step in a new direction for the state.
Another way that the Shah changed his previous policies was by officially establishing relations with the Social Republic of France. This move was quite contentious in Persia, who viewed the socialist republic as an anathema to the Islamic way of life. Despite this, the Shah was able to justify it by promising to minimize French influence. Alongside recognizing France, Persia would agree to a secret treaty in which the French would be allowed to drill for oil in Persia and to provide the required personnel if necessary in exchange for 10% of any oil extracted and Persian guarantees to end sharecropping. The Treaty of Tabriz would be signed in August 1892, with French petroleum engineers arriving early next year.
Naser al-Din would take several steps to fulfill the terms of the treaty before establishing the Majles. The two biggest actions taken were to grant the peasantry absolute freedom of movement, theoretically allowing them to flee abusive relationships, and to create a special agency tasked with investigating claims of abuse. Although neither of these ended up particularly effective, peasants rarely fled and the agency charged with investigating tenant abuse was often staffed by those with ties to the landlord, the fact that the Shah was attempting to end the situation would help to solidify a new French foreign policy tool: granting aid in exchange for reforms.


India​

The British Raj in 1880 was one of the largest empires in history even without counting the rest of the Empire. Ruling over such a vast state was not an easy task for its British overlords, who relied heavily on local support to do so. The use of princely states and so-called warrior races to find local collaborators and encourage ethnic strife were just part of the textbook used by the British. Economic exploitation and political repression were others. For decades, the British had been extremely willing to respond to any protest with force and mass arrests.
The formation of the Indian National Congress in 1880 was the first step toward the idea of an independent India. Although initially content with merely seeking to reform the Raj, the continued resistance from British officials and contact with the outside world would see the radicalization of the organization. Chief among these contacts was Jamal al-din al-Afghani, who had moved to India after being expelled from Persia. During his stay, al-Afghani would visit the INC in 1882 and appealed to them to seek unity between Hindus and Muslims in opposition to British imperialism. While this was initially ignored, the idea would be revived next year as the INC attempted to expand its influence. Still reformist at this stage, they would mainly take in moderate Muslims rather than the revolutionary alliance al-Afghani had wanted.
The defining moment for the INC to lock it into a position of pro-independence would occur on July 7th, 1896. After a summer and winter of failed rains, famine had struck India and while the British were attempting to alleviate it, strict codes on who qualified for famine relief would result in tens of thousands of protestors Bombay demanding an immediate revoking of the Famine Code and the distribution of food to whoever needed it. By this point, it is likely that hundreds of thousands had already died and any British hesitancy would only increase the death toll needlessly.
The British responded by ordering the protestors to disperse before firing on the crowd.
Bombay fell into a state of panic as the British attacked, a panic that quickly turned to rioting as infuriated and starving Indians fought back and threw the British onto the outer islands. The British would respond by deploying forces around the city and blockading it, starving the inhabitants for a week before entering the city and brutally putting down any resistance. Over 60,000 people would die as a result of British actions, with a further 40,000 dying as disease swept through the weakened city inhabitants. By the time the bodies had ceased to pile up, Bombay had lost an eighth of its total population.
The Bombay Massacre would shock the world with its brutality, but in particular it would shock the Indian people. Bombay’s multi-religious makeup would serve to make it a source of anger in all parts of India, as no one could say “Britain would never do that to us!” For the INC, it was just one more incident in a long line of incidents that had finally convinced it that the only way forward for India was independence. Mere days after the pacification of Bombay, the INC would officially denounce British actions and demand they leave India, resulting in the organization being declared illegal. The INC would be forced underground, with many members fleeing either to Vietnam or Burma, beginning a campaign to slowly convince the people of the Raj of the need to free themselves.

One unexpected player in the rapidly coalescing Indian independence movement was Jamshed Bakht, a grandson of the last Mughal Emperor. Speaking out from exile in Rangoon, Jamshed would denounce the British actions in Bombay and declare himself in opposition of the British presence in India before fleeing to Vietnam. Jamshed, as a representative of the last great Muslim empire in India and of an entity in which Muslims and Hindus mainly coexisted, would gain significant popularity in Muslim regions of the Raj, and would be officially invited to join the Indian National Congress. While Jamshed would refrain from officially claiming the Mughal throne, the mere fact he could was of immense value to the INC and would do much to give them legitimacy in the eyes of an India beginning to seek its own liberation.
 
Liked reading the new chapter in regards to the Ottoman and Persian Empires trying to modernize themselves to varying degrees of success as well what's happeing in the British Raj with the formation of the INC, etc. So, what's next? Which parts of the world will be featured in future chapters of your wonderful Jiyu Banzai ATL, @Roland Traveler ? Please let me know. Thank you and please keep up the good work. :)
 
Liked reading the new chapter in regards to the Ottoman and Persian Empires trying to modernize themselves to varying degrees of success as well what's happeing in the British Raj with the formation of the INC, etc. So, what's next? Which parts of the world will be featured in future chapters of your wonderful Jiyu Banzai ATL, @Roland Traveler ? Please let me know. Thank you and please keep up the good work. :)
Well we’ve gotten caught up on the world as a whole, so we’re at long last returning to the focus of this timeline and it’ll stay in stay in that area for a bit. I’ve got at least three Japanese updates planned and a Vietnamese cultural update that will be somewhere in there. Updates should come faster now since I’m working off of my own world and no longer having to research entire continents to ensure I’m not making stuff up.
 
Seems you’ve set the groundwork for influences, nationalism, and alliances. Is it safe to assume things will truly start to coalesce into a powder keg throughout the world?
 
Constitutional Governance

Constitutional Governance​


While the political dominance of the Tohokai had already begun to wane in the early 1890s, they had continued to control the Japanese Diet alongside the Nihon Ronoto and the Shakai Minshuto in a shaky coalition. This coalition, while quite powerful when working in concert, was destined to last for a single election cycle as the Tohokai prepared for a de facto split in the party during the 1896 election.
As agreed in the party congress before the 1890 election, the Tohokai gathered in its Osaka headquarters to hammer out a proper party platform. The 1896 Osaka Congress would last three weeks as the Tohokai tried to find a niche for themselves in Japanese politics that didn’t rely solely on its name. By the end of the Congress, the Tohokai had come to support five main policies: tariffs to protect Japanese products, government support of industry, equality of all members of society, the establishment of a welfare state, and a more proactive foreign policy in the Pacific.
Although newer members of the Tohokai were glad to have a solid party message, it would result in a significant number of members of the Old Guard electing to retire from politics. While the party was able to field replacement candidates for many of the now empty seats, the party’s chances for maintaining control of the Diet would be killed by the retirement of Toshio Minagawa. Tired after decades of work and confident that Japanese democracy was secure, Minagawa announced he would not be seeking the position of Prime Minister a year before the elections.
For nearly 30 years, the 56 year old Toshio Minagawa had dominated the politics of Japan and had been its face to the outside world. From the Tohokai’s darkest hour as Shogunate forces marched on Osaka during the civil war to the recent Mandate Crisis in Korea, Minagawa had represented the new Japan at every step. It was an exhausting job, but one that Minagawa had taken upon himself first as the leader of a group of friends with a dream of liberating their country and then as a national leader. In America he was the Japanese Washington, in France he was a great liberator, in Korea he was almost an equal to the Emperor himself, but in Japan he was known as Toshio, the father of the nation.

With Minagawa resigning and the Tohokai shedding a significant amount of its elite, 1896 was the first time in Japanese history that the victor was not known in advance. The election would be dominated by clashing social mores, pitting the right-wing Rikken Kokuminto and Rikken Minseito against the Tohokai and Shakai Minshuto, with the more economic-focused Nihon Ronoto remaining neutral on most social issues. Minor parties would also make their presence felt as they offered more extreme or more targeted policies that appealed to their often province-focused bases.
Compared to the past elections, 1896 would see much slicker campaigns run by all parties as the kinks in their propaganda machines were ironed out and they gained knowledge in what exactly worked. Newspapers became filled with political ads, criers arrived on the streets, politicians gave public speeches, and volunteers went door-to-door passing out flyers as the parties launched extremely aggressive campaigns that relied on drowning out their opponents rather than relying on policies. The result was that by election day, huge swathes of the populace were fatigued by the process and elected to skip the elections. Turnout across the political spectrum took a nosedive as only 38% of voters cast a ballot.
After the exhausting campaign, the Japanese people were welcomed by a historic moment that most had expected: the Tohokai had failed to secure control of the government. Instead, Ryoma Sakamoto’s Rikken Kokuminto would become the largest party in the Diet, forming a ruling coalition with the Rikken Minseito. The Rikkento (Constitutional Parties) coalition would be sworn in on March 1st, with the Shakai Minshuto becoming the Party of Opposition.
The Rikkento would begin their rule by immediately passing legislation to limit campaigning techniques and the campaign season. Candidates were barred from acts considered too invasive, such as the use of criers and door-to-door campaigns, while campaigning was restricted to the four months preceding elections. As the members of the Diet had been just as irritated by the campaigning as other citizens, the bill passed with a near unanimous vote the same day it was proposed.
With the easiest piece of legislation out of the way, the Rikkento sough to deal with the continuing aftereffects of the civil war, especially the ongoing ostracization of the former samurai classes and their families. Himself born from a samurai family, Ryoma Sakamoto had watched his compatriots from earlier days dispossessed of their wealth and status, forced to the outskirts of society and in many cases forced to scrape by with the aid of others. Even lower-ranked samurai were only able to avoid destitution if they had defected during the civil war as Sakamoto had.
Brought before the Diet a month after its seating, the Reintegration Plan would result in the creation of a new section in the Ministry of Public Welfare which would work on providing the necessary capital and job experience to allow former samurai families to return to a comfortable standard of living while also changing school curriculums to emphasize that Japan had moved on from the old days and that it was important to move forward as a united nation.
The Reintegration Plan was met with resistance from the left, who believed that the current struggles of the former samurai were a form of penance and that any money spent on them would be wasted. Instead, they wished to spend the allotted money on the upgrading of roads in rural areas. Instead, the Shakai Minshuto would offer a “compromise” in which the Reintegration Plan would face significant changes. The initially proposed budget was slashed in half and the change in school curriculum was stripped out. In exchange for support for this reduced version, the plan would redirect the slashed funding to road construction and would require the signing of pledges of loyalty to the government for any who wanted to benefit from it.
The Shakai Minshuto would overplay their hand in this moment, with the final clause provoking disgust in many members of the Diet. Sakamoto was able to draw up support for a second alternate plan, which reduced the budget to 80% and made provisions for the necessary bureaucracy to be repurposed to support all those with lower incomes rather than just former samurai. With the second change, the Reintegration Plan became much more palatable for the members of the Diet and passed with a comfortable majority. While their public image would suffer relatively little damage, the Shakai Minshuto’s actions would sour relations between it and the Rikkento and even other members on the left, reducing willingness to work with them.

The Rikkento would spend the rest of their time in power attempting to push back against changes in society. In the first time in Japanese history that the Supreme Court was forced to make a decision, a law limiting what jobs women could work was overturned on the basis of it violating the dignity of a Japanese citizen. Despite this setback, the Rikkento would continue to push forward and establish a working policy in which women were disbarred from government positions. While this too was shot down, the Supreme Court’s opposition was rooted in it being the action of the government rather than private individuals. A large number of businesses would take advantage of this ruling to implement local personal regulations debarring women from working.
While this move would anger some portions of society, the current emphasis of feminist efforts in Japan concentrated on ensuring the financial and domestic independence of women, with support for legislation criminalizing domestic abuse and allowing for women to divorce their husbands.While domestic abuse would be criminalized in 1902 after a campaign portraying abusers as cowardly and doing harm to children increased public support, the right of the wife to divorce her husband would continue to remain limited by a 1888 law allowing it only in the case of provable infidelity by the husband and the new 1902 law which legalized it in cases of abuse.
A major victory for feminists would come in 1901 as the Rikkento, attempting to court voters after their controversial early moves in the leadup to the elections, passed a law integrating schools into unisex institutions and expanding the right to vote from only married women with children to all women. This move was not without ulterior motives, as there was a significant contingent of women who supported the Rikkento’s social policies for a variety of reasons. While this move would doubtlessly strengthen their opponents, the Rikkento gambled that a mixture of voter apathy and their own increase in strength would offset it.

After nearly six years of concentrating on social issues with mixed success, the Rikkento utilized the final months before the 1902 election to put forward a revolutionary new program: nationalized healthcare. The 1901 National Welfare Act would establish a nationwide program to pay for medical services while fixing prices to ensure they continued to be affordable.. Passed in the aftermath of a cholera epidemic that struck Honshu the previous year, the National Welfare Act would also establish a vaccine mandate and mandatory sick days for workers.
The Rikkento would utilize their popularity from the National Welfare Act to coast to a second term in power, although with a smaller majority than their first term. Turnout would bounce back to 60% as a far more bearable campaign rejuvenated Japanese willingness to vote while the new women’s vote would come to make up 38% of the total ballots.
The new Rikkento term would proceed without the father of Japanese conservatism, Ryoma Sakamoto. Sakamoto had begun his term at the age of 60, and his time in office had left him exhausted. Like Minagawa before him, Sakamoto elected to withdraw from politics before the 1902 elections and would retire to a home he had purchased for his family near his hometown of Kochi. He would be succeeded by Hokotaro Itagaki. While borne from a former samurai family, his father Taisuke Itagaki had defected to the Tohokai after the surrender of Tokugawa Yoshinobu and had made his support of the revolution, at least its anti-Bakufu and pro-constitution parts, would see him take part in the Osaka Convention. Taisuke would proceed to join forces with Sakamoto post-war, serving as a liberal influence in a movement dominated by conservatism. His son would follow in his father’s footsteps, steadily climbing the party ranks until he became Sakamoto’s successor.
Like his father, Hokotaro was an expansionist. With potential expansion onto the mainland blocked by Korea, both too friendly and too powerful for all but the most extreme to justify, and into the Pacific by the growing power of the Americans, Hokotaro began pursuing the nominal Japanese claim to Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands currently controlled by Russia. In 1903 a bill was put before the Diet which offered to purchase the regions for $1 million for “the purpose of uniting the disparate Ainu peoples”. Although the Ainu population was a miniscule percentage of Sakhalin’s total population, amounting to only around 150 in a population of 30,000, the Japanese defended their statement by proclaiming the region part of the Ainu homeland therefore it legally belonged to Japan as the guardian of the Ainu.
The Russians considered the offer, as the state required funds to expand the navy, but would ultimately reject it due to concerns that it would give Japan too strong of a strategic position against the Russian Far East. After the rejection of continued Japanese offers that steadily increased the price tag to $2.5 million, the matter would finally fade away as both sides tired of the situation.
In conjunction with the Three Abuses from later in the decade, the Hokkaido Affair would do much to bring the Ainu to the attention of the average Japanese citizen while in Russia the entire affair would help grow a seed of concern that had been implanted in the minds of Russia’s policy makers ever since the Manchuria War. Fears of the Korean-Japanese alliance seeking to seize the Far East would take up a larger and larger part of Russia’s defense planning in the region.
 
@Roland Traveler So an ATL version of the Russo-Japanese War for control of Sakhalin/Karafuto & the Kurils/Nemuro? Will this lead to Japan acquiring Formosa/Taiwan as well? Also, glad to see Japanese democracy and Japanese feminism growing strong and thriving despite the passing away of Toshio Minagawa and Ryoma Sakamoto and others.
 
@Roland Traveler So an ATL version of the Russo-Japanese War for control of Sakhalin/Karafuto & the Kurils/Nemuro? Will this lead to Japan acquiring Formosa/Taiwan as well? Also, glad to see Japanese democracy and Japanese feminism growing strong and thriving despite the passing away of Toshio Minagawa and Ryoma Sakamoto and others.
The Japanese government has no interest in starting a war with Russia for two reasons: no one wants to pay the cost, either in men, political capital, or money, to fight it and because Korea, who they view as necessary for any chance at beating Russia, also has no interest in expanding into Russian territory. So right now, the East Asian side of the equation has no plans for war. As for the Russian side, they’re scared of one breaking out and the entire psychology of that will be explored in a future (probably far off, as I want to concentrate on East Asia right now) chapter. As a teaser, I will say that this timeline’s Yellow Peril conspiracy theory will have Europe’s favorite whipping boy roped in somehow.
 
The Three Abuses

The Three Abuses​


By 1906, the Ainu communities of Ezo had long been working alongside Japanese companies to exploit the coal resources to feed the growing industries of the south. Initially, these jobs had been backed by the government and had paid extremely well, providing prosperity for their predominantly Ainu workers, but inflation had done much to reduce the real value of the paid wages. The Ezo Mining Corporation, the product of the conglomeration of the largest companies on Ezo, would work to keep wages stagnant through an alliance with the kamoi (Ainu leaders), who received large sums of money in exchange for their compliance.
The steady reduction of Ainu miners would ripple outward into the communities at large as many Ainu had gathered around the mines, establishing kotan (villages) of unprecedented sizes and tying themselves to the region. With the passage of local laws requiring a permit to fish or hunt and requirements to own land used for farming, the kamoi strictly regulated those allowed to pursue the traditional Ainu way of life and forced many to rely on the mines in order to make a living. The hiring of Japanese Pinkertons in the 1890s to hunt down those violating these laws would do much to further consolidate the kamoi and Ezo Mining over its workers, control that would only be increased as shell companies were established to provide total control over the provision of food to the workers and create company towns.
Word of this had reached Kyoto late in the 1890s as the suspicious tax records from the Ainu parts of Ezo came under scrutiny, but this was quickly brought under control as members of the Okurasho were bribed into keeping the situation under the cover. The first cracks in the Ezo Mining edifice would only emerge in the early 1900s as the first strikes by Ainu workers broke out. Although initial strikes would be bloodily broken, in 1906 the Ainu engaged in the age-old tactic of fleeing into the nearby wilderness to protest their conditions. While search parties scoured the countryside for their quarry, Ezo Mining hired Japanese laborers to work the mines.
The Japanese, while treated better than their Ainu counterparts, were still dealt with horrid conditions. For poor pay, they worked for ten hours in the mines everyday before returning to hastily-built shanty towns with insufficient insulation from the cold. Food was cheap and low-quality, bought on their own salaries at stores owned by the company, while water was so foul that a dysentery epidemic swept through one of the mines less than a month after the arrival of Japanese workers. Almost immediately, the workers began sending letters home about the conditions they worked under.
For all their experience in suppressing knowledge of their activities, Ezo Mining had a blindspot when it came to the mail. The Ainu had rarely used it while most imported goods came through company channels, causing security to overlook the possibility that their new Japanese charges would leak information that way. While Ezo Mining would quickly catch on after an initial outburst of mail during the first few weeks, censoring any follow ups, it was already too late. A flood of demands to the provincial government in Hakodate resulted in an investigation beginning on April 3rd.

Ezo Mining fell back on its tried and true tactics of attempting to bribe the officials involved, but in this case the evidence was so prevalent that any coverup would not be believed by the public. Police soon arrested several scapegoats who claimed to be acting on their own, but the web was already unraveling. By the 15th, news of the Ezo mines had even managed to reach as far south as Edo despite Tohoku and Ezo’s patchy telegraph network. As the walls began to close in, the executives of Ezo Mining prepared to flee the country.
Provincial officials, joined by the end of the month by their Kyoto counterparts, quickly uncovered the truth surrounding the mines and had to face a veritable flood of reports as Ainu emerged from the wilderness to tell of decades of abuses. Coupled with the attempted bribes, it was decided that there was enough evidence to justify the arrest of the leadership of Ezo Mining. Travel from Ezo was locked down for a week as sweeps of Ezo Mining offices were conducted while a destroyer from the new Hokkaido Squadron was dispatched to Sendai to telegraph all of Japan about the situation.
The ensuing crackdown would manage to catch the majority of Ezo Mining’s leadership, as well as hundreds of documents detailing their activities, with only a handful slipping through the cracks. In the weeks following, investigations and interrogations would reveal an ever-expanding network of co-conspirators that eventually led to the Okurasho. By the time the full extent of the story was revealed to the public, a massive inquisition was unleashed on the Japanese bureaucracy.
Pouring over tax records including those from decades ago, the newly-established Teikoku Sousakyoku (Imperial Investigation Bureau) uncovered numerous balance sheets that did not line up that all revolved around several offices. Including the office which had conspired with Ezo Mining, it was eventually discovered that over 100 members of the Okurasho had been skimming money off of the tax collections and taking bribes over the decades. While several had already retired, the overwhelming majority of the offenders were still employed.

For the public, the news was a massive shock to a system that had managed to keep a relatively clean reputation for nearly 40 years. When the worst excesses had been a stubborn economic minister and annoying political campaigns, a scandal of this magnitude was far beyond what anybody had experienced before. The knowledge that for decades bureaucrats had been stealing from the people resulted in an outpouring of public outrage as demands for justice dominated public discourse.
The Rikkento attempted to get control of the situation by pledging to expunge all corruption. While they saw an initial rise in support as the public responded positively to their statements, the situation would soon backfire spectacularly as several Rikkento members were discovered to have engaged in tax fraud. Their support cratered as Diet members were arrested, resulting in the fall of the government and the call for snap elections in late December.
The snap elections would see the Rikkento slaughtered at the ballot box, with their combined support only amounting to 180 seats out of 650. In their place the Shakai Minshuto would form a coalition with the Nihon Ronoto to control 393 seats. The rise of the first truly leftist government in Japanese history would be the result of a nationwide backlash against abusive companies and the perceived corruption of the Rikkento, even though several leftist Diet members had also been arrested as well. Despite the discrepancy, the Jinminto (People’s Parties) would secure their hold on power once again in the 1908 elections and would begin pushing through several economic reforms aimed at protecting workers and ensuring oversight and accountability for all in the nation.

As the Ezo Mining Corporation was systematically dismantled by the Japanese government and news of their actions spread throughout the nation, a new national conversation began. While there were already laws in place against the exploitation of workers, it was not only in far off Ezo that the breaking of these laws occurred. Throughout Japan, exploitative business practices relied on social pressure and a culture of not rocking the boat to avoid reports. In the case that an abuse was reported, it was not unusual that those who reported it were blacklisted by other businesses in the area as troublemakers. Even in situations where there was no illegal activities going on, unhealthy business practices were allowed by the same culture of silence and avoiding disruptions. Far too many Japanese workers saw the news of overworked miners and saw themselves in it.
Across the nation, Japanese workers began talking openly about their experiences and began organizing in professions that had previously been without unions. Especially among the younger generations, efforts were made to spread awareness of so-called “black companies” and boycott them while forming community-wide support nets for any who became unemployed. The mutual aid societies would soon become an official facet of Japanese society as the Jinminto passed legislation to provide unemployment benefits and protect the rights of unions.
The expansion of unions from a phenomenon limited mostly to factories and professions which paid higher wages completely changed the Japanese economy as strikes became common across the country. While initial strikes were mainly localized walkouts, by 1910 labor organizations had managed to establish enough connections with each other that a general strike was able to be called in Yokohama to protest a plan to replace a neighborhood with more modern apartments. The strike was successful, resulting in the appreciation of just how potent they could be by the Japanese people. Strikes would become significantly less frequent over the next decade as new legislation and workers won concessions from their employers.

As part of their reforms, the Jinminto would engage in a reorganization of the Ainu territories. While Ainu autonomy was maintained, Japanese officials were dispatched biannually to ensure everything remained legal and all limitations on the Ainu traditional way of life were abolished. In order to ensure the Ainu were no longer forced to rely on the coal mines, subsidies were organized to support those who wished to return to a traditional lifestyle. The Ainu would greatly appreciate this, and in the 1910 elections would see almost the entirety of the Ainu vote go for the ruling coalition.
The abandonment of the mines by many Ainu would result in the reduction of restrictions of Japanese settlement in Ainu territories. Although still strictly regulated, tens of thousands of Japanese would move to the Ezo mines, now under direct government management, for well-paying jobs. The influx of immigrants would see the Japanese become the dominant ethnic group in Ezo, forcing the provincial government to institute new regulations and the banning of Japanese settlements in large swathes of land to ensure that Ainu communities were not adversely affected.
By 1920, Ezo would be home to over a million people, the overwhelming majority of them recent Japanese immigrants employed in mining businesses. While the Ainu population had managed to recover to 40,000 from their low of 15,000 in the 1860s, they constituted a minority in their own homeland.

1906 would end up becoming known as the Year of Three Abuses in Japan due to the scandals involved. These abuses, the Abuse of the Ainu, the Abuse of Trust, and the Abuse of the People, would become a significant part of the Japanese national consciousness, with a reference to a Fourth Abuse being a rhetorical term for a despicable act. It would also provide common ground for the traditional and reformist parts of Japanese society, as regardless of one’s opinion about the status of women or the future of Japanese culture, most would agree that the corruption and exploitations unearthed had no place in their ideal world.
The rise of a socialist Japanese government would also prove to be disruptive on the international stage. The Jinminto’s more active foreign policy, including attempts to increase ties with France and exert influence in Southeast Asia longside Korea, would draw foreign attention as the normally reclusive nation suddenly became something to worry about. In Russia, fears of a Franco-Japanese alliance would increase their paranoia about their eastern frontier and would see them begin wooing the Zhili Clique. The Zhili’s rivals in Nanjing, who already saw the success Roland Beamont had in France and Vo Nhung in Vietnam as proof of nationalist socialism’s potential, would put out feelers to the Japanese and, subsequently, the Koreans for support in the case of China falling into civil war.
For the first time since the Hawaiian Bayonet Constitution Crisis, the United States would also find itself at odds with the new Japanese foreign policy. While the two nations worked to maintain good relations, as the US was one of Japan’s largest markets and the US feared that angering Japan could the revocation of their bases in Manila and Pearl Harbor by the pro-Japanese Hawaii and Philippines, America feared Japan drawing closer with enemies of Britain would result in a war that would harm American economic interests. Tapping into British fears that a socialist Japan would attempt to stir up unrest in its colonies, the Americans were able to convince them to join a conference involving all three nations in Ezo in 1911. The resulting Treaty of Ezo (1911) would see the all three nations make promises to respect the other’s territorial integrity but would not go much further beyond that.
Despite what many had expected and hoped for, the Korean response to the political upheaval in Japan was extremely muted. Although Korea was a rather conservative nation, the Japanese and Koreans had an understanding in which neither would be involved in the other’s internal politics. After decades of this being an informal agreement originating between Toshio Minagawa and King Heonjong, the 1910 Korean-Japanese Treaty of Friendship and Alliance would sink any hope that their alliance would break in the near future.
 
@Roland Traveler Liked reading this new chapter of yours. So with the Ainu of Ezo (i.e. Hokkaido) being treated more fairly by the Japanese government, etc. how will this effect Japanese designs towards Karafuto (i.e. Sakhalin Island) and Nemuro (i.e. the Kurils/Kuriles) who have large populations of Ainu? Also, how are the Okinawans being treated by the Japanese government at this time, and will this have any bearing towards Jaoanese designd towards Formosa aka Taiwan. Please let me know. Thank you and please keep up the good work. :)
 
Oh wow just got into this TL a japan that isn’t brutal and actually live somewhat up to the promise of co prosperity sphere …interesting
 
@Roland Traveler Liked reading this new chapter of yours. So with the Ainu of Ezo (i.e. Hokkaido) being treated more fairly by the Japanese government, etc. how will this effect Japanese designs towards Karafuto (i.e. Sakhalin Island) and Nemuro (i.e. the Kurils/Kuriles) who have large populations of Ainu?
There are Japanese who want Sakhalin and the Kurils, but the government still has no interest in starting a war with Russia. Should one break out (say due to Russian paranoia or something in China), they may consider demanding the territories if the war goes Japan's way. Right now, Japan has no desire for empire due to ideological, financial, and practical reasons. Sure, they could openly boast about it being their right to control the Sea of Okhotsk (although in Japan the region is called Hokkaido, which includes OTL Hokkaido), but doing that could result in Korea deciding they're too much of a liability and dropping their alliance or causing the Americans to start distancing themselves. Essentially the Japanese outlook is very different from OTL, so don't expect them to be OTL Imperial Japan but without the war crimes.
Also, how are the Okinawans being treated by the Japanese government at this time, and will this have any bearing towards Jaoanese designd towards Formosa aka Taiwan. Please let me know. Thank you and please keep up the good work. :)
Ryukyu is still independent, but at this point it is essentially a part of Japan in terms of economy and foreign policy. The best example of their relationship that I can think of is Switzerland and Lichtenstein.
Oh wow just got into this TL a japan that isn’t brutal and actually live somewhat up to the promise of co prosperity sphere …interesting
I'll be honest, a big part of the inspiration for this timeline was "What if huge chunks of Imperial Japanese rhetoric were re-interpreted to mean the opposite of their OTL meanings?" For instance, future Japanese foreign policy
will use hakko ichiu as a justification, it'll just be actual cooperation instead of Imperial Japan and Subjects Friends.
 
Top