JFK assassinated in 1960: elections in 64 and 68?

Let's say Pavlick manages to kill president-elect Kennedy.
Does Wallace run in 64? If so, which states does he carry? Is the election thrown to the House?
And who runs and gets nominated in 68? (and wins, of course;))

I'd also be interested to hear about long-term developments: how different would TTL be from OTL in 2012?
 
Johnson's ascension to the presidency, while an almost certainty, will be bumpy as the electoral college had not yet voted at the time of Kennedy's death in TTL. I posted this in a thread last spring on this topic:

JFK's death on 12/11/60 will have immediate ramifications RE: the 1960 Electoral College vote. Would all electors pledged to Kennedy, if instructed to do so by the DNC, vote for a dead man? Would all electors pledged to Kennedy, if instructed to do so by the DNC, vote for Johnson? How many more electoral votes might Harry Bird receive? Also, any elector voting Johnson for President cannot also vote Johnson for VP. Might no one receive an electoral majority for President or VP in TTL? It would be sad, though historically interesting, to have LBJ inagurated as VP and then as POTUS on January 20.

Major civil rights legislation might be passed by Congress and signed into law by Johnson in 1963, though this depends on how the '62 congressional election unfolds. Johnson's Great Society proposals probably develop as per OTL, if he wins in '64.

Also, Congress would definitly adopt and send to the states for ratification a Presidential Succession and Disibility amendment (OTL XXV) in 1961. This might very well delay consideration of a Poll Tax Prohibition amendment (OTL XXIV). Additionally, I wonder whether the states would be so quick in TTL to ratify the D.C. Electoral Vote amendment (OTL XXIII) which was before them at the time?

For institutional memory, here's a link to a thread on this topic from last summer:
JFK Assassinated in 1960
 
Another ramification is that Johnson cannot run again in 1968, because he will have served over two years as President, when elected Vice President. RFK will probably also never get a spot in the cabinet, seeing as they didn't like one another so he'll of run in 68' of the platform of New York Senator.
No LBJ in 68' mean McCarthy wins New Hampshire, which could give him some real momentum. Enough to win the nomination? Maybe, but he probably wouldn't of beaten Nixon anyway.
 
I like Greenfield's scenario for the PoD -- where the stress of the job gives LBJ a stroke, elevating Humphrey to the Presidency in 1962. In such a scenario, I imagine Hubert would be re-elected...
 
It could be McGovern or Frank Church. At this point RFK will probably be in his brothers' OTL MA Senate seat, but he'll be up for reelection in '68 so will probably pass.
 
As for what the world would look in 2012, that's impossible to really know. I keep seeing these lists of US Presidents from such and such a date to the present day, and considering that counterfactual speculation outside of a detailed (and entirely fictional) narrative can only get you a few years worth of a scenario, it's usually just people putting their favourite names on a list next to whichever election year they care to put them.
I was thinking more along the line of civil rights, culture, the economy, the political spectrum relative to OTL...
But thanks for this extremely complete and well-thought reply anyway:)
 
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