The POD is that Jesse Jackson doesn't become the shadow Senator for DC in 1991. Instead, he sets his sights on a presidential run for 1992. This time, he gets lot more institutional support from the black community.
Due to more candidates running, Jerry Brown never goes for it.
I can see Clinton narrowly losing the nomination due to Jackson nicking the southern states. Who will win the Democratic nomination? My guess is Tsongas.
Bush probably wins reelection in 1992. Thoughts?