Jesse Jackson runs in 1992

MrHola

Banned
The POD is that Jesse Jackson doesn't become the shadow Senator for DC in 1991. Instead, he sets his sights on a presidential run for 1992. This time, he gets lot more institutional support from the black community.
Due to more candidates running, Jerry Brown never goes for it.

I can see Clinton narrowly losing the nomination due to Jackson nicking the southern states. Who will win the Democratic nomination? My guess is Tsongas.

Bush probably wins reelection in 1992. Thoughts?
 
The POD is that Jesse Jackson doesn't become the shadow Senator for DC in 1991. Instead, he sets his sights on a presidential run for 1992. This time, he gets lot more institutional support from the black community.
Due to more candidates running, Jerry Brown never goes for it.

I can see Clinton narrowly losing the nomination due to Jackson nicking the southern states. Who will win the Democratic nomination? My guess is Tsongas.

Bush probably wins reelection in 1992. Thoughts?

Actually, I could see Perot being the dark horse in this race, provided he doesn't drop out/get back in or something stupid like that.

Bush isn't exactly at the height of popularity, but at the same time I just don't see Jackson garnering the amount of support Clinton got.

A lot of Perot's support came at Bush's expense. I could see the rift evening between Democratic and Republican voter base support for Perot if Jackson somehow got the nomination. Sorta ASB'ish though.
 
Slick Willie staged his comeback at New Hampshire where he came in second. I think he can do well enough to survive Super Tuesday (where not all the '92 primary states are in the deep South's 'blackbelt') and then just wear down Jackson in a long primary season battle if need be.

Jerry Brown jumped into the race quite late--he's an eccentric, he was an eccentric then, and a single extra candidate alone isn't going to dissuade him from doing his thing.

Actually, I think Jackson running in '92 is pretty unlikely, for one reason--Jesse risks doing worse than in either of his other two races, thanks to Bill's ability to connect with black voters. Also, I seem to recall that the Superdelegates had had there numbers increased after the '80s races, supposedly to prevent the chance of a 'rogue' nominee (Jackson?)
 
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