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Hi im not new anymore in this forum.:)

Anyway I have come up with several scenarios that would make the Japanese win (or get into equal terms with) the US.

I know that this is barely plausible since the US had 10 times more industrial capacity than the Japs (there were already food shortages before Pearl Harbor), but at least the Japanese could keep SE Asia with its oil and rubber and synthetic oil and etc. etc. and that would make a 'victory' in the Japanese side (since this is what they planned to do).
OK here goes, comments are needed.
  1. Jap Victory at Midway
The US doesn't pick up the Jap carriers before the Japs pick theirs. The Jap intel was also better, they picked up the positions of the '13 ships' that was the US carrier fleet faster (in OTL the Jap scout from IJA Tone reported the US carrier fleet after Nagumo had issued the infamous arm-with-bombs-we-are-going-to-attack-midway order) thus preventing Nagumo's order to attack Midway and instead arm his dive bombers and Tpd bombers with antiship weapons.

By noon, the US Carrier planes were off searching the Japanese carriers. Much of the strike force was in tatters, because the few that attacked the Japanese (in largely uncoordinated piecemeal strikes) had been shot down. Most of the carrier planes weren't even able to find the Japanese fleet, and either ditched in water or redirected to Midway.

By morning June 4th, the US carriers were unprotected save for a few F4Fs. The Japanese meanwhile had spotted the US carriers and were preparing an attack. By noon 1100 hours the US radars had picked up the 200 strong attack force of Zeroes, D3As and B5Ns. The sparsely defended carriers made easy targets, with only the occasional Wildcat and AA fire ruining the party.

The attack ended quickly. The Enterprise and the Yorktown suffered fatal hits and were scuttled. The Hornet was at the bottom of the Pacific.
Not long after, the Japanese invasion force landed in Midway. Marines stationed there gave a brutal albeit suicidal resistance to the Jap forces, but were overrun and soon the Rising Sun flew in Midway.

US was shocked by the loss of its 3 carriers. Nimitz was the subject of many investigations. With no carriers, the allied initiative was lost in the pacific. Australia and the SW pacific was vulnerable. FDR's 'Europe First' strategy was clearly mistaken. Every available carrier in Europe were now diverted to the Pacific theater. Wasp and Saratoga were the only carriers left. The planned invasion of Africa, codenamed 'Torch' was chancelled. Europe and the SU would now have to stand alone for the time being. This left UK vulnerable to U-Boats.

So what do you think? Would this be palusible? I have several other alternate scenarios and a scenario countinuing this one.
Comments are very welcome. I have missed a lot of political impacts, so would someone care to add them?:D
Also I would like to know if this can be classified as a TL thread.

Thanks
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