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I do not think it is ASB to imagine US intelligence services briefing FDR or likely Japanese aggression early in 1941 and by November the US leadership correctly guessing that there will be a 'surprise attack'.
With luck Japan's attacking planes could have suffered heavy casualties. Plus the Japanese fleet might have been located and US Carriers have hit it hard.
I am less sure about the Phillipines and indeed Hong Kong and Malaya/ Singapore.
However it is conceivable that Japan would have had to seek terms.