ITPH: Dominican Exiles Overthrow Trujillo

It there were some Domican exiles in Cuba -- like Fen Gen Juan Rodriguez (in 1947) Juan Bosch (in 1949) -- who led some invasions of the Dominican Republic to overthrow the Trujillo regime. (The former was even joined by a young Fidel Castro.)

For me, these events seem to offer a few AH questions -- like, Could the Dominican Republic sees the fall of the Trujillo (later Balaguer) power base three decades earlier, in favor of the Socialist(-Populist) PRD? What would it take for the US to be OK with this around this time (maybe if the Cold War cooled off a little sooner)? Then there's "smaller" questions, like What if Fidel Castro died in the 1947 invasion?

But that's just what's striking me so far -- though I'm wondering if I'm reading too much into this, and these kinds of invasions never really had a chance in the first place. So how about it -- is there AH potential here?

(Oh and "ITPH" is "Is there potential here?" I figured this was a new category of thread, so it deserved an acronym.)
 
This seems like it has the potential to be interesting, although since I am woefully ignorant of Latin American history of this time period, I can't really say much. I can't really see the US allowing a socialist (at least in name) government during this time period unless the Cold War is butterflied, or possibly doesn't start up until later. Also, the ramifications for the future of Cuba could be "interesting".
 
Would be an interesting scenario. If an earlier invasion is successful it is hard to say how the DR would have turned out.
 
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