The POD here is that Gorbachev somehow prevents the 1991 coup, or that that coup otherwise does not happen. From what I've read the new Union treaty such as it was, was quite close to being signed when the coup occurred. Indeed, according to David Remnick, the treaty was going to be signed on the twentieth of August 1991. After that coup, any chance of that treaty being signed at all was completely gone. So, the coup does not happen, the new union treaty is signed by the various parties present during the Novo-Ogarevo process.
How long does the reformed Soviet Union last? I think there's a good chance it survives the year, but I'm not sure it'd would last the decade.
How do these turn of events effect the situation in Russia and the other member states?
How is American foreign policy affected. Could the survival of the Soviet Union somehow save Bush's Presidency?
How long does the reformed Soviet Union last? I think there's a good chance it survives the year, but I'm not sure it'd would last the decade.
How do these turn of events effect the situation in Russia and the other member states?
How is American foreign policy affected. Could the survival of the Soviet Union somehow save Bush's Presidency?